Philip Morris
Regulatory Decision - Making Under Uncertainty: the Case of Alar
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- Litigation
- Stmn/Produced
- Named Person
- Bradley, E.
- Bush
- Delaney
- Graham, J.D.
- Haun
- Moore, J.
- Moses, S.
- Toth
- Bush
- Request
- Stmn/R1-072
- Named Organization
- 60 Minutes
- Congress
- Epa, Environmental Protection Agency
- Harvard
- Natural Resources Defense Council
- NCI, Natl Cancer Inst
- Public Citizen
- Scientific Advisory Panel
- Uniroyal Chemical
- Usda, U.S. Dept of Agriculture
- Congress
- Date Loaded
- 24 May 1999
- UCSF Legacy ID
- vlp02a00
Document Images
RI S KASS E S S MEIJT DATA
In historical studies from 1977-78, as well as more recent
data submitted by Uniroyal, daminozide produced vascular and lung
tumors in mice. However, this oncogenic response may be linked to
the presence of UDMH in the test material (possibly by metabolic
conversion). UDMH also produced vascular and lung tumors. On the
other'.lzand, the data from rat studies for both daminozide and UDMH
is less significant. More specific information on these studies
is shown in Table 1.
The estimates of daminozide and UDMH residues in raw and
produced foods are shown in Tables 2 and 3. The estimates of
dietary exposure for the U.S. population as well as for specific
age subsets are shown in Tables 4-9.
T;lae lifetime risk of cancer for the general population due to
dieta:ry exposure to UDMH was estimated to be 4 - 5 x 10-5.
However, because children have a high ratio of food intake for
their bodyweight and because such a high proportion of their diet
comes from;foods that may have high levels of daminozide and/or
UDMH residues, a cancer risk of 5-6 x 10-6 was estimated.
THB NRI)C RElaORT
The NRDC study, "Intolerable Risk: Pesticides in our
Children's Food" examined the levels of pesticide residues found
11

in fruits 'and vegetables to determine whether they presented
health hazard to preschoolers. The NRDC report quantified the
preschooler's dietary exposure to 23 pesticide residues in 27 food
items as well as the resultant potential health risks in terms of
two endpoints--cancer and disruption in central nervous system
functioning.
Tlze principal findings of the study were that
"Preschoolers are being exposed to hazardous levels of
pesticides in fruits and vegetables. Between 5,500 and
6,000 (a risk range of 2.5 x 10 to 2.8 x 10, ) of the
c»rrent population of American preschoolers may
eventually get cancer solely as a result of their
exposure before six years of age to eight pesticides or
metabolites commonly found in fruits and vegetables."
(]qRDC report, p.2)
The report singled out UDNgi as "the greatest source of the cancer
risk identified by NRDC." This risk was estimated as "240 times
greater than the cancer risk considered acceptable by EPA following
a full lifetime of exposure;" one out of 4000 children will get
cancer as a result of ingesting Alar-treated apples.
The report also recommended that Congress amend the current
pesticide regulations to "close loopholes in EPA's and FDA's
regulatory programs." Furthermore, NRDC raised concerns about how
long it takes to lower tolerances or remove hazardous pesticides
from t:he market, and recommended that EPA be granted the authority
to takEe action more quickly. (The Executive Summary of the NRDC
report: is attached.)
12

REGIIIJsTORY ACTION
With his staff's data analyses and recommendations in hand,
the current tolerance on Alar in apples due to expire January 31,
1989, and the findings of the NRDC report soon to be released, Jack
Moore had to make a decision on Alar in addition to deciding
whether or not to be interviewed for 60 Minutes.
STUDY QUESTIONl3
1. Should Jack Moore appear on 60 Minutes? Discuss the pros and
(cions of this decision, taking into account the fact that he
is Acting Administrator of EPA.
2. :L,E he;agrees to the interview, how should Jack Moore prepare
himself?
3. What regulatory decision should the Agency make on Alar?
Should Jack Moore reveal this decision during his 60 Minutes
interview?
4. :Cn addition to "Why hasn't EPA banned Alar?" and "Is the
cairrent law adequate to protect the public from the risks of
pesticides?", what additional questions should Jack Moore
anticipate, and how should he'respond?
5. Vniat f,actors in addition to the "scientific facts" must Jack
rkaore consider in his decision-making concerning Alar?
6. Is the current law adequate to protect the public from the
risks of pesticides?

IML E .1
NEOPLASTIC RESPONSE REPORTED
FOR DAMINOZIDE AND UDMH
IN RODENT CARCINOGENICITY STUDIES
Study Nune Species & Route
DAMINOZII)E
Toth, 19'77 Swiss mouse
(drinking water)
NCI, 19'7l3a B6C3F1 mouse
(dietary)
Tumor Site and Potency (if Calculated)
Blood vessel sarcomas in males and
females; alveolar/bronchiolar adenomas
and carcinomas in males and females;
kidney tumors in males
Liver carcinomas in males; alveolar/
bronchiolar carcinomas and adenomas in
males and females
NCI, 19'713b F344 rat
(dietary)
Uniroya:L, CD-i mouse
1988a (dietary)
UDMH
Toth, 1!3'73 Swiss mouse
, (drinking water)
Toth, 19'77 Hamster
(drinking water)
Haun, 1984 F344 rat
(inhalation)
Haun, 1984 C57BL/6 mouse
(inhalation)
Uniroya7L,, CD-1 mouse
1988e (drinking water)
Uterine endometrial adenocarcinomas and
leiomyosarcomas in females
Dose-related trend with regard to
blood vessel tumors of liver in males
and females; dose-related increase in
alveolar/bronchiolar adenomas in males
and females; no increases in vascular
lung tumors by pairwise comparison
Hemangiomas and hemangiosarcomas of
liver in males and females;
alveolar/bronchiolar adenomas and
carcinomas in males and females; kidney
and liver tumors in males.and females;
Q1 estimated to be 8.9 (mg/kg/day) "
Hemangiomas and hemangiosarsarcomas in I
males; colon tumors in males and females
Pancreatic islet cell adenomas and
*
carcinomas in males; Q
, estimated to be
2.45 (mg/kg/day)'1; pulmonary adenomas ;
and carcinomas in males ~
Hemangiomas and hemangiosarcomas in
females; liver adenomas in females
Blood vessel tumors of the liver in
males and females; Q, estimated to be
0.88 (mg/kg/day)-'; alveolar/bronchiola
adenomas in males and females; Q~
estimated to be 2.9 (mg/kg/day)-
6
ZOZ5546;-M

-~AbL~ 2
ESTIMATES OF DAMINOZIDE LEVELS
'IN RAW AND PRODUCED FOODS
COIyMODITY PERCENT OF
CROP TREATED AVERAGE,
ppm DAMINOZIDE *
Apples 1.00
Apple sauce (-baby ) 0.50
" " (-adul t) 0.40
Ap;ple juice (-baby ) 0.50
" t1 (-adul t) 0.40
Dried raw apples 8.00 #
Dried cooked apple s 4.00 #
Cherries, sweet an d sour 30 23.7
Che:rry filling (an d juice) 1.5
Grapes 0.0
Grape j uice 0.02
Grape preserves 0.02
Nectarines 3 14.5
Peaches 3 11.3
Peaches, canned 11.3
Pearkuts 0.80
Peanut butter 0. 8 0-
Pea r.iut oil 0.80
Pea.rs 3 8.8
Pears, canned 8.8
Beef meat 0.01
" kidney 0.2
11 fat 0.01
" milk 0..01
Poultry teat 0.001
" eggs 0.002
Tomatoes, whole 10 0.20
Tomato j tiice 10 0.30 #
Tomato puree 10 0.66 #
Tomato paste 10 1.10 #
Cat;'iip 10 0.50 #
* For commodity items beef, beef byproducts, milk, poultry and
eggs, the residue values were extrapolated from feeding
studies.
# Residue levels for dried apples includes a concentration
factor of 8. For processed tomato products, the average
residue of 0.2 ppm was multiplied by the following
concentration factors to derive the value used in
calculating exposure: 1.5 for tomato juice, 3.3 for tomato
puree, 5.4 for tomato paste, and 2.5 for catsup.

-fAdLE 3 .
ESTIMATES OF UDMH LEVELS
IN RAW AND PRODUCED FOODS
COMMODITY PERCENT OF
CROP TREATED AVERAGE,
ppb UDMFi *
Apples 2.6
Apple saLtdce (-baby) 33.3
n gu
(-adult)
14
0
Apple juice (-baby) .
44.0
of m (-adult) 23.9
Dried raNr apples 20.8 #
Dried cooked apples 352.0 #
Cherries, sweet and sour 30 18.6
Cherry filling (and juice) 108.1
Grapes 0.0
Grape juice 1.5
Grape preserves 1.5
Nectarines 3 25.0
Peaches 3 21.3
Peaches, canned 21.3
Peanuts 24.9
Peanut butter 24.9
Peanut oil 24.9
Pears 3 11.9
Pears, canned 11.9
Beef ineat: 2.0
" kic[ney 2.0
" fat: 2.0
m
mi].1+e
2.0
Poultry meat 0.5
ir egCfs> 0.5
Tomatoes, whole 10 1.6
Tomato juice 10 2.4 #
Tomato puree 10 5.3 #
Tomato paste 10 . 8.6 #
Catsup 10 4.0 .#
*
For beef, beef byproducts, milk, poultry and eggs, the
residue values were extrapolated from feeding studies.
Residue levels for dried apples includes a concentration
factor of 8. For processed tomato products, the average
residue of 1.6 ppb was multiplied by the following
conc:entration factors to derive the value used in estimating
exposure: 1.5*for tomato juice, 3.3 for tomato puree, 5.4
for tomaio paste; and 2.5 for catsup.

TAbt-E.4
ESTIMATES OF DAMINOZIDE DIETARY EXPOSURE
FOR THE U.S. POPULATION *
OMMODI'C!t AVERAGE
DAILY
CONSUMPTION
(a food/ka bwt/day) RESIDUE
LEVELS
(in ppm EXPOSURE
or ma/ka)(ma dam./ka/day)
Apples, fresh 0.3074 1.00 0.000307
Apples, cooked:
fresh and jui ce 0.2004 0.50 0.001000
Dried raw apples 0.0001 8.00 0.000001 #
Dried cooked apple s 0.0001 4.00 0.0000004 #
Apple juice, raw 0.1709 0.50 0.000085
Cherries, raw fres
and raw 3uice h
0.0105
7.11
0.000075
Cherries, cooked:
fresh and ju
ice 0.0251
1.50
0.000038
Eggs 0.5803 0.002 0.000001
Grapes 0.0438 0.02 0.000001
Grape juice 0.0901 0.02 0.000002
Wine andl sherry 0.0842 0.02 0.000002
Nectarines 0.0130 0.45 0.000006
Peaches. 0.2154 0.34 0.000073
Peanuts, raw,
cooked, and oil 0.0748 0.80 .0.000060
Pears 0.1225 0.26 0.000032
Meat 2.2318 0.20 0.000446
Milk 1.3705 0.01 0.000014
Tomatoes, whole 0.4920 0.20 0.000098
Tomato juice 0.0551 0.30 0.000017 #
Tomato puree 0.1702 0.66 0.000112 #
Tomato paste 0.0395 1.10 0.000043 #
Catsup 0.0420 0.50 0.000021 #
TOTAL 0.000951
or
9.5 x 10'4
mg/kg/day +
For commodity items meat, milk, and eggs, the residue values were
extrapolated from feeding studies data.
Residue levels for dried apples includes a concentration factor of 8.
For processed tomato products, average residue of 0.2 ppm was
multiplied by the following concentration factors: 1.5 for tomato
juica, 3.3 for tomato puree, 5.4 for tomato paste, and 2.5 for catsup.
1 p~a~?-cent of exposure (0.95 x 10~5 mg/kg/day) used to estimate UDMH
contribution from metabolic conversion of daminozide to UDMH when
estimating risk in Table 16.

ESTIMATES OF UDMH DIETARY EXPOSURE
FOR THE U.S. POPULATION *
AVERAGE RESIDUE
DAILY LEVELS
CONSUMPTION (in ppb EXPOSURE
oDITY (cx food/kcr bwt/day) or ua/kq) (ua UDMH/kg/day)
les, fre:all 0.3074
les, coo)ced :
fresh and juice 0.2004
ed raw apples 0.0001
ed cooked apples 0.0001
le juice, raw 0.1709
rries, raw fre'sh
and raw juice 0.0105
rerries, cooked:
fresh aind juice 0.0251
s 0.5803
pes 0.0438
pe juice 0.0901
e and sherry 0.0842
ctarines 0.0130
ches , 0.2154
anuts, raw,
cooked and oil 0.0748
ars 0.1225
at 2.2318
k 1.3705
matoes, whole 0.4920
mato juice 0.0551
mato puree 0.1702
~mato paste 0.0395
F !
sup 0.0420
2.6 0.000799
44.0 0.008818
20.8 0.000002 #
352.0 0.000035 #
33.3 0.005691
5.6 0.000059
108.1 0.002713
0.5 0.000290
0.0 0.000000
1.5 0.000135
1.5 0.000126
0.8 0.000010
0.6 0.000129
24.9 0.001863
0.4 0.000049
2.0 0.004464
2.0 0.021068
1.6 0.000787
2.4 0.000132 #
5.3 0.000902 #
8.6 0.000340 #
'4.0 0.000168 #
0.000047
or
4.7 x 10.5 +
mg/kg/day
For commodity items meat, milk, and eggs, the residue values were
extrapo].zated from feeding studies data. All beef, beef byproducts and
poultry were combined under "meat" in this table.
Residue levels for dried apples includes a concentration factor of 8.
For processed tomato products, average residue of 1.6 was multiplied
by the following concentration factors: 1.5 for tomato juice, 3.3 for
, tomato puree, 5.4 for tomato paste, and 2.5 for catsup.
1 percent. of daminozide exposure (0.95 x 10-4 mg/kg/day) added to
total UDMIi dietary-exposure in Table 16 used to estimate 1 percent
conversiein of daminozide in the gut.

6.
-T ~ &-E
TAS ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE DAILY E%FOSDRE
TO DAMINOZIDE FOR SELECTED AGE SUBSETS
Subset
(Age and Other) Exposure
(mg/kg/day)
AVERRWE (U.S. POPULATION) 0.000951
Nursing infants (<1 year old) 0.003396
Non-nursing infants (<1 year old) 0.005427
Child»en (1 - 6 years old) 0.002786
Children (7 - 12 years old) 0.001514
Males (13 ® 19 years old) 0.000730
Females (13 - 19 years, not pregnant
or nursing) 0.000662
Females (13 + years, pregnan t) 0.000692
Females (13 + years, nursing) 0.000824
Females. (20 + years, not pre gnant
. or nursing) 0.000575
Males (20 + years old) 0.000523

-TA~LF- 7
ESTIMATES OF UDMFi DIETARY RISR
FOR THE U.S. POPULATYON . .
(interim Q¢j = 0.88 mg/kg/day)
Commod:Hy Dietary Exposure
Lua/kajday) Dietary
Risk *
Milk
Apples
Red meatv
Cherries
Peanuts
Eggs
Grapes
Poultry
TomatoE.:
Peaches
Pears
Nectarines 0.021068
0.015331
0.004464
0.002772
0.001863
0.000290
0.000261
0.000252
0.000234-0.00234
0.000129
0.000049
0.000010 1.8 x 10'5
1.4 x 10-5
3.9 x 10-6
2.4 x 10'6
1.6 x 10.6
2.5 x 10'T
2.3 x 10~7
2.2 x 10'7
2.1X10,T-2.1X10-6
1.1 x 10,7
4.3 X 10-8
8.8 x 10,9
TOTALS 0.046715 4.1 X 10-'
+[0.009500 estimated metabolic
UDMH from daminozide) 0.84 X 10'5
4.9 X 10'
* Refer, to II.C.3.b. "Uncertainties that Could Overestimate
the Risk (2-3) "*..
iV
