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Philip Morris

Draft Talk to Epa Sab

Date: 1990 (est.)
Length: 20 pages
2501073536-2501073555
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Fields

Type
SPCH, SPEECH, PRESENTATION
PHOT, PHOTOGRAPH
Attachment
2501073503/2501073556
Area
LEGAL DEPT/EEMA ARCHIVE
Site
E35
Named Person
Akiba
Brownson
Buffler
Chan
Correa
Gao
Garfinkel
Geng
Hirayama
Hole
Humble
Inoue
Janerich
Kabat, G.
Koo
Lam
Lee
Pershagen
Shimizu
Sobue
Surgeon General
Svensson
Trichopoulos
Varela
Wells, J.
Wu
Request
Stmn/Rl-002
Stmn/R1-048
Document File
2501073421/2501073557/Ets General 900000 - 910000 Eema Legal Dpt.
Named Organization
1990 Toxicology Forum
Epa, Environmental Protection Agency
Sab
Litigation
Stmn/Produced
Characteristic
MARG, MARGINALIA
Master ID
2501073503/3556
Related Documents:
Date Loaded
05 Jun 1998
UCSF Legacy ID
ewu32e00

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Page 11: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
USE CONSISTENT EXPOSURE INDEX Among women who have never smoked Compare 1. Husbands who have NEVER smoked 2. Husbands who have EVER smoked Relevant to Hirayama Trichopoulos Garfinkel (case-control) 9tisELoxosz
Page 12: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
'--, ~ ` -_ LUNG CANCER AND ETS EXPOSURE AT WORK Garfinkel 1I* Female 0.88 (0.66 - 1.18) 0.93 (0.73 - 1.18) Kabat I Female 0.68 (0.32 - 1.47) Male 3.27 (1.01 - 10.6) Kabat II Female 1.00 (0.49 - 2.06) Male 0.98 (0.46 - 2.10) Lee Female 0.63 (0.17 - 2.33) Male 1.61 (0.39 - 6.60) Shimizu Female 1.20 (0.44 - 1.37) Varela** Both 0.91 (0.80 - 1.04) Wu Female 1.30 (0.50 - 3.30) -LVS6L0T0S3 *Exposure in last 5 years and in last 25 years **Per 150 person/years smoking in the workplace
Page 13: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
LUNG CANCER AND ETS EXPOSURE IN CHILDHOOD Akiba Combined Parents "No association" Correa Combined Parents "No sig increase" Gao Female Cohabitant 1.10 (0.70 - 1.70) Garfinkel II Female Any 0.91 (0.74 - 1.12) Kabat II Female Family 1.68 (0.86 - 3.27) Male 0.73 (0.34 - 1.59) Koo Female Household 0.55 (0.16 - 1.77) Pershagen Female Parents 1.00 (0.40 - 2.30) Sobue Female Father 0.60 (0.40 - 0.91) Mother 1.71 (0.95 - 3.10) Other family 1.13 (0.69 - 1.87) Svensson Female Father 0.90 (0.40 - 2.30) Mother 3.30 (0.50 - 18.8) Varela Combined Household 1.30 (0.85 - 2.00) Wu Female Parents 0.60 (0.20 - 1.70) eVsUotosz
Page 14: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
LUNG CANCER RELATIVE RISK FOR SPOUSE SMOKING FEMALES Studies with obvious failure to compare like with like are highlighted Inoue 2.55 Koo 1.55 Shimizu 1.08 Humble I ~ 2.34 Aki ba 1.52 Lee 1.03 Geng 2.16 Hirayama 1.38 Pershagen 1.03 Trichopoulos ~ 2.08 Svensson ~ 1.26 Sobue 0.94 Correa ~ 2 07. . Buffler 0.80 Lam I ~ 2.01 Garfinkel II 1.23 Kabat II 0.90 Hole 1.89 Wu 1.20 Kabat I 0.79 Brownson x 1.82 Gao 1.19 Chan 0.75 Lam il ~- 1.65 Garfinkel 1 1.17 Varela x~ 0.75 6VSEL0t0SZ
Page 15: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
SOURCES OF BIAS (SAB issue v) o Failure to compare like with like o Publication bias o Confounding o Misclassification of active smoking status
Page 16: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
SPOUSE SMOKING AND LUNG CANCER EVIDENCE OF PUBLICATION BIAS IN STUDIES ON FEMALES 8 Studies with highest relative risk estimates (>1.80) Numbers of lung cancers 6, 19, 20, 22, 22, 54, 60, 77 mean 35 median 22 8 studies with lowest relative risk estimates (<1.05) Numbers of lung cancers 24, 32, 41, 53, 70, 84, 120, 144 mean 71 median 61.5 (p<0.05) t956Lotosz
Page 17: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
MISCLASSIFICATION OF ACTIVE SMOKING STATUS o Misclassification as NEVER smokers o Misclassification as a proportion of EVER smokers o Adjust study by study 0 Use parameters relevant to study ZSSELOtQSZ
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BIAS FROM MISCLASSIFICATION IN FOUR SCENARIOS Scenario % Ever Smoked % ETS Exposed RR Smoking Misciass Rate Bias * US women 49.0 54.3 6.73 1°l0 1.06 2 °/0 1.12 5 °l0 1.35 10% 2.02 US men 77.1 38.7 11.83 1% 1.52 2 °l0 2.38 Asian women 24.5 56.9 2.99 10% 1.07 25% 1.26 40 °l0 1.73 50 °/0 2.82 Asian men 80.8 6.6 3.48 1 °/0 1.20 2% 1.42 5% 2.36 essscoiosz * Assuming concordance ratio of 3.0
Page 19: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
INCLUDE ASIAN EVIDENCE? (SAB issue iii) Highly dubious because: 0 Extent of exposure may differ 0 No Asian misclassification data 0 Objective to provide US estimate tiSSEL0t0Sz
Page 20: ewu32e00 Log in for more options!
CHARACTERIZE UNCERTAINTIES (SAB issue vi) 0 US vs All 0 Ex-smokers 0 Dosimetric vs Epidemiological sssECOiosZ

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