Philip Morris
Toxicology Forum 900000 Annual Winter Meeting Epidemiologic Studies of the Relationship Between Passive Smoking and Lung Cancer
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- Kabat, G.
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- 2023382094/2668
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JUN 2 Lr; 1990
TOXICOLOGY
FORUM
1990 Annual
Winter Meeting
February 19-21, 1990
L'Enfant Plaza Hotel
Washington, D.C.

1990 Annual VKinter Toidcology Forum
L'Eafant Plua Hotel
Washiagton, D.C.
February 1921, 1990
NI riphts r.s.r+r.d. No poNon of this transerlpt may be rsproduo.d or utiliz.d in any form or by any
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computers, wiMbut prior psrmialoe In .rrNlnp trmm, th. Board of Dlr.etors of the Toxfoolopy Forum,
Soma of tho maWlals In this transerlpl may be ava11ab1. .4.wh.r... In on form aLncnh.r, Aow.v.r, 1t
ts
availabM nowhsrs NsM p B is arranp.d herein. AMhouph the eoUsetJon and compilation of kHormation has
bKn oarrfullyr
prepared and represents a sipnificant employment mf sidf tlme and resowos.lM Toaloolopy Forum Is
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for any stat.m.rtes or ancrs or omis.tons k+ the manustripb or In sAe transerlption of the recorded
proceedings. 1990
Tosiooiopy Forum. Inc., 1sls cy. $tr..t, N.w., an Iloor, w.shtnpmn, o.c. 20o0S.

CONTENTS
Monday, February 19, 1990
Session I-1lPPROPRIATENESS OF ASSUMING LA)W DOSE LINEARiTY Page
FOR SECONDARY CARCINOGENS
Chairman: W. Gary F4mm, Science Regulatory Systems International, DC i
IMPACT OF ADDITI6?TY THEORY TO REGULATORS
Richard Hill, Environmental Protection Agency, DC
2
DISCUSSION 10
STATISTICAL AR G UMENTS
Daniel Krewsky, Health and Welfare, Canada
11
STAT/STIGlL AR GUMENTS
Thomas B. Starr, Environ, VA
21
DISCUSSION 25
BIOLOGIGlL ARGUMENTS
James A. Swenberg, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hi11
30
DISCUSSION 45
BIOLOGICAL ARGUMENTS
R. Michael McClaia, Hof{man-La Roche, Inc., NJ
47
PANEL DISCUSSION
Chairman: W. Gary Flamm, Science Regulatory Systems International, DC
David W. Gaylor, National Center for Twocolog;cal Reseuch, AR
62
LUNCHEON SESSION 69
Session II jMAXIMUM EXROSED INDiVIDUAL
Chiirman: Paul Portney, Resources for the Futuee, DC 73 ~
GENERdL CONCEPTS
John Graham, Hward School of Public Health, MA O
N
74 ~
CRI77QUE I - PUBIJC XFSLTX PERSPECTIIZ CJ
C~0
Bernard Goidstein, Environmental & Occupational ~
Health Sciences Institute, NJ 90 ~
©
GB

Page
CRIT7QUE 11 - FXPERfMENTALISTS PERSPECTIYE
Angelo Turturo, National Center for ToxicoTogical Research, AR 97
DISCUSSION 101
ASSESSING THE AIR TOXICS PROBLEM USING AMBIENT DATA
William Hunt, Environmental Protection Agency, NC
108
DISCUSSION 128
NEW LEGISLlT1ON ON AIR POLL UFION
Robert Barnard, Cleary, Gottlieb, Steen & Hamilton, DC
131
SOME THOUGHTS ON ME! PREDICTIVE EXPOSURE ASSESSMENTS
Neil Hawkins,'Ibe Dow Chemical Comparny, MI
138
DISCUSSION 153
ii

CONTENTS
Tuesday, February 20, 1990 Page
Session Ill - HEALTH EFFECTS OF Eh'V11tONMETvTAL TOBACCO SN1OI:E
Chairman: Gio B. Gori, Heahh Policy Center, MD 159
REVIEW OF A WORKSXOP: ASSESSING LOW RISK AGENTS
FOR LUNG CANCER
Rapar Rylander, University of Gothenborg, Sweden
159
DISCUSSION 167
ASSESSMENT OF EXPOSURE
Nancy Haley, American Health Foundation, NY
170
DISCUSSION 184
EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES OF TXE RELA T7ONSHIP FETWFEN P.tSSNL'
SMOKING AND LUNG CANCER
Geoffrey Kabat, American Health Foundation, NY
187
DISCUSSION 200
INVOLUNTARY SMOKfNG AND LUNG CANCER
Lawrence Garfwkel. American Cancer Society, NY
202
DISCUSSION 205
RESPIR.4TORY EFFECTS
Philip Witorsch, George Washington University, DC
209
DISCUSSION 220
HF.4RT DISEASE RISK IN PASSJVE SMOKERS
Dale Sandler, National Institute ot Environmeatal Health Srieates, NC
223
DISCUSSION 231
C4RDIO VASG'UL4R EFFECTS
lawrona M. Wszleu, New York Medical Colkge, NY
235 ~
DISCUSSION 245 ~
GJ
W
4Z
N
tlt
µ
O

Page
Session iV: BEOTECHNOLOGY REPORT OF A PEER REVIEW DEBATE
Chairman: Richard Ronk, Food and Drug Administration, DC 247
GENERAL OVERYIEW. TXE PURPOSE AND CONTENT OF T1YE IFBC REPORT
Richard Hall, International Food Biotechnology Council, DC 248
SAFETYEVALUA77ON PROCEDURES IN THE IFBC RFPORT
Ian Munro, Canadian Centre for ToiocoloQy
DISCUSSION
ENVIRONMENT.lL REi?E'Ui' OF BIOENGINEERED PRODUCTS
Bua Hoffman, Food and Drug Administration,, DC
DISCUSSION
PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE IN REGULATION PRODUCT APPROVAL
Fred Shank, Food and Drug Administration, DC
DISCUSSION
BOYINE SOMATOTROPIN BSTfBGH
Gerald B. Guest, Food and Drug Administration, MD
FOOD SS1F'ETYASSESSMENT FOR THE USE OF BST IN DAIRY COWS
,252
263
268
283
291
295
Bruce Hammond,, Monsanto, MO 299
DISCUSSION 316
THE SAFETY OF FOODS DERNED FROM TRANSGENICANIJ1iA1.S
David Berkowit4 U.S. Department of Agriculture, DC 318
DISCUSSION
331
CONSUMER AND CONGRESSIONAL VIEW POINTS
Lesley Russell, , Committee on Energy and Commerce,
U.S. House of Representativea, DC 332
DISCUSSION 335
1V
>4

CONTENTS
Wednesday, February 21,1994 Page
Susion V: REGULA'I'ORY UPDATES
C6airmaa: Robert J. Scheuplein, Food and Drug Administration, DC 337
FDdcC REl7 3
Robert J Scheuplein, Food and Drug Administration, DC
337
DISCUSSION 339
DIOXIN IN PAPER PRODUCTS
Dwain L Winters, Environmtntal Protection Agency, DC
340
DISCUSSION 346
PROPOSIT?ON 65
Lauren Zeise, Department of Health, CA
349
DISCUSSION 354
NCI UPDATE ON IQ (?.dM1NO,3-METJIYI.JMIDA2O (4,5-F) QUINOLINE)
Richard Adamson, National Cancer Institute, MD
357
DISCUSSION 363
RISKASSESSMENF AND THE WAXMAN PES77CIDE BILL
Mike Taylor, King & Spalding, DC
367
DISCUSSION 371
TtIE BENZENE DECISION
Jeanette Wiltsc, Envirommental Protection Agency, DC
373
DISCUSSION 389
v

DR. KABAT: Thank you.
The problem of passive smoking and lung cancer has provoked a good deal of debate both
oa a scientirc and on a public policy level. Do the studies that purport to show an association of
exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and lung cancer occurriag in lifetime nonsmokers
provide adequate evidence to resolve the issue? As Nancy Haley has just shown, sbe and her
colleagues are very good at measuring recent exposure to ETS using eotiaine measured in saliva,
serum, and urine. Unfortunately, these biomarkers are not helpful for assessing exposure over the
several decades relevant to the induction of lung ¢ancer. Given the lack of a biomarker for long
term exposure to ETS, epidemiologic studies have had to rely on self-reporas or proxy-reports of
ETS exposure.
I propose to raise what I consider to be some of the key aspects of the roughly 15
epidemiolog'sc studies of the issue of ETS and lung cancer and to point out certain areas that
require
fwther study. I will u-iefly refer to our own study which is atill in progress at the American
Healtb
Foundation. Finally, i will suggest a possible direction for further study of this issue..
EPIDEMIOLOGIC
Table 1 lists studies examining the lung cancer risk of aon-smoking wives of smoking
husbands compared to the non-smoking wives of non-smoking husbands. One Dotes that the
greatest magaitude of the overall relative risk (RR) is 2.1. After the Tricbopoulos and Correa
studies, the highest RR is 1.65 (Lam et al.). The national Rese.arch Council't committee on passive
smoking carried our a meta-aaalysis of the aosting studies in 1986 and came up with an overail RR
of 134 (95% confidence interval: 1.18-153) (1).
In four out of the fifteen studies listed, the overall RR is statistically eigaificanf. When
one examines the data by level of exposure, i.e., number of cigarettes per day smoked by the
husband stratified into two or more levels, 8 of the 15 studies show evidence of a dose-respoase
relationship.
HISTOLOGY
When we look at the effect of ETS exposure by histologic type, we see an interesting
discrepancy (Table 2). Dalager et a1. (2) and Pershagen et al. (3) show roughly comparably elevated
odds ratios (OR) for wuamous cell and small cell nrdaomas combines, but not for
adenocara3noma. In contrast, Lam et al. (4) obtained a tigsificant elfeei for adenocarinoma but not
for aquamous eell nrcinoma.
The re:ults of Hirayama's study (5) presumably agree on this point with those of Lam et
al, aince the majority of his lung eancer eases Were apparently adenocaronoma. Tricbopoulos et al.
reaults (6) presumably.re.igb in em the aide of Dalager et al. and PershWn et al., aince
Trichopoulos excluded adenocariaoma and termiaalbronchiaT carcinoma from their aeries.
Since adenocaricoma ocatrs more commonly in aevtr smokers than in smoken and
ienerally more commonly in women than in men ('7), ooe would expect that if ETS exposure is an
apprecaable risk factor for lmtg cancer, it is associated with adenoearcinoma, as well as
poasibly.vith
ether types. The inconsistency in the results to date regarding listology indicates that this is one
area that merits further study.
197

ASSESSMENT OF DISEASE STATUS
MiscLssifiution on disease status occurs when diagnoses other than primary carciaoma of
~
the lung are included in the case series or when a primary cancer of the lung is included among the
controls due to its haviag gone undetected. Garfinkel et al. reported that of 283 women listed as
having lung cancer in hospital records but witb ao mention of their having smoked, 36 (12.7%)
turned out to have diaposes other than lung cancer when the bittology was reviewed by one of the
authors (8).
In studies in which histologic verification of lung cancer is a criterion for inclusion in the 1
study, misdassification should be minimal. However, some of the studies listed in Table 1 were
lacking this for all cases.
It sbould also be mentioned that even .vben lung cancer is histologically verified, it is
posstble that some cases judged to be primary cancer of the lung are actually secondary to a cancer
of another site that has gone undetected.
ASSESSMENT OF EXPOSURE STATUS
This is a greater problem thaa assessment of disease status, and for some investigators it
is the key problem of epidemiologic studies of ETS and lung cancer (9,10).
Misdassification of exposure status can occur in a number of ways. Fust, subjects who
have smoked for some period of their life can be erroneously included in a study of never smokers.
Second, subjects may under-report (minimize) or over-report (inflate) their ETS exposure, or this
may be done by proades. A third type of misclassification can occur when some indirect measure
(such as whether the subjea is married to a smoker or bow much the spouse smokes) is used as an
indicator of ETS exposure. The effect of misdassification on the estimate of the RR depends on
whether the misclassification is random or differential'(that is systematic). Random
miselassification
will bias the estimate of the RR toward the null, thus making an effect, if there is one, more
difficult
to detect. If misclassification on esposure differs between cases aad' controls, the estimate of the
RR
can be biased eitber upwards or downwards depending on the direction of the bias (11).
JldisclassifstQtion ojacrivc srnokcrs as never srnokcrs.
GarLnkel and co-workers found that among lung cancer cases identiGed as 'nonsmokers'
or lacking any mention of smoking in the hospital record, 40% were revealed to have smoked' upon
reinterview (8). Although a detailed personal interview yields more accurate smoking histories than
reliance on bospitaT ebarts, it is stiil likely tbat, even when subjects are directly interviewed
and more
so when various proxies are used, some miselassification of smokers as nonsmokers occurs.
Lee has argued that random miwt«tfication of smokers as non-smokers coupled with a
tendency of smokers to marty smokers could account for the observed association of a spouse's
smoking and iaereased lung cancer risk in non-smoking spouses (9). Assuming a S:'o
a,+d«ifscation of smoking subjects, a RR of 20 for active smokiag, ao true effect of passive
smoking, and a betrveen-spouse smoking concordance of 3.45, Lee demonstrates the effects of such a
bias. Tbese include an apparent effect of passivt smoking (RR - 1.75) and the creation of a luge
proportion of true smokers among the self-reported aon-smokers with lung cancer.
188

Alisdarsicaaon of selJ,rporud ETS aposure..
A study by Froa et a1. (12) suggests that mistlassification of self-reported ETS exposure
may be wensive. They examined the reliability of responses in 117 control subjects who bad'
participated in a study of passive smoking and wbo were reiaterviewed on average six months later.
Responses to an initial question about exposure to ETS (yes/oo) were more reliable for exposure at
home than at work (Table 3). Reprodudbi'lity of questions concerning exposure to a spouse's smoke
(yes/ao) was high for both sexes, with the reliability being generaIly lower for other family
members.
Quantitative meuures of ETS exposure, i.e, number and duration of exposures,.vere generally less
reliable than qualitative (or dichotomous) measures. In feneral, non-smoken gave more reliable
information on all parameters of ETS exposure than smokers.
Unfortunately the study by Pron et al, did not eumine the reliability of responses among
cases as.vell as among controls. In case-control sudies particularly one must be concerned that the
ease's reporting of exposure may be influenced by his diagnosis. In a study of lung cancer occurring
in non-smokers, this could take the form of cases probing past exposures more intensively than
controls and over-reporting exposures to ETS, since some cases may feel wmpelled to find an
explanation for their disease. On the other hand, it is also possible that cases might minimize
their
exposures out of an unwillingness to blame a spouse.
Aliscfossificariort due to use the spouse's srrso+ldn,g hebiu.
Using the presence of a smoking spouse as an indicator of ETS exposure can lead to
serious misclassification of exposure. Based on a survey of nearly 38,000 : never- and ex-smokers,
Friedman et al. (13) reported that the sensitivity and specificity of using the presence of a
smoking
spouse as a predictor of actual ETS exposure .rere quire poor. Thirty-nine percent of inen and 4751
of women married to smokers reported zero hours of exposure at home. Conversely, 49% of inen
aad 41% of women married to aon-smoken reported some ETS exposure.
CONFOUNDING
Confounding is another major problem area for the evaluation of epidemiologic studies of
ETS and lung cancer and one that has rece'wed relatively little attention.
Several studies suggest that a variety of factors could act as confounders of an ETS-lung
cancer association. Friedman (13) found that age bore a strong negative relationship to reported
ETS exposure. Hours per week of ETS exposure were associated with alcohol consumption,
marijuana use, being currently unmarried, and, in a U6shaped fashi'on, with bo college education.'
lCoo, Ho, and Rylander (14) e:amimed a wide variety of behaviors of the soo-smoking
wives of smoking and aon-smoking httsbands in Hong Koag. Tbcy eonduded that in general wives
with husbands who had never smoked h,ad healthier llifearyles than wives with smoking husbands.
Specifically
the former were of highcr socioeconomic status, were more eonscentious housewives
N
O
~
,
,
ate better diets, and had higher indices of family eohe:iveaess as well as better heahh status. C.)
~
A third study, by Sidney et at. (LS) repoRed that dietary B-carotene iatake was
aigaiGnntly lower in non-smokers agtoaod to passive amoke at home than in non-smokers .vbo were
aot eaposed, aher adjustment for ag e, ie; raa,, education atatus, body weight, and alcohol intakc.
CA
I-A
C1T
189
