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• BRITISH AMERICAN
TOBACCO
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Organization: Physicians for a smoke free Canada
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

To P. SHEEHY, ESQ. From: S.J. GREEN.
P.L. SHORT, ESQ.
//~ou n~ight c~re to see nly comn, ents on the Knlhok nnd
Short pnper. The cornn,ents were written largely for n~y own use
but I did mention some of them ,t Southan~pton. They nre not
R. & D. cotangents - n~erely n~y own. but the paper does rest on
assumptions which nre different front those used for our Smoking
end Health planning and it ts with the assumptions I think we should
start.
s. GIVEN
EI~c,
SJG/FA
17. 5.76.
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

THE EFFECT OF RESTRICTIONS ON CURRENT MARKETING
AND MARKETING IN THE FUTURE
LJ
The Main Conclusions are:
~o
The number of smokers will decrease because cigarette
smoking is seen to be hazardous. If smokers can be
convinced the hazard is not real then the number of
smokers will not decrease.
2o
Increased product knowledge is required as well as
knowledge of how and why people smoke and toxic
compounds should be eliminated fromsmoke.
3. More should be known about smokers motivation.
4.
5.
6m
We should aim to maintain or increase the smoking habit.
That by taking some 'positive' action we could arrest
the declining acceptability of smoking in society.
There are some research projects in the social science
field which could usefully be undertaken and that"
these should be supervised by Marketing Departments
in tobacco companies.
7B-
Sales representatives should be fully briefed on how
they should respond to enquiries about Smoking and
"Health
Comments on Conclusions:
(I)
-(2)
(3)
(4)
The number of smokers may well decrease. I doubt
if we could actually reassure smokers no matter what
we said. I doubt if we could truthfully say much
which would reassure them and I doubt if it would
be sensible (on legal grounds alone) to say much.
There is no particular reason why the cigarethe habit
should continue in fashion indefinitely. When we
know more about it we might sketch out the alternatives
which will replace it.
Certainly we need increased knowledge but the immediate
problem is to use what we have. We have much more
product knowledge than is currently.~sed. We can
already decrease toxic compounds in smoke. But some
harmful effects may be due:tO "insult" from whole
smoke and smoke intake reduction is perhaps the only
way of dealing with this.
We should certainly know more about smokers motivation
but again there is a great deal known already. Are
we using what is known in guiding our marketing and
product development?
In view of the known toxicity andthe strong
association of smoking and disease I believe any
attempt to increase the smoking habit is irresponsible.
Equally I believe it is irresponsible to exaggerate
the dangers in order to decrease the habit.
".o
0
Contd. 0
C7~
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

-- 2 --
~r
(5)
It is possible that we could do something to slow
down the Increaslng unacceptability of cigarette
smoking but only, in my view, if we remain a
responsible and socially acceptable industry. On
the positive side the word 'cancer' has been
emotionally defused in the last decade and the
over-statement of the anti-smoking case has
detracted from their credibility. Further,
cigarettes have already been substantially changed
and the later epidemiological studies do tend to
show lowered incidence of lung cancer in younger
men. Given satisfactory product modification
backed by scientific understanding and publication
from a manifestly socially responsible industry the
smoking habit may remain socially acceptable on most
occasions. Given scientifically established 'benefits'
demonstrable for some individuals, the habit may even
increase again in social acceptability.
However it could be disastrous for the industry if
industry leaders assumed that they are entitled to
the same freedom to over-state and mislead as are
propagandists who traditionally have more license to
operate, at least in democracies, than those who have
recognised responsibilities in the field under question.
(6)
Research projects in the social science area should
preferably be done on an industry s~nsored basis
and independently published. Credibii~ty would be
lost totally if directly mixed up with selling activities.
Nevertheless it is likely that there are those in the
Marketing function particularly, who could make a useful
contribution.
(7) The question of briefing salesmen is very difficult
and well worth discussing at the highest level.
Page3
Smoking is associated with various diseases
and the simplest explanation is direct causal. Probably
a more correct hypothesis is susceptible sub group plus
direct and indirect causal. Certainly - on the evidence -
governments would be failing in their duty if they did not
ac___~t. Scientific prrof is not necessary to make actlon
desirable. A responsible industry would aim to defend the
interests of its consumers and yet co-operate to any
consistent extent with the aims of Government. This is
difficult - but it must be accepted that Government too
aims to protect the interests of consumers.
Page 4
While the primary emphasis of the anti-smoklng
groups may be on the non-smoker, there has been a good deal
on loss of work, cost of hospitalisation, etc.
Zt is interesting to note some partial
compensation for lowered smoke by increasing the number
of cigarettes smoked. We know from laboratory tests
that smokers may also compensate by changing the way they
smoke.
Contd.
co
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

:
- 3-
Page 6
It would be important to take this 'profile'
compensation into account in any work done on cigarette
numbers.
A suggestion is made 'both for the health
conscious smoker and the smoker whose prime smoking
requirement is physiological (?) satisfaction'. Surely
many nicotine-dependent smokers are health conscious.
Health Authorities:
Most smokers accept that smoking is hazardous
but I do not believe most smokers rationalised continuation
at all - mostly they assumed the worst would only happen
to others.
Industry:
It does not follow that if the Industry had
entered into medical controversy that smokers would have
felt that cigarettes were any less hazardous. Smokers
assume the Industry is doing something about it. I
believe most smokers would think the Industry dishonest
if it claims there is no health problem.
Social Influence:
(b) I do not accept that the decision required of
the smoker involved only himself - it always involved his
family for example.
Smoking is fairly irrational like other drug-
dependencies. If there is a positive side to smoking,
and ~ think there is, it is not easy for the smoker to
artlculate. He 'votes with his feet' and continues with
this irrational act.
On balance, smoking incidence is stable and
perhaps we should leave it alone.
There is enormous public interest in such a
widespread habit and I believe it would be easy to get
'broadcast' cover for genuine innovations and genuine
product improvement.
Page ~0
Changing our products, to make them safer,
must have an increasing effect on marketing in the next
decade. Fortunately we have an R&D investment of
several millions which provides options in this field.
Before we do work aimed to sell low delivery
cigarettes, unless we are already satisfied, we should
do some work to establish that in fact they are safer.
"Full flavour" - low delivery is being
followed by all companies with a capacity to do so.
Contd.
/
0"
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

-4-
Page ~I
Future. Products:
I cannot understand what is meant by 'validate'
the Herzfeld "Index of Safety". Sclentiflcally it is
nonsense but practically it will lead to lowering of
'numbers' which on present knowledge is probably sensible
'government' intervention. For my own part I believe a
"Star system" using skull and crossbones will be used in
due course and that this will be the direct outcome of
the Herzfeld approach.
Paqe 12
Much more important than sides,ream irritation
in research is main stream irritation. Further, the
programme on interaction with the smoker is vital to
product design. Outside research on smoking motivation
and behaviour coupled with laboratory studies on humans
should guide us towards cigarettes really designed to
meet the smokers' needs - in most cases I am sure they.
would have to be made with reduced biological activity
per cigarette.
Page 13
I think we may have to accept that under senslble :
Government pressure smoking will decline as a habit - but
will still be profitable for the successful cigarette
manufacturer.
Paqe ~4
I think it is time Eo say that smoking by men
in the U.K. is increasingly a manual worker's habit. The
picture painted of the present dilemma is, in my view, very
little related to industry and company policies. It may
be argued that stoking the fire would have caused it to
burn faster.
I do not agree with the suggestion that
attribution of warnings leads the smoker to believe the
warning comes from the Company. On the contrary the
U.K.Counsel's opinion suggests the possibility of the
very reverse providing the basis for an action (albeit
an ingenious one).
Conclusion
The authors have come to the view - which has
been guiding our research effort for many years - that
the main constraints on sales are activities following
the association of smoking and diseases. It is no
criticism to say this is nothing new or indeed that
there is nothing new in the paper. It could be
important if, at last, a unified approach within
companies and the Division can be adopted.
Contd.
O
O
C7"
c-
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

It appears that the authors do not believe
£here is sufficient evidence for government action. It
is important we should have an agreed basis here. In
my view the evidence is overwhelming as a basis for social
action. Smoking is now a social problem~ the danger is
that too rapid a decrease in the habit can produce new
problems. The only proper way for us to proceed~ in my
view, is to be guided largely by what we see as in the
best interests of those who continue to smoke. Scientific
research should provide guidance but there is an enormous
challenge to our marketing skills if we are to do more
than merely offer a choice to the consumer in a contracting
market.
0
C7"
.-.A
co
oO
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999
