Philip Morris
Lung Cancer
Fields
- Author
- Pershagen, G.
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- 2063633034/3485
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Document Images
EASE
:onal alcohol
's and hnpli-
Blanchet, F.,
K, P~quinot,
I Zubiri, L.,
ntemational
~rra (Spain),
~-491,1988.
• D. A., and
m Brazil: a
~d Terracini,
Jder cancer,
and Roy, P.,
,unbeds and
~son, G. M.,
a myeloma:
nder, B. G.,
:o phenoxy
m, J. Natl.
10
LUNG CANCER
G6ran Pershagen
CONTENTS
Introduction .................................................
147
Lung Cancer Occurrence ......................................
148
Environmental Causes of Lung Cancer ...........................
148
Tobacco Smoking and Occupation ............................
148
Ambient Air Pollution ......................................
149
Urban Areas .............................................
149
Industrial Areas .........................................
150
Residential Radon .........................................
151
Cooking Fumes ...........................................
152
Environmental Tobacco Smoke ...............................
153
Research Needs ..............................................
154
Role of Vital Statistics ......................................
154
Definition of Disease ...... . .................................
154
Individual Susceptibility ....................................
155
Markers of Exposure .......................................
155
Hypotheses to Be Tested . : ....................................
156
References ..................................................
157
INTRODUCTION
Lung cancer is believed to be the most common fatal neoplastic disease
in the world today (IARC, 1986). In comparison with other types of cancer,
many etiological factors have been identified, which together often account
for a major part of the cases. Tobacco smoking is the dominating cause and
occupational exposures are of importance in some situations. However, for
many environmental exposures, which may be of great significance from a
public health point of view, the evidence remains unclear.
147

148
ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: EXPOSURE AND DISEASE
LUNG CANCER
This review will focus on lung cancer in relation to environmental expo-
sures such as ambient air pollution, residential radon, environmental tobacco
smoke (ETS), and combustion products from indoor sources. Tobacco smoking
and occupational exposures are taken up mainly as interacting and confounding
factors and for risk extrapolation from high exposures. Identification of
research needs will receive particular attention, especially in relation to the
application of new molecular biologic techniques in epidemiologic studies.
LUNG CANCER OCCURRENCE
The incidence of lung cancer has risen sharply during this century, and it
is now one of the leading causes of cancer death in many countries. For
example, in the U.S. the age-adjusted lung cancer mortality in men increased
from 11 per 100,000 in 1940 to 73 per 100,000 in 1982 (Garfinkel & Silver-
berg, 1990). The lung cancer death rate in women started to rise in the early
1960s from 6 per I00,000 to 25 per 100,000 in 19~6. In the younger age
groups there has been a levelling off in the mortality rates among men but not
in women. In Sweden the lung cancer incidence has increased an average of
1.7 and 3.9% yearly in men and women, respectively, during the last two
decades (Pershagen, 1990). Lung cancer rates among middle-aged men in
Eastern Europe are approaching the high rates in Finland and the U.K. of the
1950s (IARC, 1986). Also in many developing countries there is a sharp
increase in lung cancer incidence and by the turn of the century it is estimated
that around 2 million lung cancer deaths will appear annually in the world.
There are pronounced differences in lung cancer incidence between dif-
ferent countries and regions. The highest age standardised incidence rates in
an international comparison were found in black men of New Orleans, U.S.
(110 per 100,000 and year) and in Maori women of New Zealand (68 per
100,000 and year). The lowest rates in men and women were found in Madras,
India (6 and 2 per I00,000 and year, respectively). In general, urban areas
showed higher rates in both men and women than rural areas (IARC, 1987).
The major differences in lung cancer occurrence between high and low
incidence areas indicate that there is a substantial potential for prevention.
Furthermore, in spite o'f great efforts to improve treatment, most lung cancer
patients die within i year after diagnosis. Primary prevention must thus be
given high priority.
ENVIRONMENTAL CAUSES OF LUNG CANCER
Tobacco Smoking and Occupation
Tobacco smoking is the most important cause of lung cancer, and where
prolonged smoking is widespread it generally accounts for more than 80% of
the cases (IAR(
of smoking. Aft
falls and will a1
Peto, 1976). Stl
lung cancer in
Rogot & Murra
1987; Carstensc
makes it impov
in all studies ot
A number,
increased risk c
polyaromatic h,
vidual risks ma
cancer due to o
number of subj
tionally expose
proportion ma)
In several
between smoki~
pies include as~
and radon daug
esis with agent
may generate tt
less pronounce
Radford & St.
conclusively re.
of a small nul
statistical powe
Ambient Air
Urban Areas
The comF
complex. Som~
demiologic stu
1950s; and urb
to the 1980s. t
for residential
while in other,,
"urban" thus d
differences, be
lutants and the

LUNG CANCER 149
tl expo-
tobacco
moking
~unding
.tion of
~ to the
udies.
, and it
es. For
creased
Silver-
~e early
zer age
but not
rage of
tst two
~nen in
• of the
.'orld.
en dif-
ates in
s, U.S.
68 per
!adras,
i areas
1987).
]d low
ration.
cancer
.ms be
where
0% of
the cases (IARC 1986). The risk is closely related to duration and intensity
of smoking. After cessation of smoking the excess relative risk of lung cancer
fails and will approach zero after 10-20 years (Cederl6f et al., 1975; Doll &
Peto, 1976). Studies from the U.K. and the U.S. have shown lower risks for
lung cancer in pipe smokers than in cigarette smokers (Doll & Peto, 1976,
Rogot & Murray, 1980), but this is not true for Sweden (Damber & Larsson,
1987; Carstensen et al., 1987). The dominating role of smoking in lung cancer
makes it important to be considered as an effect modifier and/or confounder
in all studies of lung cancer etiology.
A number of occupational exposure factors have been associated with an
increased risk of lung cancer, such as asbestos, chromates, inorganic arsenic,
polyaromatic hydrocarbons, and radon (Simonato et al., 1988). Although indi-
vidual risks may be substantial, the population attributable proportion of lung
cancer due to occupational exposures is generally low because of the limited
number of subjects exposed. However, in some situations where the occupa-
tionally exposed constitute a large fraction of the population, the attributable
proportion may reach 40%.
In several studies on lung cancer etiology, a multiplicative interaction
between smoking and occupational exposures has been observed. Some exam-
ples include asbestos (Hammond et al., 1979), arsenic (Pershagen et al., 198 I),
and radon daughters (Archer et al., 1973). Multistage models for carcinogen-
esis with agents operating at different stages in the cancer induction process
may generate this type of interaction. In other studies, the interaction has been
less pronounced, more consistent with an additive effect (Pinto et al., 1978,
Radford & St. Clair-Renard, 1984). In most studies it was not possible to
conclusively reject either an additive or a multiplicative model, mainly because
of a small number of non-smoking lung cancer cases resulting in a low
statistical power of the test.
Ambient Air Pollution
Urban Areas
The composition of ambient air in urban areas is quite variable and
complex. Some examples of the environments under investigation in the epi-
demiologic studies reviewed here include British towns and cities during the
1950s; and urban areas in Japan, China, Europe, and the U.S. from the 1960s
to the 1980s. Emissions resulting from the use of coal and other fossil fuels
for residential heating were dominating sotffces of pollution in some areas,
while in others motor vehicles or industries were more important. The term
"urban" thus denotes a mixture of environments, which may show substantial
differences, both in terms of actual exposures to various environmental pol-
lutants and the influence of interacting or confounding factors.

150
ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: EXPOSURE AND DISEASE
LUNG CAI~
The epidemiologic evidence on air pollution and lung cancer has recently
been reviewed by Pershagen and Simonato (1990) and will be discussed only
briefly here. Seven cohort studies on urban air pollution and lung cancer were
available. All but one of the investigations contained information on smoking
for all study subjects. The studies came from the U.S. (3), Sweden (2), Finland
(1), and the U.K. (1). Smoking-adjusted relative risks for lung cancer in urban
areas were generally on the order of 1.5 or lower in those cohort studies
reporting increased risks. The findings pertain mainly to smokers. For non-
smokers the number of cases was generally too small for a meaningful inter-
pretation of urban-rural differences.
In the 13 case-control studies reviewed by Pershagen and Simonato
(1990), residential and smoking histories were obtained for the study subjects
and sometimes also information on potential confounding factors, such as
occupation. Increased relative risks for lung cancer were observed among men
in urban areas in three British studies as well as in studies from Greece, Poland,
China, and Japan. Two U.S. studies found raised lung cancer risks in urban
males, while another two failed to show an effect. The results for women are
difficult to interpret because of small numbers, but at least one study indicated
a raised lung cancer risk for females in urban areas, also among nonsmokers.
The magnitude of the excess relative risks for lung cancer in urban areas
reported in the case-control studies was similar to that in the cohort studies.
The epidemiologic studies on urban air pollution and lung cancer gave
somewhat inconsistent results as to the type of interaction with tobacco smok-
ing. Some studies provided evidence of a combined effect exceeding an addi-
tive effect, and often compatible with a mtdtiplicative interaction, while other
studies were more consistent with an additive effect.
Industrial Areas
Several epidemiologic studies have been carried out in areas near copper,
lead, or zinc smelters (Pershagen & Simonato, 1990). The emissions from the
smelters are quite complex, but inorganic arsenic is often a major component.
The studies come from four countries (Canada, China, Sweden, and U.S.) and
are of ecologic or case-control design. Five ecologic studies showed increased
lung cancer rates,among men living in areas near non-ferrous smelters with
relative risks ranging from about 1.2 to over 2. Two case-control studies
showed relative risks of 1.6 and 2.0 for men living near the smelters after
adjustment for occupation and smoking. A study of women near a U.S. smelter
also suggested an increased lung cancer risk related to estimated exposure to
arsenic in ambient air.
Ecologic studies on lung cancer have been performed in areas with indus-
tries of different types, including chemical, pesticide, petroleum, shipbuilding,
steel, and transportation industries (Pershagen & Simonato, 1990). Most of
the studies showed increased lung cancer risks, which did not seem to be
explained
trolled or
It is ~
lution ant
this relati,
informati~
making it
dose-resp
uted to th
Residen
~ nu
exposed t
(NAS, 19
daughters
in many 1
an impor~
for severe
data in m
Lung
with diffe
case-cont
acteristic~,
between e
sizes and
data for c
Five
measuren
residency
Ruosteen
detailed :
Positive ~
ies, while
in expost
comparis,
The •
cancer m
based on 1
1987) or
estimates
Ruosteen,
range as
suggests ~

LUNG CANCER 151
:ently
[ only
were
oking
nland
urban
udies
non-
inter-
explained by socioeconomic factors. However, smoking habits were not con-
trolled or was employment at the industries under study.
It is difficult to interpret the epidemiologic evidence on ambient air pol-
lution and lung cancer. Many studies were not originally designed to study
this relation which has implications for the detail and quality of the exposure
information. Data from measurements of air pollutants were generally limited,
making it difficult to compare the findings in different studies and to assess
dose-response relationships. Uncontrolled confounding may also have contrib-
uted to the results.
3nato
~jects
:h as
: men
,land,
~rban
n are
cated
,kers.
areas
lies.
pper,
,~ the
ilent.
~ and
ased
with
tdies
after
elter
re to
dus-
ling,
it of
~ be
Residential Radon
A number of epidemiologic investigations show that underground miners
exposed to high levels of radon daughters run an increased risk of lung cancer
(NAS, 1988). Studies in experimental animals confirm that inhalation of radon
daughters can induce lung cancer. The increased radon concentrations found
in many homes of some countries, suggest that residential radon exposure is
an important risk factor for lung cancer in the general population. However,
for several reasons, quantitative assessments of population risks based on the
data in miners and experimental animals are uncertain.
Lung cancer risks related to residential radon exposure have been studied
with different epidemiologic methodologies (Samet, 1989). Earlier cohort and
case-control studies based the exposure estimation primarily on housing char-
acteristics and/or geology. Many of these studies showed an association
between estimated radon exposure and lung cancer risk; however, limited study
sizes and imprecision in the exposure estimates make it difficult to use the
data for quantitative risk assessments.
Five recent case-control studies based the exposure estimation on radon
measurements in homes of the study subjects covering about 10-30 years of
residency (Axelson et al., 1988; Blot et al., 1990; Schoenberg et al., 1990;
Ruosteenoja, 1991; Pershagen et al., 1992). These studies also contained
detailed information on smoking and other potential confounding factors.
Positive exposure-response relationships were suggested in some of the stud-
ies, while others found no evidence of a trend. Differences between the studies
in exposure levels and in the influence of other risk factors complicate a
comparison of the results.
The risk estimates in the studies on residential radon exposure and lung
cancer may be compared with those obtained from miners. Risk estimations
based on the mining data often used relative risk models, either constant (ICRP,
1987) or modified by age and time since exposure (NAS, 1988). The risk
estimates from the residential radon studies by Schoenberg et al. (1990),
Ruosteenoja (1991), and Pershagen et al. (1992) appear to lie within the same
range as those projected from miners, while the study by Blot et al. (1990)
suggests a lower risk. There are considerable uncertainties in the comparisons

152
ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: EXPOSURE AND DISEASE
LUNG
with the mining data. For example, age differences in risk or consequences of
a nonmultiplicative interaction between radon and smoking have not. been
considered.
The type of interaction between radon exposure and smoking is of impor-
tance for the risk assessment. In miners a multiplicative or submultiplicative
interaction was often found but the data are not fully consistent (NAS, 1988).
A major difficulty in the interpretation arises from the fact that the number of
lung cancers is low among nonsmokers, although the data clearly indicate that
the risk is elevated also in this group among radon exposed miners. For
residential exposure only limited evidence is available and no clear pattern of
interaction between smoking and radon exposure has emerged.
Cooking Fumes
Several epidemiologic studies have investigated lung cancer risks in rela-
tion to exposure to combustion products in homes. The sources include fuels
used for cooking and heating, such as coal and kerosene, as well as vegetable
oils used for frying, etc. Most of the studies come from China, where indoor
air pollution levels from such sources may be substantial (Mumford et al.,
1987). In this context it is worth noting that increased lung cancer risks have
been reported both among cooks and bakers (Coggon et al., 1986; T~ichsen &
Nordholm, 1986), and among coke oven workers (Redmond, 1976).
Two case-control studies on female lung cancer from China suggest that
cooking oil fumes may be of importance for lung cancer (Gao et al., 1987;
Wu-Williams et al., 1990). In one of the studies there was an increased risk
of lung cancer associated with the use of rapeseed oil for cooking compared
to soybean oil. The lung cancer risk was related to degree of smokiness when
cooking and number of dishes prepared per week. In the other study increased
risks of lung cancer were related to number of meals prepared by deep frying
and to eye irritation during cooking.
In parts of China indoor burning of coal for domestic cooking and heating
is common. Two types of coal are "smoky coal", which smokes heavily on
firing; and "smokeless coal", which produces little smoke. Lung cancer rates
in Xuan Wei county among both men and women living .in areas where
"smoky" coal was the predominant fuel were substantially higher than in areas
where "smoke'~ess" coal or wood was used (Mumford et al., 1987). A subse-
quent case-control study indicated that domestic coal use was a stronger risk
factor for lung cancer in females than smoking and that the risk was related
to the duration of exposure (He et al., 1991). In the study by Wu-Williams et
al. (1990) there was an elevated risk related to the number of years using coal
for domestic heating.
A case-control study from Guangzhou, China showed that several vari-
ables indicating a poor kitchen and house ventilation were associated with an
increased lung cancer risk (Liu et al., 1992). Coal was the predominant fuel
used i
burnin
al., 19
A
increa:
risk ,s
petrok
lung c~
et al.,
It
for car
where
the do
oils us
Envin
Er
(SS) re
exhale~
of mai
emittec
more ti
side st1
ETS is
the int~
Ex
its met
measur
pariso~
cotinin
afewi
Pursiar
reporte
ETS ((
Th
Persha~
3000 n.
gesting
observz
cohort :
Greece,
(more t

LUNG CANCER 153
ences of
~ot been
.f impor-
plicative
;, 1988).
tmber of
cute that
.ers. For
attern of
~ in rela-
tde fuels
egetable
'e indoor
:d et al.,
sks have
.chsen &
:7;
~sed risk
ompared
~'ss when
ncreased
frying
heating
,avily on
cer rates
ts where
in areas
A subse-
nger risk
related
lliams et
qing coal
:ral vari-
t with an
nant fuel
used in this area. An elevated relative risk associated with residential coal
burning during childhood was observed in a U.S. case-control study (Wu et
al., 1985).
A case-control study from Hong Kong (Koo et al., 1983) indicated an
increased lung cancer risk in women associated with kerosene use. No excess
risk was observed for other types of fuels, such as wood/grass or liquid
petroleum gas. However, in a study of women from Osaka, Japan, an increased
lung cancer risk was related to the use of straw or wood as cooking fuel (Sobue
et al., 1990).
It may be concluded that indoor combustion sources can be of importance
for cancer of the respiratory tract. In some situations, such as in parts of China
where smoking is rare and indoor burning of coal is common, it seems to be
the dominant cause of lung cancer. It is possible that fumes from vegetable
oils used for cooking may also play a role, but these data need confirmation.
Environmental Tobacco Smoke
Environmental tobacco smoke is produced from the side stream smoke
(SS) released from the burning tobacco product and mainstream smoke (MS)
exhaled by the smoker. There are substantial differences in the composition
of mainstream and side stream smoke (NRC, 1986). As a rule the amounts
emitted from a cigarette are greater in the side stream smoke. For example,
more than 50 times higher amounts are emitted of some nitrosamines in the
side stream smoke, but the SS/MS ratio is around 2-5 for most components.
ETS is predominantly an indoor problem; and the exposure level depends on
the intensity of smoking, room size, and air exchange.
Exposure to ETS can be estimated with biologic markers. Nicotine and
its metabolite cotinine are two sensitive and specific markers which may be
measured in saliva, serum, and urine. Cotinine has some advantages in com-
parison with nicotine, including a longer biologic half-life. The levels of
cotinine in nonsmokers reporting ETS exposure range from about one half to
a few per cent of those in regular smokers (Jarvis et al., 1984; Husgafvel-
Pursianen et al., 1987). High urinary cotinine concentrations have been
reported in children with smoking parents indicating a substantial exposure to
ETS (Greenberg et al., 1984; Henderson et al., 1989; Rylander et al., 1989).
The evidence on ETS and lung cancer has recently been reviewed by
Pershagen (1994) and will only be discussed briefly here. A total of almost
3000 non-smoking lung cancer cases have been included in 27 studies, sug-
gesting a total study base on the order of 40 million person-years under
observation. Most of the studies were of case-control design, and only 3 were
cohort studies. The studies come from six countries (China with Hong Kong,
Greece, Japan, Sweden, U.K., and U.S.) and include predominantly women
(more than 90% of the cases).

154
ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: EXPOSURE AND DISEASE
Exposure to ETS was defined in different ways in the studies; however,
very often the exposure classification was based on smoking habits of spouses.
Combining the results of the studies gives pooled relative risks of lung cancer
in nonsmoking women and men living with smokers of 1.23 Ii.11-1.36) and
1.82 (0.98-3.37), respectively.
It is necessary to consider various sources of bias and their implications
in the assessment of the epidemiologic evidence on passive smoking and lung
cancer. This is particularly relevant in view of the weak associations observed.
Probably the most important source of bias is confounding by unreported
active smoking. There is a tendency for smokers to man3.' smokers; and in
conjunction with some misclassification of smokers as nonsmokers, this would
tend to produce a spurious association bet~veen spouse smoking and lung
cancer. Unfortunately there is limited empirical information which can be used
to estimate the extent of this bias, and differences in assumptions may lead to
quite discrepant conclusions regarding its magnitude (Wald et al., 1986; Lee,
1988). Other types of bias, such as non differential misclassification of ETS
exposure and lung cancer, may give rise to an underestimation of the true risk.
RESEARCH NEEDS
Role of Vital Statistics
As indicated previously cancer and mortality registers have played a
significant role in studies of lung cancer occurrence and etiology. Because of
the dominating role of tobacco smoking for lung cancer, descriptive data on
geographical differences and time trends will mainly reflect earlier and present
smoking habits. However, there are many examples where descriptive infor-
mation on lung cancer occurrence has led to the identification of occupational
and environmental hazards (Pershag~n & Simonato, 1990). It would be par-
ticularly useful to obtain more data on lung cancer occurrence in areas with
heavy air pollution, such as in parts of Central and Eastern Europe.
The high lethality of lung cancer implies that information on its occurrence
also may be obtained also using mortality data. Furthermore. it is possible to
assess the quality of both mortality and cancer morbidity registers by com-
paring the da,~a on lung cancer. For many reasons it is of great importance to
have high quality registries on mortality and cancer morbidity. Besides pro-
viding useful descriptive information, they may also serve as a source of cases
in analytical studies. Thus, efforts should be made to support existing registries
and to create new registries, as well as to continuously assess their quality.
International collaboration is vital in these activities.
Definition of Disease
The term lung cancer mainly denotes primary cancer of the bronchus or
lung. Generally, the quality of this diagnosis is high. However. in nonsmokers,
whe
lun[
one
(Gal
198"
cam
the ~
lung
inte~
ronn
exar
cino
type
niun
is a
sure
reso
gene
supp
cers
foun
two
al., 1
for 1
Indi
sugg
a po:
meta
ity
do v,
for f
bias
popu
effec
Marl
(
whic

LUNG CANCER 155
however,
f spouses.
ng cancer
1.36) and
plications
• and lung
observed.
nreported
"s; and in
his would
and lung
n be used
ty lead to
386; Lee,
n of ETS
true risk.
a
.'cause of
; data on
d present
ve infor-
apational
t be par-
• eas with
currence
,ssible to
by com-
rtance to
des pro-
of cases
'egistries
quality.
• ~chus or
,mokers,
where this tumour is rare, substantial misclassification may occur. Secondary
lung tumours and carcinomas with unknown primary site appeared in about
one sixth of reported cases of lung cancer on death certificates in the U.S.
(Garfinkel, 1981) and in central health registers in Sweden (Pershagen et al.,
1987) among female nonsmokers. Descriptive data on time trends of lung
cancer in non-smokers must be interpreted with caution and the validity of
the diagnostic information should be carefully assessed in analytic studies of
lung cancer in nonsmokers.
Lung carcinomas can be separated into different histological types, and
international criteria of classification have been proposed (WHO, 1982). Envi-
ronmental exposures may be associated with specific histological types. For
example, tobacco smoking primarily induces epidermoid and small cell car-
cinomas, although increased relative risks are also found for other histological
types (IARC, 1986). Small cell carcinomas seem to predominate among ura-
nium miners, especially in younger age groups (NAS, 1988). However, there
is a great need for further data on associations between environmental expo-
sures and specific histological types of lung cancer, which may increase the
resolution power of the studies.
New developments in molecular biology have led to the identification of
genes which are involved in cancer induction, such as oncogenes and turnout-
suppressor genes. Ki-ras and p53 mutations are common in human lung can-
cers (Bos, 1990; Hollstein et al., 1991). A recent study of uranium miners
found differences from the usual lung cancer mutational spectrum in these
two genes, which may reflect the genotoxic effects of radon (V~ih~ikangas et
al., 1992). Further studies should be performed to identify relevant mutations
for lung cancer caused by environmental exposures.
Individual Susceptibility
A genetically determined individual susceptibility to lung cancer has been
suggested. Variation in the ability to metabolise xenobiotics is considered as
a possible explanation. Interest has focused on polymorphism of debrisoquine
metabolism, aryl hydrocarbon hydroxylase, and glutathione transferase activ-
ity (Idle, 1991). The evidence is not entirely consistent, which may have to
do with differences in design and selection of study subjects. There is a need
for further studies applying modern epidemiologic methodology to control
bias in the assessment of individual susceptibility to lung cancer. If high risk
populations could be identified, there would be better possibilities of detecting
effects of environmental exposures.
Markers of Exposure
Crude exposure measures is a major problem in analytic epidemiology,
which will generally lead to a dilution of any associations if the imprecision

156
ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: EXPOSURE AND DISEASE
is unrelated to the disease under study (nondifferential misclassification). New
developments in molecular biology have created possibilities for increasing
the precision of the exposure measurements. For example, exposure to geno-
toxic agents may be monitored by measurement of DNA-adducts and muta-
tions of marker genes, such as the hypoxanthine-guanine-phosphoribosyl-
transferase (hprt) gene. Increased levels of DNA-adducts and hprt-mutations
have been observed following exposures both in the occupational and general
environment (Hemminki et al., 1990a; Hemminki et al., 1990b; Bridges et al.,
1991; Tates et al., 1991). Biologic markers of long-term exposures extending
over years or decades would be particularly useful for epidemiologic studies.
HYPOTHESES TO BE TESTED
There is a need fo~ further studies on the effects of ambient air pollution
by chemical type or species on lung cancer. In particular, very few studies are
available on lung cancer risks in areas where motor vehicles constitute the
dominating source of pollution. Studies using modem epidemiologic method-
ology should also be conducted in heavily polluted areas, such as in parts of
Central and Eastern Europe, to generate data'for risk identification under
different exposure situations.
Current risk estimates based on miners suggest that residential radon
exposu.re is the second most important cause of lung cancer in some countries
and regions. However, more data are needed from epidemiologic studies on
radon exposure in residences. For the purpose of increasing the present uncer-
tainty in the risk estimation, these studies should be sufficiently large and
involve radon measurements of residential periods covering several decades.
More than 25 epidemiologic studies have been published on passive
smoking and lung cancer. Taking the studies together, there is a statistically
significant increase in the lung cancer risk of about 20-30% in nonsmokers
married to smokers. It is probable that a part of this increase is explained by
confounding by smoking. More empirical information on the degree of under-
reporting of smoking by nonsmokers is needed to estimate the influence of
this type of bias.
A few epidemiologic studies indicate that indoor combustion sources may
be of importance for lung cancer. Since this type of exposure is common in
some parts ~f the world, particularly for women, there is a need for further
evidence as a basis for the risk assessment.
New developments in molecular biology should be utilised to a greater
extent in environmental epidemiology. For example, such techniques may be
used to identify sensitive groups, to increase the precision of the exposure
measures, and to enhance the specificity of the effect determinations. The
employment of molecular biologic techniques in epidemiology could increase
the resolution power of the studies and contribute to elucidating mechanisms
of toxic effects.
Herr
