Philip Morris
Tobacco Profits Still A Picture of Health
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PAGE 1
LEVEL 1 - 1, OF 55 STORIES
Copyright (c); 1990 Chicagp,Tribune Company;
Chicago Tribune
August 13, 1990, lMonday, NORTHISPORTS FINAL EDITION'
SECTION: BUSINESS; Pgi. 1; ZONE: C
LENGTH: 1545 words
HEADLINE: Tobacco profits still a picture of health
BYLINE: By Pat Widd'er, Chicago Tribune
DATELINE: NEW YORK
BODY:
The anti-smoking movement in the U.S. met with unprecedented success in the
decade just past.
Smoking has beenidec]:ared a passive health hazard by the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency. The American Medical Association has assailed the export of
U.S. cigarettes. Smoking is banned on nearly all domestic flights, in two out of
five offices, in most public places. Smoking is even being banned in a growing
number of jails in America:.
Domestic consumption continues to decline, dropping another 4 percent in
1989,, and smoking, once consideredisocially acceptable and sophisticated, is
viewed by a majority of Americans as a stupid, filthy habit dangerous to
everyone.
The dread tobacco industry is on the run, right?
Wrong. Though the fact infuriates the anti-smoking forces, the tobacco
industry also prospered in the 1980s.
"Despite long-term concerns about cigarette consumption trends, excise tax
increases and litigation developments, cigarette stocks since 1981 have
outperformed the Standard & Poor"s 500-stock index in every year but one
(1985);" said Dean Witter Reynolds Inc. analyst Lawrence Adelman.
~
U.S. tobacco exports exploded in the mid-1980s. They leaped 25 percent last 0
year and are up again, to $1.8 billiom in the first five months of 1990. Even in
Japan, a notoriously difficult market, U.S. tobacco products have 14 percent of
the market, up from 3 percent just three years ago.
N
~
If this kind of performance were turned in by any other industry, it would' be ~11
hailed as a sterling example of American efficiency, marketing brilliance and
superior quality.
~
But tobacco carries with it the health-hazard baggage. Since the U.S. surgeon M+
general's first report on the dangers of smoking in 1964, the industry has been
portrayed as "merchants of death." And so an industry that serves 49 million
people, employs more than 700,000, generated a positive trade balance of $3.7
billion and paid nearly $10 billion in federal, state and local excise taxes in
1988 is under attack on all fronts.
0 * *
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PAGE 2
(!c) 1990 Chicago Tritune, August 13, 1990
If making an6selling cigarettes weren't so profitable, companies such as
Philip Morris Cos., RJR Nabisco Inc., Loews Corp., American Brands Inc., UST
Inc. and Liggett Group Inc. probably would determine that the regulatory hassle,
constant litigation an6negative image aren't worth i't.
But few manufactured products are as profitable as cigarettes. They are
virtual money machines. Operattng profit margins for tobacco products range f roe
40 to 5&percent, said'Kurt Feuerman, tobacco analyst with Morgan Stanley & Co.
Tobacco is the second most capitali-intensive industry In the nation: behind
petroleum, said Farrell Delman, president of the Tobacco Merchants Association
of the U.S. Inc. Machines can make 10,000 cigarettes a minute, he added.
And they are sold 20 to a pack at increasingly high prices, currently an
average $1.60 in the U'.S. Consumer prices for tobacco products In the U.S. have
risen 6 to 19 percent every year si~nce 1980.
So, financially, it is clearly worth it. Calvert Crary, analyst with Labe,
Simpson & Co., likens tobacco to an oil field. "As long as the oil keeps
flowing,, this extraordinarily dangerous product will be profitable," he said.
In fact, he adQed, °Tobacco companies are addicted to the profits from
cigarettes to an even higher (degree) than smokers are addicted to nicotine."
Many tobacco companies have put their immense profits and excess cash from
selling cigarettes cigars, chewing tobacco and the like into non-tobacco, an d
more socially respectable, areas.
R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. bought Nabisco Brands Inc. in~1985, creating RJR
Nabisco. The Liggett Group not only has diversified out of tobacco and into
sports cards and candy, but it also changed its name last month to the Brooke
Group Ltd..
Loews bought an insurance company in the 1970s and recently has purchased oil
rigs. (Loews is the chief investment vehicle for the Tisch family, which also
has a controlling stake in the CBS television network.)
Philip Morris first bought General Foods in 1985, then Kraft Foods in 1988.
With`its June purchase of the Swiss chocolate and coffee company, Jacobs
Suchards A.G., 38 percent of Philip Morris' profits come from nontobacco
products.
Philip Morris is the acknowledged "pricing leader" of the tobacco pack, said
Feuerman. He projects Philip Morris' annual earnings growth of 20 to 25 percent
for the next decade.
°The only way to stop the Philip Morris machine is to ban smoking, and
Washington gave up prohibition in the 1920s," said Prudential-Bache Securities
Inc. analyst John McMillin.
But efforts are underway to ban smoking. A shareholder resolution soundly
defeated at the Philip Morris annual meeting thi's year proposed that the company
get out of the tobacco busi'ness by the year 2000.
LEXIS'IdEl fIS' LEXIS'I VE.
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PAGE 3
(c) 1990 Chicago Tribune, August 13, 1990
Cigarette sales were banned in 14 states in the U.S. between 1895 and 1927,
according to the Tobacco Merchants Association.
These days, anti-smoking efforts range from banning or restricting smoking,
to 1'ncreasing the "sin tax" on tobacco products, to restricting advertising and
sales outlets such as vending machines, to persuading institutional investors to
divest tobacco stocks, as Southern Illinois University, Harvard University and
the City University of New York have done.
Some 425 cities across the country have adopted ordinances restrictingg
smoking in public, said Kevin Goebel, manager of legislative projects for the
Berkeley, Calif.-based Americans for Non-Smokers Rights. "Our goal as an
institution is that the country should be smoke-free in public." He added: "We
don't preach to the smokers. We're trying to protect people from the smoke, n ot
the smokers."
The Administrative Management Society, based in Trevose, Pa., has tracked
smoking policies in corporate America for a decade. Survey consultant Joseph,
McKendrick said the first survey on the topic in 1980 showed 16 percent of
companies had a sOoking policy. By this year, that had risen to 68 percen t.
Last year, McKendrick added, one of four companies banned smoking. This year,
that rose to 38 percent. Eighty-one percent of manager; surveyed said smoking,
should be banned in the office, McKendrick said, thou;.; many realize it hurts
productivity because people then must leave their desks or work areas to smoke.
The tobacco companies raise cigarette prices every year, and Congress is
proposing that federal excise taxes, last raised in 1983, be doubled' to 32 cen ts
a pack.
Pity the poor smoker. He"s an outcast, and he's going to have to pay more.
"'The tobacco industry views smokers as a market. The anti-smoking people view
smokers as the enemy. Both views exploit smokers," said Bob Rosner of the
Seattle-based Smoking Polfcy Institute.
The anti-smoking movement contends that 400,000 Americans die every year from
smoking-related causes, and it has unsuccessfully attempted to make the
cigare"tte companies legally liable for years. "Everyone believes cigarettes are
bad for you, but proving it is very difficult," said Feuerman.
The industry has been assessed damages in only one case, the Cippolone case
in New Jersey in:1988, and even that $400,000 verdict against Liggett was
recently overturned by the U.S. Court of Appeals in Philadelphia. Even before
the verdict was overturned, Feuerman noted, "the number of new cases dropped and
the tobacco stocks doubled." Litigation peaked at 170 cases three years ago, and
the number of cases outstanding is 60.
In a case that is sure to be appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, the New
Jersey Supreme Court ruled last month in Dewey vs. Brown & Williamson, American
Brands and R.J. Reynolds that warnings don't protect cigarette manufacturers
; from liability suits.
The explosion in U.S. tobacco exports has given,the anti'-smoking forces a new
Issue. The merchants of death are now exporters of death, they say.
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PAGE - 4
(c) 1990 Chicago Tribune, August 13, 1990
And international growth for U.S. tobacco companies ts strong, said Feuerman,
because "American cigarettes are perceived as higher quality, the U'.S. companies
have a size advantage in.marketing and trade barriers are dropping, especially
in the Far East."'
Without U.S. exports, per-capita consumption of tobacco still would be rising,
in some parts of the world, the Tobacco Merchants' Delman said. And people have
been smoking for hundreds if not thousands of years. it is a habtt unlikely to
disappear.
And as long as it remains so profitable, U.S. companies are unlikely to
relinquish their leadership position, though the "Increasingly hostile
environment" for tobacco has become a "way of life" for the industry, said
Feuerman.
The new tobacco~industry
Cigarette production
In trillions of units
U.S., rest of world, Total, 1981-'88
U.S. exports
In billions of dollars, 1981-'89
Cigarette consumption
In percent for 1985-88
Where it's growing
China
Indonesia 35.6%
28.3
Dominican Republic 27.0
Thailand 15.91
South Korea 14.5
Where it's declining
Syria 55.5%
Guatemala 30.1
Venezuela - - 19.3
Singapore 18.3
El Salvador 14.5
Note: U.S. decline
is 8.6% N
O
~
GRAPHIC: PHOTO (color): Despite growing restrictions on smoking, the operating tV
profit margins on tobacco products still range from 40 to 50 percent, according ~
to analysts. Tribune photo by Steve Johnson.
PHOTO: Some 425 cities across the country have adopted ordinances restricting ~'
smoking in public and 68 percent of companies have a smoking policy with 38 ~1
percent instituting a ban. Tribune photo by Walter Kale. ~'
INDUSTRY; PROFILE; ANALYSIS; LIST; FINANCE; STATISTIC; RANKING
LEXIS '10! lEXIS'LEJfIS'NEXIS61'
