Philip Morris
Industrial Risk Perceptions
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flrahh Ph,estcs Vol. 55, No. 2(August). pp. 351-356, 1988 po17-9Q78/88 S3A0 +.00
,,,n,,d n the U.S.A. (D 1988 Health P6ysies Society
Pexppmon Pras plc
o Socioeconomic Perceptions of the Future
INDUSTRIAL RISK PERCEPTIONS
E. E. Pochin
National Radiological Protection Board, Chilton, Didcot, Oxfordshire, OX I 1 ORQ, United Kingdom
AbstrracP-The risks of occupational exposure to radiation need fuller and more explicit
characterization. They also
need a more developed quantitative comparison with more familiar occupational hazards.
To achieve this, some criterion is needed for establishing the amount of detriment one should
attribute to
different harmful effects, e.g., from accidents at work which cause death, temporary or permanent
disability; from
fatal andl nonfatal cancers; from developmental abnormalities and any likely nonstochastic effects;
and from a range
of geneti'c defects.
1\io such criterion ffor comparing incommensurable kinds of harm can be scientifically defined, but
one is
essentiaL if occupztional exposure standards are to be put into perspective. A comparison of the
frequency of fatal
cancers aand usevere" genetic defects with that of accidental deaths at work is admittedly
incomplete.
dtn e possible startieeg point is from a review of the average length of healthy life and activity
lost as a result
of nonfatal industrial accidents and some curable cancers, or of gross impairment during the course
of an active
disease or as a result of many types of genetic defect, or of life expectancy lost absolutely owing
to fatal accidents
and diseimes. Estimates are discussed to emphasize the areas in which opinion is most needed to
translate measures
of risk based simply on total time lost into acceptable criteria of perceived detriment.
Sitaadards of industrial safety are reviewed on this basis, both for risk from accidents at work and
from
radiation exposure, with evidence on the rate at which both types of risk are being reduced.
INTItODUMON
STANDARDS o'fsafety at work need to be better expressed
and understoo3, particularly in their quantitative ranking
in different indu stries. No industry is completely safe-
some are very safe, and some are much less safe. This
obvious statem,e)at may be adequate for a general view of
occupational risk. It is quite inadequate when reviewing
safety criteria in,occupations involving exposure to aggnts
such as ionizing radiation, asbestos, and probably many
chemicals, for which no threshold for the induction of
harmful effects can be assumed, for which the occupa-
tional risks must ordinarily be predictive rather than based
securely on past records, and when the predictions for
exposure at low <3oses must often be derived by inference
from the frequen cy of effects observed at higher doses.
In such cases, the efficacy of protection criteria must
be judged by comparing the total of all risks of exposure
at given dose rates in relation to the total of all risks in
other occupations. How do the risks of occupational ex-
posure at a dos~ irate of 3 mSv y' compare with those in
an industry with an annual fatal accident rate at work of
3 per 100,000; and, more pertinently, how can qualita-
' tively dissimilar risks be compared quantitatively?
If any such comparisons are to be convincing, they
must fulfill three conditions:
(1) All significant types of harmful effects should be
taken into account, not only the fatal effects of occupa-
tional injuries and diseases.
(2) Some factor which is common to all these types
of harmful effect should be identified and its importance
estimated in different occupations. One such factor is the
total amount of time lost, both from normal health and
activity and from the normal life expectancy, as a result
of occupational accidents and diseases of different sev-
erities.
(3) A simple numerical estimate of the total amount
of time lost in this way as a result of these accidents or
diseases is, however, obviously inadequate as a measure
of the safety or risk of an industry. Very different weight
should, and would, be attached to equal periods of time
lost in different circumstances. A third step is therefore
essential-to evaluate the weight that should properly be
applied to different forms of harm, as assessed according
to this criterion. No estimate of harm could be regarded
as valid unless the perceived risk of different detriments
was considered in some such way; although, the detriment
attributed to different kinds of risk ought to be related to
the magnitude of the risk, as well as to the type of harm
involved.
Therefore, in comparing the safety of different in-
dustries, a first step could be to assess the length of time
351

352 Health Physics
lost, from periods of good health and from average life
span, because of the industries' characteristic occupational
injuries and diseases, so,that at least the magnitudes of
these hazards can be compared.
INDUSTRIAL ACCIDENTS
For most types of occupational injuries, this is rel-
atively simple. In many countries, records have been
maintained for several decades of the annual frequencies,
for example, per 100,000 workers at risk, of fatal and
nonfatal accidents at work, the latter commonly including
all those involving days off work.
Fatal accidents
In the case of fatal accidents, the annual loss of life
expectancy can often be assessed directly, e.g., in years
per 1000 worker-y, from the frequency of such accidents,
the distribution of ages at which they occur, and the nor-
mal expectation of life at these ages among men and
women in the countries concerned.
The mean age'at which fatal occupational accidents
occur among males varies somewhat in different indus-
tries, but A usually ranges within a few years of mean age
of male workers in the industry (ICRP 1985, Table 9). In
heavily ird dustrialized countries, with a male life expec-
tancy of longer than 70 y at birth, the mean loss of life
expectancy per fatal accident at work is typically about
35 y (ICRP 1985, paragraph 41). In female workers, with
a much lower frequency of accidental deaths, with a longer
mean life expectancy, and often with a younger workforce,
the value is probably somewhat higher, but it cannot usu-
ally be assessed reliably.
For ,an industry with an annual fatal accident rate
of 3 per I OD,000, and with a predominantly male work-
force, fatal accidents would therefore contribute a total
amount of time lost, by loss of life expectancy, in the
region of I y per 1000 worker-y.
Accidents causing temporary disability
The total time lost due to nonfatal accidents can also
often be reliably assessed in the case of accidents causing
temporary disability. From the annual frequency of such
accidents and from the mean resulting number of days
off work, which may range in different countries and in-
dustries from about 15-30 working days (ICRP 1985, Ta-
ble 11), the average annual (calendar) period of time lost
(as assess+ d. in terms of disability for work) can be deter-
mined.
In general, it is found that the total time lost per year
in an industry-with many short periods of impaired
health and activity-is broadly similar in amount to the
annual loss of life' expectancy due to fatal accidents in
that indusiry. There is not, however, a simple propor-
tionality bctween these two contributions to time loss in
industries cf different safety or risk. In the more hazardous
industries, with fatal accident rates of more than about
August 1988, Volume 55, Number 2
20 per 105 worker-y, the time losses due to fatal accidents
are usually somewhat greater than those from accidents
causing temporary disability, by a factor of up to 3 or 4.
Conversely, in the safest industries, time losses from tem-
porary disabilities are up to three times greater than those
from fatal accidents, simply because a much smaller pro-
portion of all accidents are fatal in the safer industries.
Overall, however, it would probably be thought that
the detriment due to the nonfatal accidents, with more
numerous short periods off work, was less or much less
than that of the comparable total period of lost life from
fatal accidents. One would also expect that, whatever rel-
ative weighting was given to being away from work or to
being dead, the fatal accidents would make the dominant
contribution to perceived risk.
Accidents causing permanent disability
With accidents causing some degree of permanent
disability, the position is less clear. It is easy to assess the
total period of disability caused annually in an industry,
given the frequency of new cases per year, the ages at
which they occur, and given evidence on how frequently
people so classed do remain permanently disabled. The
main difficulty in any quantitative assessment, however,
lies in the very wide range in severity of the disabilities
which are recorded in different industries and countries,
ranging perhaps from stiffness of a finger joint to loss of
two limbs. It is evident that the detriment per year of a
very severe disability, both to the worker and to his family,
may be considered to approach that of a year's loss of life
expectancy or perhaps, sometimes, even to exceed it. At
the same time, most ofthe permanent disabilities recorded
are much less severe, at least as judged by the average
level of pension or compensation awarded, in comparison
with the maximum level available for award. In some
national records, the annual numbers of new cases of dis-
ability are expressed as an equivalent number of total dis-
abilities, either in terms of some fractional assessment at
the time of initial medical evaluation, or as an estimated
number of days of complete disability.
In consequence, estimates of time loss due to per-
manent disabilities, either in terms of actual risk or per-
ceived risk, depend very much on national or industrial
policies in compensation and classification. Even when
risks can be expressed in some more or less arbitrary
equivalent to cases of maximum disability, or even
when-as in several countries-the equivalence is based
on the same anatomical criteria of injury in all industries,
the relationship in detriment between a year of maximal
disability and a year of lost life depends on the criteria of
maximal detriment adopted nationally or in the industry.
Given the rather sparse available data on the annual fre-
quencies and rated severities of new cases of permanent
disability, it seems likely that accidents causing such dis-
ability might be thought to involve a detriment of between
half, and up to twice, that of fatal accidents in the samr
industry, but this question needs more attention.

Industrial risk perceptions 0 E. E. PocxiN
Detriment from all accidental injuries
Meanwhile, however, if permanent disabilities were
judged to add a detriment about equal to that of fatal
accidents in a rather safe industry (having an annual fatal
accident frequency of 3 per 100,000 workers) and if the
detriment from the temporary disabilities was considered
to be small when compared to that from fatal accidents,
the total detriment from accidents at work in this industry
would be equivalent to about 2 y of substantial disability
per 1000 worker-y, if equal weight were given to the total
of all nonfatal accidents, as compared to that given to
fatal accidents.
OCCUPATIONAL DISEASES-OTHER THAN
RADIATI®N-INDUCED
In most industries, the total periods of health im-
pairment and of life expectancy lost resulting from oc-
cupational diseas-~s are small compared to periods of time
lost owing to accidental injuries at work (ICRP 1985, Ta-
ble 17A). The frequencies of disease are higher, however,
in many forms of mining and tunneling, and in some
chemical industries. In manufacturing industries also, the
low time losses due to accidents may be significantly in-
creased by those due to recognized occupational diseases;
and in various occupations, the mortality from certain
forms of cancer has been increased (ICRP 1985, Ta-
ble 16).
In principle, the detriment due to occupational dis-
ease in any indusmy could be expressed in terms of health
or life lost, as in the case of occupational injuries, although
p'resumably with a need for differing weights attached to
y'ears of mild or severe disease or of loss of life. In practice,
however, the severity of symptoms and limitation of ac-
tivity are as difficult to assess in any quantitative way as
are those in cases of petmanent disability from accidents,
and the durations of such symptoms of active disease or
of life-shortening due to fatal conditions are not com-
monly reported.
There is, in any case, no constant component of dis-
eases of varying s.-verity in different industries, in the way
that appears to hold for accidental injuries. For most in-
dustries, the contribution of industrial diseases to an index
of occupational harm, based on years of substantial dis-
ability per 1000 worker-y, would be small compared to
that from accidental injuries (ICRP 1985, Tables 17A
and B).
RADIATIONV-INDUCED CONDITIONS
In most resp", the harmful effects of radiation ex-
posure at low dos.- rates can be evaluated in terms of
periods of life lost or impaired, as readily as can those of
accidental injuries. Forms of impairment are more varied
and complex than the simpler alternatives of lost life ex-
Pectancy and short temporary disabilities due to accidental
injunes, since they involve periods of active disease or
detriment in the exposed or in their progeny, and periods
of stress, disability and subsequent anxiety in the effective
353
treatment of those induced cancers which prove to be
curable, as well as the losses of life expectancy resulting
from fatal cancers and inherited diseases which cause pre-
mature death.
The need to form a considered opinion on the weight
that should be attached to these is, however, in itself a
reason for reviewing the estimated periods of impairment
or lost life that may result from occupational exposure at
any given dose rate and mode of exposure.
It is necessary, therefore, to consider the induction
of fatal and of curable cancers, and of genetic effects of
exposures received before conception of children. Non-
stochastic effects are most unlikely to be caused by ex-
posure under conditions in which both nonstochastic and
stochastic dose limits to all organs are respected, with the
possible exception of mental retardation in children if
this effect is inducible without threshold by exposure of
the mother during certain stages of her pregnancy.
Induction of cancers that cause death
The loss of healthy life due to the induction of fatal
cancers involves periods of illness, commonly with severe
disability before death and a variable amount of subse-
quent life-shortening. The former period is likely to av-
erage about 1 y, as indicated by medical evidence on the
average length of survival from first diagnosis of the types
of cancer, including leukemia, that are induced by radia-
tion. The average amount of life-shortening in the exposed
population can be assessed from estimates of the fatal
cancer induction rate, the ages at which occupational ex-
posures are found to occur, and the mean latencies from
exposure to death that are assumed for radiation-induced
fatal cancers. ~
The periods of illness from diagnosis to death, and
of life-shortening due to the premature death, might be
regarded as involving about equally severe detriment per
year. The average periods of health or life lost for each
fatal cancer induced can be estimated as about 1 y of
severe illness and 14 y of lost life expectancy, if exposure
was occurring throughout a working life from age 20 to
65. At a mean effective dose equivalent rate of 3 mSv y',
fatal cancer induction would then contribute a life-loss
detriment of about 0.6 y per 1000 worker-y, taking 15 y
of severe detriment for each fatal cancer induced, and an
induction rate of 1.25 10-5 mSv ' as an average for males
and females.
This estimate depends on the assumption of an "ab-
solute risk" hypothesis, with a working population com-
posed of both sexes equally and an average age of 40. It
also assumes a slightly older mean age of exposure, as
typically observed, and a mean latency to diagnosis of 13
y for leukemia and of 25 y for other cancers induced,
which represent some 80% of all fatal cancers. On a "rel-
ative risk" hypothesis, the number of fatal cancers induced
by exposure between ages 20 and 65 would be somewhat
greater, probably by about 70% (NAS/NRC 1980, Table
V.22) but with a greater proportion developing at older
ages, so that the mean life-shortening for all fatal cancers

354 Health Physics
appears likely to be similar to that estimated on the basis
of an absolute risk hypothesis (ICRP 1985).
Induction of cancers that prove to be curable
For most forms of cancer, it is much more difficult
to estimate total rates of induction by clinical records or
cancer registry d.ata than to estimate mortality rates of
the relevant cancers from epidemiological studies of death
certifications. The number of curable cancers induced by
radiation can probably be more reliably estimated on the
conventional assumption that the cancers induced by ra-
diation appear to resemble "naturally occurring" cancers
of the same typ-s in their clinical and pathological be-
havior. On this basis, the number of induced but curable
cancers could be: inferred from the recorded numbers of
fatal induced cancers by conventional knowledge of the
cure rate (or the l5-y recurrence-free survival rate) of can-
cers of the types, and in the proportions, found to be
induced by radiation. .
On this basis, the number of curable cancers esti-
mated to be induced by (whole-body) radiation appears
likely to be about twice the number of fatal cancers. This
imbalance in numbers is due largely to the inclusion of
skin cancers, for which the cure rate (of the types induced
by radiation) is very high, and the cure is ordinarily very
simple, the detriment involved in occurrence and cure of
the cancer bei:ng correspondingly small. Of the forms of
; thyroid cancer found to be induced by radiation, the cure
rate is relatively high-probably in the region of 90%.
The detriment i nvolved in cure in terms of symptoms,
operative trauma and any subsequent treatment is ordi-
narily less than for cure: of most other cancers.
For curable induced cancers as a whole, the detriment
appears likely to be judged as substantial but as consid-
erably less than that from induced fatal cancers, taking
account of the rdlatively minor detriment involved in the
cure of the majority of such cancers and the absence of a
component of liife-shortening in the group as a whole. A
measure of detriment of 0.6 y per 1000 worker-y from
fatal cancers alone could be regarded as increased to 0.75
y when including all cancer induction; or of 0.6 y or 0.9
y per 1000 worker-y in male and female sections of the
workforce, respectively, taking account of the difference
in both fatal ar, d curable breast cancers and, to a lesser
extent, thyroid cancers.
Induction of inherited abnormalities
Impairment of the whole life or of much of the life
of descendants of those exposed to radiation involves quite
different considerations from those associated with detri-
ment in workeis who are themselves occupationally ex-
posed. In tenms of the amount of harm resulting from
any level of occupational exposure, however, and its as-
sessment in terms of years of detriment and disability, it
is obviously relevant to include whatever evaluation is
possible for the genetic.effects of exposure in these terms.
In this respect, the more recent reports of the United
Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic
Radiation (UNSCEAR 1977, 1982) include estimates not
August 1988, Volume 55, Number 2
only of the frequencies with which different kinds of in-
herited abnormality are likely to be induced by radiation
but also of the average lengths of life that are likely to be
unimpaired, substantially impaired, or lost through pre-
mature death as a result of each type or group of inherited
abnormalities.
Given the amounts of genetically significant occu-
pational exposure received at ages before the conception
of children, therefore, some estimate can be made of the
total subsequent years of impaired health and loss of life
expectancy due to inherited diseases in all progeny of those
exposed. The "weighting" that would be given to such an
estimate of the years of time loss in descendants, per 1000
worker-y of exposure, will not necessarily be the same as
the weight that is thought to apply to years of disease, or
of life loss, in those who are themselves exposed. It is,
however, important to take account of any such inherited
consequence of occupational exposure and to assess it in
the light of its magnitude.
The genetic significance of any dose varies contin-
uously with age as the probability of subsequent concep-
tion of children decreases with age. As an adequate ap-
proximation, it is sufficient to take as fully effective all
gonad doses delivered before the mean age at conception
of children, and as ineffective all such doses received sub-
sequently. The mean ages at conception of children differ
in different countries and differ substantially in men and
women. Mean values in 41 countries are 30.6 (standard
deviation [SD], 2.9) y in men and 25.9 (SD, 1.7) y in
women (UN 1983, ICRP 1985, Table 21). The genetically
significant proportion of any collective dose of occupa-
tional exposure therefore varies strongly with the sex and
age distribution of workers and with the age of initial ex-
posure, particularly in women. This proportion varies
from 0.15 to 0.35 in groups of occupations in the United
States (ICRP 1985, Table 22).
The detriment due to genetic defects induced in all
generations subsequent to exposure was estimated by
UNSCEAR as equivalent to 3.4 10-` y of life impaired,
and 2.9 10-4 of life expectancy lost, mSv ' of genetically
significant irradiation of a parent. In a wholly male work-
force of 1000, therefore, with equal numbers from age 20
to 65, with a mean age at conception of children of 30.6
y, and with a uniform mean dose rate of 3 mSv y' from
age 20, the annual genetically significant dose to workers
would be that to the (240) workers younger than the mean
age of conceptions, or 720 mSv. With a severe detriment,
totaling 6.3 10-4 y mSv ', the inherited harm, as assessed
on this basis, would contribute about 0.45 y of severe
detriment per 1000 worker-y. For a female workforce,
with a mean age at conceptions of about 26 years and
with exposures equally from ages 20 to 65, the contri-
bution would be about 0.25 y per 1000 worker-y.
These examples are, of course, expressed with an ac-
curacy which is ridiculous as compared with the precision
of the risk estimates on which they are based, let alone
with the variability in age structure of different industrial
groups. They can, however, offer some comparison be-
tween the carcinogenic risks to the individuals exposed

Industrial risk perceptions! E. E. POCHIN
(of0.6 and 0.9 y oer 1000 worker-y in males and females)
and the genetic risks to their descendants (of 0.45 and
0.25 y in males and females per 1000 worker-y); and could
stimulate the necessary consideration of the relative weight
that might be piu't on detriments to health and life in the
exposed individual or in his and her progeny.
Detriment due to exposure during pregnancies
The detriment incurred as a result of exposures dur-
ing pregnancies obviously depends on policies adopted
with regard to restriction or continuation of radiation ex-
posures at work during different stages of pregnancies, as
well as on the age and sex structure of a workforce and
on the frequency with which pregnancies are undertaken
by full- or part-time workers in radiation-related indus-
tries. An upper limit to detriment can, however, be given
if it is assumed that a worker does not restrict her preg-
nancies and thw, :in a non-expanding population, she will
have, on average, two pregnancies during a period of em-
ployment starting at age 20; and that she works at constant
dose rate throughout the whole of these pregnancies.
On this basis, one in 30 of all female workers would
' be pregnant at any one time, if there were equal numbers
of women at all aF;es. However, as based on an actual age
distribution of all women at work in England and Wales
(U.K. Department of Health and Social Services 1970)-
with 50% of the employed population younger than 30-
this chance of a pregnancy being present in a member of
the female work:force whether currently at work or not
would be greater, with a probability of about 0.065 (ICRP
' 1977).
The likelihoc d that any form of harm might result
from exposure of the developing child to low doses will
depend upon the length of exposure time during preg-
nancy, and hence the size of dose received while the con-
ceptus is sensitive to induction of that form of damage,
and the probability per unit dose of inducing such damage
during that tim e. For the induction of cancers which
would occur during childhood or of harmful mutations
in the developing gonads, which would be expressed in
later generations,lhe period at risk corresponds to all or
most of the preEmancy, although the risk per unit dose
delivered during tltis period is likely to low, on the order
of 1 or 2 10-5 miSv ' in each case. For pre-implantation
death of the concdptus, the risk per unit dose may be
higher, as judged by findings in rodents, but the period
of sensitivity, and hence the likely dose, is considerably
shorter. For the one form of developmental defect which
may be induced by low doses without threshold (namely,
severe mental retardation), the induction risk has been
estimated to be about 4 10-4 mSv ' during an 8-wk pe-
riod in pregnancy (Otake and Schull 1984).
Each of these forms of harm that may be caused by
exposures of the conceptus has serious and, effectively,
lifelong effects in the child or prolonged effects in genet-
ically affected desoendants. The total detriment, expressed
in terms of lengths of life lost or of life seriously impaired,
would amount to about 1.5 y per 1000 female worker-y
Cxposed throughout all pregnancies at 3 mSv y'' (and
355
with a potential probability of a pregnancy of 0.065). Of
this value, about 60% would be attributable to the devel-
opmental damage resulting in serious mental retardation,
if this effect is in fact induced without threshold, although
the epidemiological evidence does not exclude a threshold
of some tens of millisieverts. Pre-implantation deaths and
induced fatal cancers would each account for about 20%
of the total estimate.
CONCLUSIONS
It should be emphasized that no simple catalogue of
the frequency of different kinds of occupational injuries
or diseases is sufficient in itself to define the relative levels
of safety or risk of different industries, or the safety that
they are judged to have by workers, by the public or by
governments. Still less can any summation of years of
detriment to health or loss of life give such a comparison,
unless an appropriate weight is attached to years of dif-
ferent kinds or severities of detriment and probably to
other factors such as the ages at which the years of detri-
ment occur, and their occurrence in the exposed worker
or in his immediate or remote descendants.
A merit of any attempt to formulate a unified index
of total harm, however, is that it should provoke just such
an evaluation of the importance that is attached to the
different disabilities that contribute to occupational risks.
And it will be a more considered evaluation than is ob-
tainable if comparisons are based only on the kinds of
effect which may be caused, regardless of the frequency
with which they occur. Certainly the future evaluation of
radiation protection criteria should take account of all the
various forms of harm that may be caused by exposure
to low doses, their relative frequencies, and the importance
that is attached to their occurrences.
The same need for some unified estimate of the im-
pact of different kinds of harm will be increasingly needed
in work that necessarily involves some exposure to other
potentially carcinogenic and mutagenic agents for which
no entirely safe threshold can be assumed, as may apply
in the case of asbestos and various chemical substances.
A similar informed perspective on the relative risks of
different agents and environmental conditions is equally
or more urgently needed in regard to different sources
and circumstances of public exposure.
Meanwhile, however, the present analysis, although
obviously crude and capable of much improvement, does
suggest the possibility of developing useful intercompar-
isons between dis>'ar industrial risks. For example, the
detriment associated with an occupational exposure rate
of 3 mSv y' might appropriately be regarded as com-
parable in safety, as judged by periods of health and life
lost, with conditions in an industry with a fatal accident
rate of 3 per 100,000 workers at risk. In the case of male
workers, the detriment is even less, as illustrated in the
index of harm given below for an industry with a fatal
accident rate of 3 10-s y', and at a radiation dose rate
of3 mSvy':

356 Health Physics
Years of health impaired or life lost per 103 worker-y
From injuries 2.2
Males Females
From radiation
By canocr induction
0.6
0.9
By genetic effects 0.45 0.3
During pregnancy - <1.0
Currently, in the majority ofall occupations recorded
in the Un.1tcd States and the United Kingdom (Kumazawa
et al. 1984, Hughes and Roberts 1984) and in 14 occu-
pational groups reported by UNSCEAR (1982), dose rates
are less than 3 mSv y', although those in some forms of
mining may reach about 10 times this rate. The mean
rate for all potentially exposed workers in the United States
was 1.1 mSv y'(ICRP 1985). Similarly, the annual ac-
cidental death rate at work varies very widely in different
industries (and countries) from less than 1 to over 100
per 100,000 at risk (ICRP 1985, Table 2). Manufacturing
industries ih<<d an annual accidental death rate per 100,000
workers of 1;2.5 during the 1970s (ILO 1980) as the median
value from 51 countries. More recently, 7.6 was the me-
dian (or 2.9 as the lower 25-percentile) of different man-
ufacturing industries in eight highly industrialized coun-
tries (ICRP 1985, Table 7).
August 1988, Volume 55, Number 2
Any intercomparisons of risk should also take into
account the rate at which the various risks are being re.
duced. In 40 occupational groups for which rates an
available over a number of years (ICRP 1985, Tables 28A_
C), the recorded dose rates have been decreasing by a
mean of 6.4% y'(SE, 1.1). This rate of decrease in annual
dose (and, therefore, of effective radiation risk) is some_
what faster than that of fatal accident rates at work, as
recorded in 20 industrial groups in North America, Eu.
rope and Japan, for which the mean percentage rate of
fall was 3.3% y'(SE, 0.4) (ICRP 1985, Table 8A).
Any purely numerical comparison or summation of
dissimilar kinds of risk must necessarily be artificial to a
great extent. Certainly, however, a sound perception of
industrial risks must depend upon an adequate quanti-
tative assessment of the size of all major components of
these risks, whether oftrauma, disease or hereditary efffects,
as well as on the more subjective assessment of their rd.
ative importance, not only to the worker, but also to the
family and to the community. It should be a proper func-
tion of radiation protection to provide a realistic and
comprehensive assessment of all significant aspects of the
safety or risk of different occupations, and of different
circumstances of routine or accidental exposure, and to
present these assessments explicitly and quantitatively in
the general context of the more familiar hazards of all
other industrial activities.
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