Philip Morris
Fields
- Author
- Tozzi, J.J.
- Type
- LETT, LETTER
- Document File
- 2500016592/2500016744/920000 - Ets
- Area
- VIRENDRA,SUNAINA/CARLSTADT
- Request
- Stmn/R1-004
- Copied
- Bayard, S.
- Brownson, R.
- Farland, W.
- Named Organization
- American Journal of Public Health
- Epa, Environmental Protection Agency
- NCI, Natl Cancer Inst
- Science Advisory Board Executive Comm
- Site
- G21
- Named Person
- Reilly
- Master ID
- 2500016594/6605
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Multinational Business Services, Inc.
11 oupont Circle
Washington, 0. C. 20036
U. S. A. (202) 293---'E86 Regulatory and Trade
Fax: (202) 939-fi969 Counseilors
November 13, 1992
Dr. Erich Bretthauer
Assistant Administrator for
Research and Development
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M St., S. W.
Washington, D.C. 20460
Dear Dr. Bretthauer:
I would like to express to EPA my appreciation for providing me the opportunity to
address the Science Advisory Board Executive Committee at its October 27 - 28, 1992
meeting concerning the outstanding risk characterization issues of the environmental
tobacco smoke ("ETS") risk assessment. The thrust of my presentation to the
Fxer.utive Committee was not that EPA needed to collect more data on ETS, but
merely that EPA needed to highlight certain information already contained in the
ETS risk assessment.
To reiterate the key message of my Executive Committee presentation, there is data
in the ETS risk assessment which indicates that there may or may not be an increase
'in lung cancer risk from ETS exposure. Significantly, this position is further
supported by the newly-published National Cancer Institute ("NCI") epidemiologic
,Ludy on ETS entitled Passive Smoking and Lung Cancer in Nonsmoking Women
S
which is in the November 1992 edition of the American Journal of Public Health.
IKeeping in mind that a relative risk of 1.0 or below indicates no detected increase in
risk. the key findings of the study include:
No increase in lung cancer risk from spousal exposure to ETS.
The EPA ETS risk assessment is based on the risk of lung cancer in
nonsmoking female spouses. However, the NCT study states that -
In earlier studies, the most eommonly r
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reported index of passive smoking exposure
has been the presence or absence of a -
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Multinational Legal Services Hamburg (40)
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797-7124
Multinational Investment Services 11 Dupont Circle Washington, D. C. (202) 797-6353

5t\ l' t31c : 11-17-92 : 1:26PM : 1iBS- 9121287821 ti3: T 1 u: 11
Multinational Business Services, Inc.
2
smoking spouse. In our data set, no elevated
risk was noted for this variable.
Th.is conclusion is supported by a-relative risk of 1.0. This result directly
contradicts EPA's ETS risk assessment.
No statistically significant increases in iung cancer risk even
from "heavy" ETS exposure. Although the NCI study reports a
relative risk of 1.3 for the most heavily-exposed study subjects -- i.e.,
those who reported 40 or more pack-years of exposure -- this increase is
not statistically significant as the 95% confidence interval includes 1.0.
[NOTE: A pack-year is defined to be # packs of cigarettes smoked by
the husband per day x # years of smoking by the husband -- so 40 pack-
years means the husband smoked 14,600 packs or 292,000 cigarettes.)
No increase in lung cancer risk from occupational exposure to
ETS. The EPA ETS risk assessment assumes, without empirical
evidence, that there is a risk of lung cancer from background ETS
exposure. Background exposures include occupational exposure._
However, the NCI study states -
In general, there was no elevated lung cancer
risk associated with passive smoke exposure
in the workplace.
Although the NCI study states that the most heavily occupationally-
exposed lifetime nonsmokers reported a slight increase in risk --
relative risk of 1.2 -- this relative risk is statistically insignificant given
that the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval is 0.9.
No increase in lung cancer risk from childhood exposure to ETS.
The NCI study concluded that childhood exposure to ETS was not
associated with an increase in the risk of lung cancer.
Accordingly, given:
The size (i.e., it is the largest study on ETS and lung cancer in
existence), quality, source and results of the new study;
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The significant. but ignored, scientific deficiencies in the EPA ETS risk
assessment, including that EPA's results are not readily reproducible or

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Multinational Business Services. Inc.
3
verifiable by independent statisticians; and
~ Administrator Reilly's often-repeated commitment to good science in
light of Safeguarding the Future: Credible Science, Credible Decisions,
I believe that it is incumbent upon EPA to defer issuing the ETS risk assessment
until it is made to reflect the known science rather than the emotion and politics of
ETS. This could be accomplished by including in the ETS risk assessment a
statement or words to the effect that:
Based on the data from the epidemiologic studies for
spousal exposure to ETS, there may or may not be an
increase in the risk of lung cancer from ETS
exposure.
ln addition to fairly and accurately reflecting the known science of ETS, this
statement helps ensure that EPA is an institution of science-based policy, rather than
policy-based science.
~r
-Jin~,J, Tozzi
Director
cc: Dr. Ross Brownson
Dr. William Farland
Dr. Steven Bayard
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