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Review 890000 Alice Hamilton Lecture Lead and Human Health:Background and Recent Findings
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ENVpRONMENTAL ttESEA,iCH Sl, 1-24 (1990)
REVIEW
1989 Alice Hamilton Lecture'
Lead and Human Health: Background and Recent Findings
MORTON LIPPMANN
New York University Medical Center, lrtstitr+te ojG'itviromttenta! Medicine,
Tuxedo, New York 10987
Received March 22, 1989
This paper, prepared in tribute to Dr. Alice Hamilton on her 120th birthday, reviews her
pioneering studies of occupational lead poisoning and its control, her IarYely unheeded
warnings about the possible consequences of widespread lead exposure to the general public
through the use of leaded fuel, and the results of recent studies of human exposure to and
health effects of tead in the general environment. Evidence is presented for dose-related
non-threshold effects for children with blood lead concentrations below 25 µgldl for a
variety of effects including verbal IQ; mental development; physical size; and age at phys-
ical m1'lestones such as first steps, hearing thresholds, and postural sway. For adults, various
studies have produced associations between blood pressure and blood lead concentrations
below 35 p.gfdl, suggesting possible etfects on cardiovascular health. Wlu7e the biological
rnechanisms responsible for these effects remain poorly understood, recent and current
efforts to reduce exposure to kad by the virtual elimination of lead in psoline and food
packaging show that we have learned one of Dr. Harulton's important kst:ons, i.e., that the
most effective means of reducing excessive exposures are through control of the enviroit-
ftlental smiSrces. e H90 Asadamic Press, inc.
INTRODUCTION
The invitation to present the second Alice Hamilton lecture led me to reread her
autobiography (Hamilton, 1943) FxpdoriRg the Dangerous Trades (Fig. 1) which,
in turn, led me to select lead's effects on human health as the focus of this lecture.
The systematic study of lead poisoning among industrial workers which Dr. Ham-
ilton performed so well, virtually single-handedly, in Illinois in 1910 led her, and
those she influenced, to new careers in occupational medicine and worker health
protection. Her emphasis on exposure prevention through the application of en-
gineering controls to process technology gave powerful impetus to the develop-
ment of the fieid of industrial hygiene in this country.
Dr. Hamilton was personally persuasive. She had to be. As she has written:
Our procedure in the Illinois survey and in the work that I carried on later for the Federal
government was completely informal. We had no authority to enter any plant, we had no
instructions as to which we should visit, we simply explored the state. When we found a
place which seemed to belong in our field, we asked permission to enter it. Never were we
refused, never did 1, at kast, meet with anything but courtesy in those very early days.
t Presentation: National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Cincinnati, Ohio. February
27, 1989.
0013-9351/90 S3.®0
Cor.1rijht C 1990 b> Academie Prcu. Inc.
All rijht- of ttproductioo in an> fam rcscrveE.

MORTON LIPPMANN
EXPLORING THE
DANGEROUS TRADES
^
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N'ui !G'.rnawe, h V..A
AV ATl.IYTIr YI»1111 P Pkf.N R,w,A
LIT7L1.. RROt%V.\\U f.U4R%%\ - Nti14.\
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Fto. 1. Frontispiece and titk page of Erplosinj the Dangerous Trodes.
As Dr. Hamilton noted, however, it was usually difricult to convince manage-
ment that the conditions and exposures she observed were sufficient to warrant
controls. As a good example she cites the following:
... the National Lead Company ,.. had several white-lead and tead-oxide works in and
near Chicago. I visited them and found much dangerous work;oing on in alt of them. One
ogthe vicepresidents, Edward Cornish, later president, came to Chicago and I went to see
him in the Sangamon Street works. He was both indignant and incredulous when I told him
I was sure men were being poisoned in those plants. He had never heard of such a thing;
it could not be true; they were model plants. He went to the door and shouted to a passing
workman to come in. "Did the lead ever make you sick?" he demanded. The man, a badly
scared Slav stammered. "No, no, never sick." "Any other men sick?" demanded Mr.
Cornish. "no, no, all good." and the poor man escaped quickly. "There", said Mr. Cor-
nish, "you see!" "But I do not see: " I answered. "Your men are breathing whitekad dust
and red lead and litharge and the fumes from the oxide furnaces. They are no different from
other men; a poison is a poison to them as it is to any man." He thought a moment and then
he said, "Now, see here. I don't believe you are right, but I can see you do. Very well then,
it is up to you to convince me. Come back here with proof that my men are being leaded
and I give you my word I wTll follow all your directions, even to employing plant doctors."
It was not an easy task I faced, tncking down actual, proved cases of lead poisoning
among men who came from the Serbian, Bulgarian, and Polish sections of West and
Northwest Chicago, and Kere known to the employing office only as Joe. Jim. or Charlie,
with no record of their street and number! It meant digging up hospital records, for I had
to be sure of the diagnosis. then a search for the home, and finally an interview with the
wife to discover where the man had been working, for of course no hospital interne ever
noted where the victim of plumbism had acquired the lead. Hospital history sheets noted

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH 3
carefully all the facts about tobacco, alcohol, and even coffee consumed by the leaded man,
though obviously he was not suffering from those poisons; but curiosity as to how he
became poisoned with lead was not in the interne's mental make-up.
In the end I was able to present Mr. Cornish with authentic records of twentytwo cases
of plumbism severe enough to require hospital care. He was better than his word. Begin-
ning with the SanYamon Street works, he went on to reform all the plants in the Chicago
region, and this meant dust and fume prevention, often by methods which had never before
been worked out. There were no models to follow: the engineers faced new problems. As
each was solved, Mr. Cornish sent the blueprints to the plants in other states and later on.
when I visited these, invariably I found the same changes being introduced. I had told Mr.
Comish he could never fully protect his men unless he employed doctors to keep strict
watch over their condition, to make at least a brief inspection of each lead worker once a
week. He accepted this recommendation without protest and before our report was pub-
tished there was a medical department in each plant of the National Lead Company in
Illinois. I have met many admirable men in industry throughout these thirtytwo years, but
my warmest gratitude and admiration goes to Edward Cornish.
In commenting on the lack of adequate governmental regulation of occupational
exposures, and the apparently automatic opposition of industry to tighter regula-
tion Dr. Hamilton remarked:
Perhnps it is our instinctive American lawlessness that prompts us to oppose all legal
controt, even when we are willing to do of our own accord what the law requires.
It is clear that Dr. Hamilton was a shrewd and wise observer as well as an
inquisitive investigator and pioneer. It is now also clear that failure to pay close
attention to her farsighted concerns about tetraethyl lead in 1925 has had serious
public health consequences.
The use of organic compounds of lead as antiknock motor vehicle fuel additives
has clearly been the dominant source of a worldwide dispersion of lead into the
environment and into people. Since leaded gasoline was introduced in 1923, it has
increased background levels everywhere, including the Greenland ice cap (Fig. 2).
Several years ago. Rosner and Markowitz (1985) reviewed the public health
controversy over leaded gasoline during the early 1920s. including the role played
by Dr. Hamilton. The following is a selective condensation of their review. The
introduction of leaded gasoline led to a series of fatalities and severe poisonings
among employees of the producing companies in Bayway. New Jersey; Dayton,
Ohio; and Deepwater, Delaware. On the other hand, in February 1924 the Bureau
of Mines concluded that ethyl gas posed no threat to the public on the basis of a
series of toxicological studies it performed in its laboratories with funds donated
by!the industry. In response to the public controversy which ensued, Dr. Ham-
ilton wrote to Surgeon General Hugh Cumming in February 1925 suggesting the
'°desirabiiity of having an investigation made by a public body which will be
beyond suspicion."
In Apr1'1 1925, the Surgeon General announced that he was calling together
experts from business, labor, and public health to assess the tetraethyl lead sit-
uation. The conference convened on May 20, 1925. According to Rosner and
Markowitz, the industry position could be summed up as follows: (1) "leaded
gasoline was essential to the industrial progress of America"; (2) "any innova-
tions entails certain risks"; and (3) "the major reason that deaths and illnesses

4
0.20 F-
0.15
0.04
0
t300 _~ 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950
A.O.
AGE OF SAMPLES
1Fao. 2. Lead concentration, profile in snow strata of Northern Greenland (EPA, 1986).
occurred at their plants was that the men who worked with the materials were
careless and did not follow instructions." The strongest and most authoritative
critic of industry was Dr. Yandell Henderson, a noted physiologist at Yale. The
following are excerpts from Rosner and Markowitz (1985).
He (Henderson) told the conference that lead was a serious public bealth menace that could
be equated to the serious infectious diseases then affecting the nation's health. Unlike
industry spokespeople who defined the problem as one of occupational health and main-
tzined that individual vigilance on the part of workers could solve the problem, Henderson
believed that leaded gasoline was a public health and environmental health issue that
required federal action. He expressed horror at the thought that hundreds of thousands of
pounds of lead would be deposited in the streets of every major city in America. His
warning to the conference of the long-term dangers proved to be an accurate prediction:
"conditions would grow worse so gradually and the development of lead poisoning wt7t
come on so insid'wusly ... that leaded jasoline w9 be in nearly universal use and large
numbers of cars will have been sold ... before the public and the Bovernment awaken to
the situation."
Dr. Hamilton agreed with those opposed to tetr.ethyl lead. At the conference she ex
pressed her belief that the environmental health issues were far more important than the
occupational health and safety issues, adding that she doubted that any effective measures
could be implemented to protect the general public from the hazards of widespread use of
leaded gasoline. "You may control conditions within a factory; ' she said, "but how are
you going to control the whole country?" In an extended commentary after the conference
on the issues that it raised, Hamilton stated, "I am not one of those who believe that the
use of this leaded gasoline can ever be made safe. No lead industry has ever, even under
the strictest control, lost all its dangers. Where there is lead some cases of lead poisoning
sooner or later develops, even under the strictest supervision."
Most public health professionals did not agree with Henderson and Hartulton, however.
Many took the position that it was unfair to ban this new gasoline additive until definitive
proof existed that it was a real danger. In the face of industry arguments that oil supplies
were limited and that there was an extraordinary need to conserve fuel by making com-
MORTON LIPPMANN
t.

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH 5
bustion more efficient, most public health workers believed that there should be over-
whelming evidence that leaded gasoline actually harmed people before it was banned. Dr.
Henry F. Vaughan, president of the American Public Health Association, said that such
evidence did not exist. "Certainly in a study of the statistics in our large cities there is
nothing which would warrant a health commissioner in suying that you could not sell ethyl
gasoline," he pointed out. Vaughan acknowledged that there should be further tests and
studies of the problem but that "so far as the present situation is concerned, as a health
administrator I feel that it is entirely negative."
Despite the widespread ambivalence on the part of public health professionals and the
opposition to any curbs on production on the part of industry spokespeople, the public
suspicions aroused by the preceding year's events led to a significant victory for those who
opposed the sale of leaded gasoline. At the end of the conference, the Ethyl Corporation
announced that it was suspending the production and distribution of leaded gasoline until
the scientifc and public health issues involved in its manufacture could be resolved. The
conference also called upon the Surgeon General to organize a blue ribbon committee of
the nation's foremost public health scientists to conduct an investigation of leaded gasoline.
Among those asked to participate were David Edsall of Harvard University, Julius Steiglitz
of the University of Chicago. C: E. A. Winslow of Yale University and the American
Public Health Association. For Atice Hamilton and other opponents of leaded;asoline, the
conference appeared to be a major victory for it wrested from industry the power to decide
on the future of an important industrial poison, and placed it in the hands of university
scientists. "To anyone who had followed the course of industrial medicine for as much as
ten years; " Alice Hamilton remarked one month after the conference, "this conference
marks a great progress from the days when we used to meet the underlings of the great
munition makers (during World War I) and coax and pl-.ad with them to put in the pre-
autiotnry measures . . . This time it was possible to bring together in the office of the
Surgeon General the foremost men in industrial medicine and pubGc health and the men
who are in real authority in industry and to have a blaze of publicity turned on their
dehberations."
As a result of their study, the committee concluded seven months after the conference
that "in its opinion there are at present no good grounds for prohibiting the use of ethyl
gasoEine ... provided that its distribution and use are controlled by proper regulations."
They suggested that the Surgeon General formulate specific regulations with enforcement
by the states. This group saw their study as only an interim report, to be followed by longer
tange follow-up studies in ensuing years. In their final report to the Surgeon Genetal, the
cornmittce warned: 'it remains possibk that if the use of leaded gasoline becomes wide-
spread conditions may arise very different from those studied by us which would render its
use tnae of a hazard than would appeu to be the case from this investigation. Longer
experience may show that even such slight storage of lead as was observed in these studies
may lead eventually in susceptible individuals to recognizable or to chronic degenerative
diseases of a less obvious character."
Recognizing that their shon-tetm investigation was incapable of detecting such danger,
the committee concluded that further study by the government was essential: ln view of
such possibilities the committee feels that the investigation begun under their direction
must not be allowed to lapse ... It should be possible to follow closely the outcome of a
more extended use of this fuel and to determine whether or not it may constitute a menace
to the health of the general public after prolonged use or other conditions not now foreseen
...`!i he vast increase in the number of automobiles throughout the country makes the
study of all such questions a matter of real importance from the standpoint of public health
and the committee urges strongly that a suitable appropriation be requested from Congress
for the continuance of these investigations under the supervision of the Surgeon General of
the Public Health Service."
In view of what we now know about the health effects of low levels of lead in
the body, it is quite unfortunate that the further investigations called for by the

6 MORTON LIPPMANN
Surgeon General's committee did not take place for more than four decades,
during which lead was spread far and wide in quantities which the committee
could hardly have envisaged. For example, in 1970, when lead use in gasoline
peaked, 252,654 metric tons were used and the total consumption over the period
1929-1983 was 6,635,059 metric tons. Of this, approximately 10% was retained in
the engine oil, 15% deposited in the exhaust system, 35% emitted as submicrome-
ter-sized aerosol, and 40% emitted as > 10-µm particles (EPA, 1986).
REVIEW OF HUMAN EXPOSURE AND HEALTH EFFECTS
Quoting once again from Dr. Hamilton's Exploring the Dangerous Trades:
Lead is the oldest of the industrial poisons except carbon monflxide, which must have
begun to take its toll soon after Prometheus made the gift of fire to man. In Roman days,
lead poisoning was known, for Pliny the Elder includes it among the "diseases of slaves,"
which were potters' and knife grinders' phthisis, lexd and mercurial poisoning.
ThrouYhout all the centuries since then men have used this valuable metal in many ways,
and from time to time an observant physician has seen the results and described them,
notably Ramazzini in the eighteenth century, and early in the nineteenth century the grtat
Frenchman, Tanquerel des Planches. It is a poison which can act in many different ways.
some of them so unusual and outside the experience of the ordinary physician that be fai7s
to recognize the cause. I could never feel that I had uncovered all the cases in any com-
munity, no matter how small, even after I had talked with all the doctors and gone through
the hospital records, for some doctors would not pronounce a case to be due to lead
poisoning unless there was either colic or palsy, which is as if he refused to recognize
alcoholism unless there were an attack of delirium tremens.
It is true that a severe attack of co6c is the most characteristic symptom of lead poisoa-
una, and palsy-usually in the form of wristdrop-is the one most easily recognized, but
there are many other manifestations of this protean malady, as every physician knows
today. Thirty years ago it was not hard to f nd extremely severe forans, such as could come
only from an exposure so great as to seem criminal to us now, but which then attracted no
attention.
Dr. Hamilton was writing about the situation as of 1942. By then, as now, overt
clinical symptoms of lead poisoning only occurred when available knowledge
about lead toxicity and exposure control are not taken into account. In 1970, 3
months after Dr. Hamilton passed away, the federal Occupational Safety and
Health Act (OSHA) was passed. This led, in 1971, to the adoption of an interim
Permissible Exposure Level (PEL) of 200 µg/ms for lead dust in air. In 1979, a
permanent OSHA standard was implemented. It specified a PEL of 40 µg/m3. as
well as a blood lead concentration limit of SO µgldl.
More subtle health effects, resulting from exposures below the PEL, are known
to occur and were addressed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in
preparing the 1978 National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) of 1.5 µg/m3
as a 3-month average. While EPA has completed its latest criteria document for
lead in ambient air (EPA, 1986), it has not yet proposed a revised NAAQS.
However, concern about low-level lead exposure has led EPA to propose, on
8/18l88, a maximum contaminant level goal (MCLG) for drinking water of zero
(CFR 53 (160) 31516). EPA is also considering regulating lead as a carinogen, as
a toxic component in incinerator ash, and as a leachable constituent in Superfund
sites.

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH 7
For infants and small children, significant body burdens of lead can be acquired
from ingested soil and paint chips. Household dust and garden soil, especially in
urban areas can be greatly enriched in lead from the fallout of airborne particles
from motor vehicles burning leaded fuels. Another major source in older homes is
paint flakes and chips containing lead-based pigments. It has been illegal to use
such pigments in interior paint for more than 50 years, but there are large inven-
tories within older buildings which can be readily mobilized and dispersed during
maintenance and renovations. ATSDR (1988) indicates that 40 million households
in the United States contain hazardous quantities of leaded paint.
Yaffe et al. (1983) reported that the isotopic ratios of lead in the blood of
children were close to the average lead ratios of paints from exterior walls and to
the lead ratios of surface soils in adjacent areas where the children played. Their
data suggest that the lead in the soil was derived mainly from weathering of
leaa-based exterior paints, and that the lead-contaminated soil was a proximate
source of lead in the blood of the children.
As shown in Fig. 3, the most significant contributors to current body burdens of
lead include direct air inhalation, inhalation or direct ingestion of settled dust, and
the ingbstion of food and water. Some old housing stock has lead pipe which can
elevate potable water concentrations substantially. Lesser, but still significant,
elevations can occur in water delivered via modem copper and brass pipe due to
leaching of lead from the solder in the joints. Foods can be enriched in lead from
a variety of sources. Lead in the air can deposit on leafy vegetables and fruits and
IN REO
t
B100Q --~ n~
~
UYER
KIDNEY
A( )X
Ftc. 3.
FECES UR1NE
BONES
Pathways of lead from the environment to and within man (EPA. 1986).

~ MORTON LIPPMANN
leave residues which are ingested. Lead in the soil can be incorporated into the
growing plant. Canned foods can also extract lead from solder used to seal the
can.
Lead exposures and blood lead levels among the general population have de-
clined substantially in recent years. The most substantial reduction has been due
to the switch from leaded to unleaded gasoline as motor vehicle fuel. This had an
immediate effect on air lead (Fig. 4) and a parallel reduction in average blood lead
(PbS) concentration which lagged by -3 months (Fig. 5). The lag occurred be-
cause most of the tailpipe lead reached people indirectly through exposure to
resuspended soil and through incorporation into foodstuffs. Further reductions
have occurred as the food packaging industry has reduced the use of solder in
cans. Table I from the 1986 EPA Criteria Document summarizes the contributions
to lead in blood from the major sources for 2-year-old children in the early 1980s.
RECENT HEALTH EFFECTS FINDINGS
The literature on human exposures to lead and their health effects is volumi-
nous. The 1986 EPA criteria document was published in four volumes containing
1336 pages. This discussion will be limited to the more descriptive research rel-
ative to low-level population exposures and the chronic health effects associated
with such exposures. In most cases, this limits the review to studies of the asso-
ciations between exposure and health effects in humans, since the low-dose ef-
fects of interest have seldom been seen in animal toxicology studies conducted at
higher levels of exposure. The disturbing implication that conventional animal
J
2°r ~
® t t t t t t t t t o~
1975 1977 1979 1981 1983
CALENDAR YEAR
Ftrr. 4. Lead consumed in gasoline and ambient lead concentrations. 1975-1983 (EPA. 1986).

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
16
9
9
1976
1977
1976 1979" 1980
YEAR
FtG. S. Parallel decreases in blood lead values observed in the NHANES 11 Study and amounts of
lead used in gasoline during 1976-1980 (EPA. 1986).
toxicology provides little useful information about some 'serious human chronic
health issues is a subject for another paper and will not be discussed further here.
The effects that have been associated with blood lead (PbB) concentrations <40
µg/dl will be the main focus of this selective review. These include the effects of
prenatal and early childhood exposures on physical and neurobehavioral devel-
opment of children, and the influence of chronic low-level exposure on cardio-
vascular function in adults. These low-exposure-related effects are of interest in
relation to both occupational and general environmental exposures. The effects in
young children may be due to exposures in utero of working mothers (Wang et al.,
1989), and to lead brought into the home on work clothing of family members with
occupational exposures (Baker et al., 1977; Kaye et al., 1987; Wang et al., 1989).
TABLE I
C_ ONTRltiUTiONS FROM VARIOUS MEDIA TO BLOOD LEAD LEVELS (µL!dl) OF U.S. CHILDREN
(AGE - 2 YEARS): BACKGROUND LEVELS AND INCREMENTAL CONTRlBUT1oNS FROM AdR
Air 1ead. µ;4as
Saurce 0 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.23 1.50
BackSramd-oon-air
Food. w2ter, and beveraps
2.37
2.37
2.37
2.37
2.37
2.37
2.37
Dust 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
SuhtoW . 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67
BacEcSmnd-asr
Food. Kater, and beverates
1.65
1.63
1.63'
1.63
1.65
1.65
1.65
Ingested dust (with Pb
_'deposited from air)
0.00
1.37
3.09
4.70
6.27
744
9.40
Inhaled air 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
Total 4.32 6.39 11.41 10.52 12.59 14.66 16.72

10 MORTON LIPPMANN
Table 2 shows PbB levels in children of workers from a Colorado plant making
capacitors and resistors (Kaye et al., 1987).
IVerarobeftavioral and Developmental Effects in Children
The 1986 EPA criteria document on lead contains a thorough critical review of
the literature on the neurobehavioral effects of chronic lowlevel lead exposures in
children. While various maladaptive behaviors, neuropsychological deficits, and
neuroanatomical changes have been associated with chronic exposures to rela-
tively low concentrations of lead, no single mechanism appears sufficient to ac-
count for the diverse effects. It is more likely that lead acts at several cellular and
subcellular sites. Lead readily enters the brain and appears to be selectively
deposited in the hippocampus and cortex as well as in nonneuronal elements that
are amportant in the maintenance of "blood-brain barrier" functions. Once de-
posited, lead is retained in the brain for long periods of time even after external
exposure ceases and PbB levels decline. These spatial and temporal patterns of
brain lead accumulation correspond to neurobehavioral and morphologic abnor-
malities associated with lead exposure. The sensitivity of the brain during the
period of maximal brain growth and differentiation in the first 2 years of life tends
to magnify the severity of the long-term consequences.
Low PbB levels may contribute to behavioral disorders, such as attentional
deficits and distractibility in essentially normal children not diagnosed as hyper-
active. A study by Bellinger et al. (1984) suggests that measures of classroom
performance may show long-term effects of early lead exposure. Silva et al. (1986)
found similar results on 11year-old children. Winneke et al. (1983) found that
behavioral and attentional deficits as rated by teachers (e.g., disordered class-
room activity, restless, easily distracted, not persistent, does not follow direc-
tioas, low overall functioning) were significantly associated with children's tooth
and'PbB levels, which was consistent with the earlier association reported by
Needhmatt et a!. (1979). The 1986 EPA criteria document has interpreted the
Winneke et al. (1983) study, which also assessed lead-induced deficits in IQ and
other psychometric tests, as showing overall neurobehavioral deficits at PbB
levels possibly.below 30 µg/dl.
In addition; lead levels in young children have been consistently associated,
TABLE 2
BLOOD LEAD IN LEAD WORlCERS* CHILDREN, !v AGE STIUTA`
Blood lead (µg/dl)
AXe category (years) Exposed mean (rantt) Unexposed mean (range)
<6 t3.4(4-23) 7.1 (1-13)
6-10 4 11.1 (3-22) 7.0 (5-9)
> 11 :/ E.0 (1-22) 5.0* (2-i l)
Atl ages 10.2 6.2
Statistically significant (P < 0.001) between exposed and uncxposed groups, Student's test.
° Kaye et ol.. 1987.

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
1I
following appropriate adjustments, with deficits in reaction time under varying
intervals, which is an index of attentiveness, and with reaction behavior. The 1986
EPA criteria document concluded that these findings argue for probable effects of
lead on attention and vigilance functions at PbB levels extending below 30 µg/dl,
and possibly, down to as low as 15-20 p.g/dl.
There is also evidence that low levels of lead may be associated with effects on
some complex cognitive functions including learning, visual-perception skills,
and IQ scores. The studies on children have attracted controversy because of
d'afficulties associated with attributing subtle deficits in child development to lead
exposure rather than to effects due to genetics, nutrition, medical history, access
to education, and parental and social_influences, all of which interact in potentially
complex ways to mold an individual.
On the basis of five methodological criteria (adequate markers of lead exposure,
sensitive measures of neurobehavioral function, appropriate subject selection,
control of confounding covariates, and appropriate statistical analysis), the 1986
EPA criteria document identified a group of neurobehavioral studies that were
conducted rigorously enough to warrant at least some consideration. The general
indication from the better investigations is that PbB levels persistently elevated in
the range of 50-70 µg/dI tend to be associated with about a 5-point reduction in IQ,
even among asymptomatic children and after controlling for potentially confound-
ing variables.
However, considerable uncertainty has existed regarding lead's impact on IQ
scores of children with PbB levels below 40 µg/dl. This uncertainty stems largely
from the complex interaction between lead exposure over time, social factors, and
intelligence scores, from the statistical and methodological limitations of cross-
sectional studies to untangle these variables, and the range of interpretations that
result from these studies.
1°he 1986 EPA criteria document concluded from the Needleman et ol. (1979)
stpdy and subsequent reanalyses (Needleman, 1984) that, after controlling for
coitfounding variables including pica, average IQ decrements of about 4 points
and other neurobehavioral deficits appear to be associated with lead exposures of
U.S. children resulting in dentine lead values that exceed 20-30 ppm and likely
average PbB levels in the 30-SO µg/dl range. Needleman et al. (1982) calculated
that a 4-point decrement in the mean IQ of a normal population distribution would
be'associated with a threefold increase in the number of children with severe
defcits (IQ < 80) along with a 5% reduction in the number of children who attain
superior function (IQ > 125) (see Fig. 6).
In order to avoid the normal array of confounding factors, Bellinger rt al. (1987)
performed a longitudinal analysis of prenatal and postnatal lead exposure and
early cognitive development in 249 children. In general, the infants were healthy
products of unremarkable pregnancies, with few of the characteristics of infants at
increased risk of developmental handicap. Eighty-seven percent of the families
were white, and 92% were intact. The differences among the families with infants
in the three cord-blood lead groups were slight and generally not in the direction
expected on the basis of studies of the social correlates of childhood lead expo-
sure. On the basis of lead levels in umbilical-cord blood, children were assigned

12
100
0
MORTON LIPPMANN
0
1E]
60 80 100
VERBAL 1.A.
0
120
140
FtG. 6. Cumulative frequency distribution of verbal IQ scores in subjects with low or hi$h levels of
lead (Pdeedleman et aL, 1982).
to one of three prenatal-exposure groups: low (<3 µg/dl), medium (6 to 7 µg/dl),
or high (;~--10 µg/dl). Development was assessed semiannually, beginning at the
age of 6 months, with use of the Mental Development Index of the Bayley Scales
of Infant Development.
Regression methods for longitudinal data were used to evaluate the association
between infants' lead levels and their development scores after adjustment for
potential confounders. At all ages, infants in the high-prenatal-exposure group
scored lower than infants in the other two groups. The results are summarized in
Fig. 7. Scores were not related to infants' postnatal blood lead levels.
McMichael rt al. (1988) studied the effect of environmental exposure to lead on
children's abilities at the age of 4 years in a cohort of 537 children born during 1979
to 1932 to women living in a community situated near a lead smelter at Port Pirie
in Australia. Samples for measuring blood lead levels were obtained from the
mothers antenatally, at delivery from the mothers and umbilical cords, and at the
ages of 6, 15, and 24 months and then annually from the children. Concurrently,
the mothers were interviewed about personal, family, medical, and environmental
factors. Maternal intelligence, the home environment, and the children's mental
development (as evaluated with use of the McCarthy Scales of Children's Abili-
ties) were formally assessed.
The mean blood lead concentration varied from 9.1 µg/dt in midpregnancy to a
peak of 21.2 µg/dl at the age of 2 years. The blood lead concentration at each age,
particularly at 2 and 3 years, and the integrated postnatal average concentration
were inversely related to development at the age of 4. Results of multivariate

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
120
104
13
6 12 18 24
AGE AT TESTING (monttts)
Fae. 7. Prenatal exposure to lead, as measured by umbilical cord blood lead levels vs early mental
development index. Low is c3 µg/dl, medium is 6.7 µp'dt, and high is a 10 ;Wdl (Bellinger et al..
1987).
analysis are illustrated in Fig. 8. Within the range of exposure studied, no thresh-
old:dose for an effect of lead was evident.
This cohort study indicates that a raised blood lead concentration in early
childhood has an independent deleterious effect on mental development as eval-
uated at the age of 4 years. This effect was not accounted for by the known and
measurable influences of obstetrical, parental, family, and social environmental
factors on mental development. The results of this analysis and those of an earlier
analysis of the children at the age of 2 years suggest that increased exposure to
lead results in a developmental deficit, not just developmental delay.
Bhattacharya et al. (1988) found that abnormalities in children's abilities to
maintain physical balance were significantly associated with PbB. Their postural
sway on a balance increased by -2.8 cm2lµg/dl. These data suggest that low levels
of PbB affect the peripheral nervous system as well as the central nervous system.
A sample of their results are illustrated in Fig. 9.
Schwartz and Otto (1987) used the large database available from the Second
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES II), conducted
between E976 and 1980 on population samples selected as being representative of
the civilian, noninstitutionalized U.S. population. For a subsample of 4519 youths
ages 4-19 years, there were data available on blood Pb, audiometry, and various
indicators of neurological development, such as age at which a child first sat up,
walked, and spoke. The presence of speech difficulties and hyperactivity was also

14 MORTON LIPPMANN
120
110
I , %
Mccarthy scal.:
m ! V 1
.. . _ ~ ...._~_.
~ 1M .a QUal1tI~wi
W tatIVe
n D.....~ e~~
~ (GCi)
90 Mmory
Mctor
50
40
0.5
10.3
1.0 1.5 2.0 µmot/1
20.6 30.9 41.2 µg / d
Blood Lead Concentration ,,,,,,,,,,,,k,,ch,,,,,, n,U)
Fte. 8. McCarthy scales of children's abilities (MSCA) scores at the age of 4 vs blood lead con-
centration at 3 years of a=e (McMichael et ot.. 1988).
examined to determine if they were significantly related to lead exposure. The
probability of elevated hearing thresholds a4 500, 1000, 2000, and 4000 Hz in-
creased significantly (P < 0.0001) with increasing PbB (Fig. 10). PbB levels were
also significantly related to delays in the age at which children first sat up (Fig.
11), walked, and spoke and to the probability that a child was hyperactive. Lead
was not related to the probability of a child having a previously diagnosed speech
impairment.
Table 3 shows the variables considered in the stepwise multiple regressions,
while Table 4 shows the levels of significance of the associations between blood
lead and the developmental variables. The results of this large population study
are clearly consistent with, and strongly supportive of, the validity of the asso-
ciations between blood lead and neurobehavioral effects in the smatler popula-
tions reviewed earlier.
In another examination of NHANES 11 data, Schwartz tt ol. (1986) incorpo-
rated medical history, physical examination, anthropometric measurements, di-
etary information (24-hr recall and food frequency), labbratory tests, and radio-
graphs in linear regressions of adjusted data from 2695 children ages 7 years and
younger. They reported that 91% of the variance in height, 72% of the variance in
weight, and 58% of the variance in chest circumference (Fig. 12) were explained
by six variables: age, race, sex, blood lead level, total calories or protein, and
hcmatocrit or transferrin saturation level.
In summary, there are a number of well-designed studies which indicate that
very low levels of exposure to lead affect neurobehavioral function and develop-
ment in young children. nese various effects appear to be consistent with the

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
~ TEST CONDITION: EYES CLOSED, NO FOAM
(p . 0.0025, r Z. 0.41)
0
1.6
0
M
®
® (uea of swayl-1.49 - o.00002 fntirt w presw.t
~-01 1 (lop maz PDe i+ i a yr.l + o.e9lbp m= Pb8 n 2td yr.1
I 1 I
I I I I I I I r I
1.4
2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6
Log Max. PbB Durinp S®cond Year of Life (µp / d)
4.0
15
Fto. 9. National logarithm of postural sway of children at 6 years of age vs natural log blood lead
concentration during second year of tife after controlling for blood lead during first year of life
(Bhattacharya et al., 1988).
effects of lead on heme biosynthesis which have been postulated to lead to eryth-
ropoaetic, neural, renal endocrine, and hepatic effects in the body, as summarized
in Fig. 13 from the 1986 EPA criteria document.
Effects ojl.ead in the Blood on Blood Pressure
Tlae 1986 EPA criteria document on lead also provided a critical review of
; studies showing associations between blood lead concentrations less than 40 µg/dl
and blood pressure. It reviewed the influence of a number of environmental and
nutritional factors affecting blood pressure in experimental and epidemiological
studies. Among environmental factors that have been associated with blood pres-
sures are lead (Pb) and noise. Among dietary factors associated with blood pres-
sure are calcium (Ca), zinc (Zn), phosphorus (P), alcohol consumption, and vita-
mins A and C.
The role of Pb as a pollutant stressor for elevated blood pressure could well be
confounded by the well-established role of Ca as a suppressor of blood pressure.
It is possible that persons with high Ca consumption have both decreased blood
pressure and reduced blood Pb due to the competition of both Pb and Ca for the
same binding sites. The influence of the other cofactors known to affect blood
pressure further complicates the task of establishing the extent to which Pb con-
stitutes a significant risk factor for elevated blood pressure.
A consistent pattern of results emerges from recent investigations of the rela-
tions between lower-level lead exposures and increases in blood pressure or hy-
pertension. pertension. Khera et a!. (1980) reported higher blood lead levels in hypertensive

16 MORTON LIPPMANN
~+ 11
m
v
a 4
*
Z
31 t 1 t 1 1
0 10 20 30 40 50
BLOOD LEAD LEVEL. µQ / d
Fto. 10. Relationship of 2 kHz pure tone hearing threshold (right eu) and blood levels in 4519
NHANES II subjects ages 4-19 years. Each point represents the mean hearing threshold of all persons
in a 3 µ" blood lead range, except for the last point, which represents the mean hearing threshold
and ysuan blood lead for all children with blood lead levels over 35 Wdl (Schwartz and Otto, 1987).
patients and those with other cardiovascular diseases than for hospital control
subjects. Kromhout and Couland (1984) and Kromhout et al. (1985) reported
associations between hypertension and blood lead among elderly men in the Neth-
erlands. Batuman et al. (1983) reported an association between hypertension and
chelatable lead burdens in veterans. Moreau et al. (1982) reported significant
associations (P < 0.001) between blood lead levels and a continuous measure of
blood pressure among French policemen after controlling for important potential
confounding variables such as age, body mass index, smoking, and drinking.
Weiss et al. (1986) reported that after correction for previous systolic blood pres-
sure, body mass index, age, and smoking, a high level of blood lead was a sig-
nificant predictor of subsequent elevation of systolic pressure in policemen in
Boston. Sharp et a!. (1988) examined relationships between blood lead concen-
tration and blood pressure in San Francisco bus drivers. The analysis was limited
to subjects not on treatment for hypertension (n = 288). The blood lead concen-
tration varied from 2 to 15 µg/dl. While the findings were not statistically signif-
icant, they did suggest effects of lead exposure at lower blood lead concentrations
than those previously linked with increases in blood pressure. In a follow-up
study, Sharp et al. (1989) examined the relationship between blood pressure and
blood lead concentration in 51 bus drivers who were treated for hypertension.
'These drivers were a subset of a representative sample (n = 342) of the driver
population (n r--2000) and were not selected for hypertension or lead exposure.
Blood lead concentrations ranged from 2 to 24 µg/dl. There were 33 subjects

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
~
<
W
<
5.5
.3
®
17
®
1 1 1 t t t t 1 1
20 40 60 80 100
LEAD PERCENTILE RANK
FtG. I 1. Relationship of developmental mileston: attainment and blood lead levels in NHANES 11
subjects. Plots of age at which a child first sat up (in months) vs PbB, after adjusting for other
significant covariates. Each point represents the mean adjusted developmental index for 99 consecu-
tive observations ordered by mean blood lead level. Regression lines were derived from individual
data
(Schwarsz and Otto, 1987).
treated primarily with diuretics, and 18 subjects were treated with beta blockers.
There was a significant mean difference of 12 mm Hg in diastolic BP over the
range of observed Pb in blood (2.0 to 11.4 µg/dl) in subjects treated with beta
blockers (see Fig. 14). Thus, beta blocker therapy may be less effective in reduc-
TABLE 3
VARIAa1.ES C/SED /Ft STEPWISE REGRESSIOIiS
Rac.e
t.eM
Ear discharge
Cold in last 2 weeks
Other ear condition
Chronic ear discharge
Income
Dietary calcium
Race
Lead
Size
Dietary protein
. A. Audiometric analyses
Sex
Current cold
Ringing in ear{s)
Earache
Previous running ear
Diagnosed hearing impairment
Degree of urbanization
Head of household education level
Developmental milestone analyses
Sex
Income
Head of household education level
Total iron binding capacity
Transferrin saturation
Serum iron
Hemoglobin
Dietary calories
Weight

18
MORTON LIPPMANN
TABLE4
RESULTS OF DEVELOPMENTAL MILESTONE ANALYSES
Effect Coefficient P value
A. A41e (in years) at first word
Intercept
1.25
Sex -0.027 0.0277
Lead rank 0.0024 0.0094
B. Age (in months) when first walked
Intercept
10.E8
Rare -0.655 0.0006
Lead rank 0.0070 0.0020
C. Age (in months) when first tat up
Intercept
5.68
Protein intake -0.0039 0.0361
Lead rank 0.0061 0.0239
D. Probability of being hyperactive (log;stic regression)
Intercept
-4.503
-
Lead rank _ 0.0116 0.0130
ing diastolic pressure in individuals with elevated PbB, even at PbB levels asso-
ciated with exposures below the current ambient standard and far below the
current occupational standard.
In a large population study, Pocock et al. (1984) evaluated the relationships
between blood lead concentrations, hypertension, and renal function indicators in
a clinical survey of 7735 middle-aged men from 24 British towns. The association
~
W 55'50
U
Z
W
Q
~ 55.00
~
~
U
Q
U 5450
H
~
Wy
® 54.00
y
50
~ 53
S 10 15 20
'
ADJUSTED t3LOOD LEAD (Juq / d)
25
FIG. 12. Adjusted chest eircumference and adjusted blood lead levels for children ages 7 years and
younger in NHANES 11. Both chest circumference and blood lead level have been adjusted by
regression for effects of age, sex, and all other variables significant at 0.05 level. Each point is
mean
chest circumference and mean blood lead level for approximately 95 consecutive observations, or-
dered by blood lead levels. Regression line reflects slope of coefficient obtained from multiple
regres-
sion analyses of all 2671 points with no missinp data (Schwartz et al., 1986).

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
EXACERBATION OF
HYPOXfC EFFECTS OF
OTHER STRESS AGENTS
EFFECTS ON
MEUHOMS,AXOP6 AND
SCHwANN CELLS
hicur~l
Effscts
REDUCED
HEMOPROTEINS
(e.g. CYTCCHROSIES)
F-++
I~PAJRED IMPAIRED
CELLULAR lfYEUFlATqN AND
ENERGET~CS kERVE CONDUCTION
t4lPA1RED
DEVELOPMENT
OF tdERVWS SYSTEM
R.w
Erdoaiiw
Eff~cta
REDUCED
125 {OH): -
ViTAMSN D
DISTURBED ttdMUHO f~IPAIRED
REGULATORY ROLE MINERAL T1SSW
OF CALCIUM FObtEOSTASfS
~---~+
DISTUABED RCIE
W
TUMORIGENESIS
CONTROL
Hcpatk
Etf~
REDUCED HEME FOR
HEME REGULATED
TRANSFORIdATiONS
-a
IMPAIRED G1LCtUY
ROIE AS SECOt~D
MESSENGER
CARDIOVASCULAR
DYSFUNCTION AND
OTHER HYPOXIC EFFECTS
utPAJRED BONE
AND TOOTH
DEVELOPIIENT
IMPAlRED CALCriJY
RO(E Dl CT'CLIC
MUCLEOTIDE METABOLISM
IMPAIRED DETOxnCAT10!!
OF XENO8JOTICS
IMPAIRED 61ETA80USIi
CF EHDOGENOtlS
AGOAnSTS
IMPAIRED
DETOXIFICATIOt OF
EHVIRONAtENTA1 TDX7kS
IMPAIRED
DETOXtFICAT10/1
OF DRUGS
r'1
ALTERED
METABOLISM
OF TRYPTOPMJW
ucPAfRED
1 HYDROXYLATBON
CF CORTISOL
ELEVATED BRAW
LEVELS OF TRYPTOPF{AN,
SEROTONiN AAD MAA
I
DISTURBED INDOLEAlAkE
NEUROTRANSAUTTER
FUNCTION
19
Fto. 13. Multiorgan impact of reductions of heme body pool by lead. Impairment of heme synthesis
by lead results in disruption of a wide variety of important physiotogical processes in many organs
and
tissues. Particularly weTl documented are erythropoietic, neural, renal-endocrine, and hepatic
effects
ii,dicated above by solid arrows. Plausible further consequences of heme synthesis interference by
k:ad are indicated by dashed arrows (EPA, 1956).
DISTURBED
CALCIUM
METABOLISM

MORTON LIPPMANN
.
6
s
0
0=14.3 tS.69ft"
10
- ADJUSTED Pa@.sg/dL (log scaii)
rto.14. Plot of adjusted diastolic blood pressure vs tdjusted natural lo& of blood lead
concentration
in male bus drivets treated for hypertension with beta blockers. Adjusted for age, aYe=, race, body
mass index, and frequencies of catfeine, akohol, and tobacco use. Diastolic blood pressure is the
average of three measured diastolic blood pressures on each subject (Sharp et at., 1989).
between systolic blood pressure and blood lead levels, though small in magnitude,
was statistically significant (P < 0.01). Analyses of data for men categorized
according to blood level concentrations indicated increases in blood pressure only
at lower blood lead levels; no further significant increments in blood pressure
were observed at higher blood lead levels.
~t t t I I I I I I t
5 15 25 35 45
BLOOD LEAD LEVEL (Np / d)
6'ia. 15. Adjusted diastolic blood pressure and adjusted blood lead levels for males ages 20 to 74
from NHANES Il. Both blood pressure and blood lead were adjusted by regression for the effects o[
age, age', body mass, and other significant variables. Each point represents the mean blood pressure
and mean blood lead for 50 consecutive observations, sorted in increasing order of blood lead
(Schwartz, t488).

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH
138
126
I
o
I
I
5 15 25
BLOOD LEAD LEVEL (µp / d)
I
35
21
;Fto. 16. Adjusted systolic blood pressure and adjusted blood lead levels from males ages 20 to 74
from NHANES !I. Both blood pressure and blood lead have been adjusted by regression for the eftects
of age, mge=, body mus, and other signifi,cant variables. Each point represents the mean blood pres-
sure and mean blood lead for 24 consecutive observations, sorted in increasing order of blood lead
(Schwartz, 1988).
An ideal opportunity to separate the role of Pb from a wide range of potentially
confounding nutritional factors was presented by the large data set from
NHANES II, a random stratified sample of the U.S. population. Pirkle et al.
(1985) described the results of their analyses of the data for 40- to 59-year-old
white males from this survey population. After adjustment for age, body mass
index, all measured nutritional factors, and blood biochemistry factors in a mul-
tiple linear regression model, the relationships of both systolic and diastolic blood
pressures to blood Pb was statistically significant (P < 0.01). Figures 15 and 16
show the results of NHANES II analyses for adults ages 20-74 years from a
review paper by Schwartz (1988).
The Pirkle tt cl. (1985) analyses incorporated additional variables with partic-
ular attention directed at the stability and significance of the Pb coefficient in the
presence of nutritional factors and blood biochemistries. Their objective was to
estimate conservatively the strength and independence of the relationship be-
tween blood pressure and blood Pb. Therefore, to provide an unusually rigorous
test of the independent significance of blood Pb, 87 nutritional and biochemical
variab(es in NHANES II were included in the stepwise regression. In addition, to
accoun¢ for possible curvilinear relationships, squared and natural logarithmic
transformation of almost all these variables were also included.
''I se population mean blood Pb levels dropped by 37% between 1976 and 1980,
due to reductions in the amount of Pb used in gasoline (Fig. 7). This much reduc-
tion in blood Pb in this population would be expected to result in a 17.5% decrease
in diastolic blood pressure ;--90 mm Hg, a level used to define hypertension.
Considering the relatively unusual nature of the blood-Pb/blood-pressure rela-
tion (i.e., characterized by large initial increments in blood pressure at relatively
0

22 MORTON LIPPMANN
low blood Pb levels, followed by leveling off of blood pressure increments at high
blood Pb levels), it is not surprising that it was not anticipated by results of studies
in animals. Many animal studies emphasize results from exposures at higher dose
levels, where results tend to be more definitive. The human results were, how-
ever, consistent with biphasic blood pressure increases observed in response to
small PbB increases in the rat (Victery el ad., 1982a, b; Perry et al., 1988) when
rats were treated with low dose of lead. The unusual exposure-response relation
may also account for the failure of earlier human studies to find consistent rela-
tions between blood pressure and blood Pb in study groups with mild-to-moderate
elevations of blood Pb concentrations.
In summary, the use of a very large set of high-quality data covering a wide
range of possibly confounding variables allowed a clean-cut determination of the
effects of blood Pb on blood pressure for a relatively low range of blood Pb
concentrations (5-35 µg/dl). This association between relatively small elevations
of PbB and elevated blood pressure may have significant public health impact
because hypertension is a recognized risk factor for cardiovascular disease.
CONCLUSIONS
In 1943 Alice Hamilton looked back on her 33 years of experience with lead as
an occupational toxicant and reminded us that there were many subclinical "man-
ifestations of this protean malady." At that time, she remained concerned about
subclinical effects in industrial workers. She could not have known that our failure
to heed her doubts, expressed in 1925, that any effective measures could be
implemented to protect the general public from the hazards of widespread use of
leaded gasoline would lead, in this decade of the 1980s, to our current concerns
about fairly well-documented neurobehavioral and developmental deficits in cht7-
dren throughout the country, or to our concerns for lead as a cardiovascular stress
factor for adults.
Our most sophisticated tools for investigation, and our increased knowledge of
exposure-response relationships for lead, would certainly impress Alice Hamilton
if she could be with us again. However, in this era of emphasis on biological
mechanisms of xenobiotic response, it is remarkable how little we now know
about how chronic low-level lead exposure leads to such a remarkable array of
toxic responses. Dr. Hamilton, trained in pathology, would surely be disappointed
with our progress. On the other hand, Dr. Hamilton, our first, full-time U.S.
hygienist and occupational health physician, would, I think, be pleased with our
recent progress in controlling the spread of lead and the consequent reduction in
general population exposure. The virtual removal of lead from gasoline and
canned foods, and the current attempts to reduce lead in drinking water show that
we have learned some of the important lessons she tried to teach us.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The preparation of this paper was supported as part of a Center Program supported by Grant
ES-00260 from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences and Grant CA 13343 from the
National Cancer Institute.

LEAD AND HUMAN HEALTH 23
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