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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

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Integrated League Tables
(Revised verslon of ¥JCR 246, q 874)
Dr. ¥.J.C. Roe
6th January, lg78
FJCR 282
R 43
~o
Background
1.1 A multi-component league table was published in the German
¢onsumerist Journal "Test" during March, 1975. In this table
deliveries of d~y particula~e matter (PM), nicotine (Nie), CO
and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) were reported for some 37 cig~ette
brands. No attempt was made to list brands according to overall
merit. Subsequently, however' in Switzerland a Dr. Herzfeld (for
a consumer organisation) devised a "merit indeX' based on deliveries
of the same 4 components. The first Herzfeld Index p~blished in
.February, 1976 was superceded by a second in April, 1977,~lthela~e~
deliveries of the 4 c==ponen~ ~ere first expressed as percentages
of a fictitious cigar6tte which yielded:
Dry PM =~ 30 mE
Sic = 2 mg
CO = 6~ V/Y
Nox = 1500 ppm
The four percentages were added together and the sum itself
expressed as a percentage of Z00 (why of 300 an~ no~ of 400 is
unclear). Cig~ettes were then put into one of 5 categories
according to this latter percentage figure.
1.2
In March, 197T, the story was taken up by a ¢onsumerist Journal C
in Relgium, except £hat the NOx figures were not taken into account.
Instead, a figure ~as Riven for sides~ream CO. In this case the
overall "merit index" resulted in cigarette brands finding ~heir way ---
lnto one of $ categories.
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

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°.
1.3
Readers Digest (US) published a "triple-gas-rating" far 28 brands
of cig~re~te aC the end of 1976. Nothing sophisticated was
involved - the del~veries of CO, NOx and hydrogen cyanide were
simply added together!
2m
Health risks from smokin~
2.1 Epidemiological evidence has suggested associations between cigar-
"ette smoking and a wide variety of diseases and causes of death
but only five of these associations merit really serious consider-
ation in terms of disease incidence and strength of associa~ion.
~ney are:-
(i)
(ii)
(~Ai)
car)
(v)
lung cancer
chronic bronchitis
emphysema
coronary heart disease
low birth weight and complications of same.
In all fi~s cases the associations are much stronger
for cigarette smoking than for cigar or pipe-smoking.
2.2
Cigarette smoke, cigar smoke and pipe smoke each consist of
thousands of known components together wi~h a large number of un-
known ingredients. A few of the large number of smoke ingredients
have been found to exhibit effects An laboratory tests tha~ might
be relevant to the possible causation of the above five diseases.
Thus: (i) trace amounts of known carcinogens have been isolated
from smoke tar, (it) skin tumours have been produced by the
repeated application of cigarette, pipe or cigar tar to the skin
of mice or rahbits, (tii) some of the gases in smoke e.g. NOx,
HCN have been found to increase mucus production by respiratory
mucous membranes and to inhibit (temporarily) ciikal activity, (iv)
nitrogen dioxide has been claimed ~o cause emphysema in rats
(although the evidence is disputable), (v) changes which mighY
conceivably be ~elevan~ to coronary ~rtery.dlsease, have been
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

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reported in the lininE of blood vessels of. animals exposed
acutely to CO (bu~ attempts to reproduce these findings have
failed) p (¢I) both raised COHh levels and exposure to nicotine
have shown to reduce exercise tolerance in patients with anEina
pe@~oris~ and (vii) exposure of preEnan¢ animals continuously
hiEh levels of CO has, in some experiments, been associated wlth
low birth weiEh¢.
2.3
The kind of information summarized in paragraph 2.2 falls a long
way short of proof that any of the agents mentioned cause any of
the dlseases listed In paraKTaph 2.1. ~oreover if'is clear
that none of the agents listed are the sole causes of any
of the diseases @oncerned. The most that can be said with any"
confidence is:
(1)
w
that there are probably components in clEarette
tar which, if inhaled, predispose ~o chronic
lunE disease including cancer.
(ll)
that in smokers who inhale smoke in the same
way and to the same extent, less harm is likely
to ste~ from smoke low in irritant
compon~:~ts than from smoke hiEh in such compon-
ents.
(Ill)
HiEh doses of CO and/or nicotine are probably
harmful to patients who already have coronary
artery disease but it is by no means certain
that either component alone or in combination
with each other or with other smoke components
increases the incidence of atherosclerosls of
coronary vessels.
3e
The nature of the contribution of particular smoke components to the
risk of partlcular dlsesses
3.1 The best guess that anyone can make about the basis of the assoc-
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

iation between smoking and lung cancer is that it has something
to do with the condensible matter. Not all Investigators
are convinced ~hat the vapour phase (VP) constituents do not
include relevant carcinogens and some think that the VP may act
Go-¢arclnogenlcally. Virtually nobody believes that any one
constituent oZ smoke is solely responsible for Its ca~clnogenlc
effects on the lung: multiple InEredlents acting addltlvely or
synerglstlcally seem .to be involved and, almost certainly, some
constltuents' of ts~T exhibit antagonistic effects. Without better
knowledge of mechanisms it is a reasonable hypothesls that the rlsk
of lung oancer will be reduced In smokers who inhale less tar, and
despite the argume=t that some smokers adjust their inhaling habits
to get a fixed dose of nicotine, since tar and nicotine deliveries
tend to me~e in same direction, ther~ is likely to be a~ overall
benefit frc~ across the board reductions in tar delivery.
3.3
3.3
• °
~he contribution of smoking to the causation of chronic-bronchitis
is not so elea~ cu~. Occupational Sactors and air pollution are
obviously of considerable importance and there is no clear indication
of which constituents of smoke are especially implicated. In the
short term~cough =nd mucus production are reduced by reductions in
tar delivery and possibly also by the use of charcoal fll~ers which
reduce ~he delivery of cert%in irritant gases. However, it is
uncertain whether these short term benefits reflect long-term
benefits In ~erms of risk of :chronic bronchitis.
The nature of the association between smoking and emphysema is klso
obscure. The laboratory demonstratlon that nltro~en dloxlde may
cause emphysem& is somewhat unconvincing. Presently the vogue is
to believe that the phagocy~osls of smoke particles by lung macro-
phages which then release pro~eolytie enzymes Is to blame and that
humans who are genetically deficient in certain antlproteolytlc
enzyme factors (e.g.~1--antltrypsln) are especially at rlsk if they
smoke. But this vogue may not last. If it does then a tar league
table would be the best index. A merit index which took into
account NOx and other Ea@es would have no subs~antlal sclentlfi¢
bamis and migh~ be misleading.
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

3.4
In the case of coronar7 heart disease, ~wo constituents of smoke,
nicotine and carbon monoxide have attracted Che most attention,
aS poeEible a~ternative co-fa¢¢ors with dietary factors being the
prime cause. If Russell is right and the best index of relative
Bagel7 would be the ra~io oZ n~co~ine ~o tar and/or the ratio O~
nicotine to CO, and a "merit index°' which in some way adds___ dd the
ta~, nicotine and CO deliveries together would be wholly misleading.
3.5
At present nobody knows which ingredients of smoke ~ffec¢ the
birth weight of babies. Mos¢ attention has been paid to CO but
nicotine and particulate phase materials are not necessarlly without
e£~ec:,
Tables for Tar and Nicotine
BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

have some value.
stay.
In any case one suspects, that they are here to
4.2
The reason why Governments publish t~r and nicotine, tables is so
that members of the public ca~ choose the lower tar and nicotine
.delivery cigarettes which they a~e advised to choose on health
grounds.
4.3
• For the most part nicotine and tar deliveries move up and down
together. This is because the majority of the nicotine is in the
"particulate phase of smoke so that factors (e.g. filtra~ion,
ventilation) which affect the one also affect the other.
4,4
The scientific case for nicotine tables is less clear than that for
tLr tables. There is considerable evidence that a proportion of
.smokers adjust their cigarette consumption and puffing characteristics
in order to get the dose of nicotine to which they have grown accust-
omed. The possibility thus arises that such a smoker will extract
similar amouL~s of tar and nicotine from cigarettes irrespect~ve of
their position in the league tables, or if they canlt completely
compensate in this waytthat they will consume more cigarettes per
day. In fact the more likely situation is that such smokers will
not be satisfied by low nicotine delivery cigarettes and will choose
stronger brands.
4.5
All in all there is no strong case on health grounds for publishing
nicotine tables but on the other hand, ~he inclusion of figures for
nicotine in tar league tables does not introduce any serious source
of confusion for smokers. Nor is it likely to induce smokers to
indulge in the smoking habit in a more harmful way ~han they o~her-
wise would.
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

° .
O'
So
League Tables for CO
5.1
It is doubtful whether raised COHb levels produce adverse effects
in healthy individuals although they probably reduce exercise
tolerance in subjects who already have coronary Lrter7 occlusion.
For the latter reason, if CO were the only potentially noxious
component of smoke, it would not be unreasonable to T.hink in terms
of publishing CO league tables. This is not, however, the position
and few doubt that, collectively, the thousands of substances which
go to made up the 'tar' are likely to contribute most to the harm-
fulness of smoke." C0 is under suspicion mainly in relation to .
cardiovascular disease and effects on the fetus, but nicotine is by
no means entirely clear of suspicion in relation to either of these
possible health effects.
5.2
Unlike tar and nicotine which tend to rise and fall together, CO
delivery can to some extent be made to vary independently of tar
and nicotine delivery. Thus it would, within limits, "be possible
"to have medium tar and nicotine with low CO delivery cigarettes or
low tar and nicotine with higher CO delivery cigarettes. ~f a
Government published tables which contained such 'choices' what
advice would they then E'ive to consumers?
5.3
5.4
There is no formula for equating ~he risks from tar, nicotine and
CO and simply to advise the consumers to choose a brand low in all
3 constituents is to ignore the facts referred to in paragraph 4.4
above• A vocal body of medical opinion is on record as stating
that the formula for a safer cigarette is one that delivers smoke
with a high nicotine:low CO ratio rather than a low everything
¢igLTette which will be (a) rejected by those who smoke for the
nicotine or (b) 'over-smoked' by comparison with the smoking param-
eters used for determination of the various deliveries.
One must conclude, therefore, tha~ ~he addition of CO delivery to
existing tar and nicotine tables would at best serve to.confuse
smokers into lwi~ching to brands that they might smoke in such a way
that they are at greater risk than before they switched.
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

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q
6o
Leasue Tables for other components
6.1
Smoke consists of thousands of constituents. The composition of
smoke changes rapidly during the few seconds after its generation
and is subject ot numerous chemical interactions during this time.
Hany of the constituents other than carbon dioxide and water are
present in very small or trace amounts. The detection of the
presence of some of them represent triumphs of analytical chemistry.
The accuracy of the methods of measuremen~ of many of the constituents
in the amounts in which they are present is poor and frequently
varies depending on the concentrations of other constituents. There
is little precise knowledge about the potentiality of m~ny of the
constituents for biological effec~ and every reason to expect mult-
iple biological interactions. Thus it would not be su~prisin; if
the potentiality for effect of one component depended to the extent
of 10-fold or I00-fold on the concentration of another component.
Finally, it is clear that the way a cigarette is smoked has consid-
erable effects on the composition of the smoke produced.
6.2
Even if (t) it were ~ossSble to measure accurately the concentrations
of a number of minor components of smoke, (ii) there were no
biological interactions and (fit) it were reasonable to ignore the
fact that smokers smoke differently, it would still be impossible
to produce any meaningful InteErated league table tha~ took the
deliveries of such ¢onstltuents into account alonE with those of
tar as & whole, nicotine, and carbon monoxide. In the first place
it is not clear whether in the concentrations in which they are
present any of the components has any measurable harmful effect on
health. In the second place even if one could define adverse
effects on health of individual components, there is no formula for
equating one kind of health risk with another.
6.3
Individuals differ in the spectra of diseases to which they ere
especially susceptible or resistant. One par$1cular component may
be harmful in one way to one individual but not to another whilst
another componen~ may be harmful In the same or another way to the
second individual but not to the first
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999

a
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6.4
If, therefore, the Government or other body. decided to publish
deliveries of say the 16 individual components of cigarettes
listed in the Hun~er Commi~tee Guidelines, brand by brand, they
would in effect produce no~hing more than a complex and uninter-
pre~able table. Many of the numbers would be qualified by large
confidence limits and there would be no back-up of scion=trio
informa~ion ~o answer any member of ~he public who enquired whether
he should choose a high X low Y or a high Y low X brand. Most
members of the public would be confused and some of them misled.
Turthermore, much of the impact of the present, simple, tar and
nicotine ~ables would be lost.
0
"Merl~ Indices" in the interpretation of multicomponen~ league tables
7.1 If the Government or another body took the matter further and
attempted to i~egrate the figures for multiple components into a
single index of relative merit, they could only do so by making
"assumptions for wh±ch there is little or no medical scientific or
toxicologicaI basis. The wide limits of acoura¢~ for the measure-
ments of some components might, depending on the method of calcul-
ation of the merit index, fluff the significance of differences in
delivery of components which can he measured with narrower confidence
limits. The more components that were integrated, the lees effect
differences in any one component would have on the overall index.
Thus there would be a tendancy for indices for different brands to
approximate towards the mean for all brands.
FJCR
7.2
Theoretically the number of different ways of 'integrating' the
deliveries of widely different chemicals with the potential for
widely different biological effects is legion. Since there is no
scien~ific basis for choosing any one particular method from the
many, it behoves anyone who makes the choice go list the articles
of faith on which he relies.
peculiarly his own.
He may ~hen find tha~ his religion is
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BATCo document for PFSFC 1 March 1999
