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CONFIDENTIAL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY on H.'DA~IEL ROTH CANDIDATE FOR THE POSITION O~ EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR THE CENTER FOR INDOOR AIR RESEARCH September, 1987 B,'i.~.~enden 5h'F'~u-la,,d ~h~.m'r & Fuccella In¢'. T!0065-0534

This evaluatio6 has bee~~r~:~i'~ ~ f~"r-~t~54 ~iusive "hs4 0f ...... :'~"~~:~ the Board of Directors of. The Center for Indoor Air ~ Research. Its use should be controlled and limited to ~ designated executives concerned with the selection of the candidate, and should not be transmitted to the candidate. The cand'~date has agreed to discuss this opportunity on a completely confidential basis, therefore, it is imperative that no references be checked 'by a~y member of your organization without our prior notification and consent. l{rissen;h.n .McFarland \~h~oner & F,,:e,.lla Inc. T10065-0535

H. DKRIEL ROTH PERS O~L~L Residence: Telephone: Age: Height: Weight: Marital Status: 7808 Mary Cassatt Drive Potomac, Maryland 20854 301-299-6769 (Home) 301-770-4405 (Business) 45 (6/8/42) 5' II" 165 Ibs. Married - 2 Children EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND 1969 - Ph.D., Mathematics (Probability Theory) - State University of New York at Stony Brook 1967 - M.A., Mathematics (Theoretical) - State University of New York at Stony Brook 1965 - M.A., Mathematics (Applied) - I{unter College, City University of New York Graduate Center 1964 - B.S., Mathematics - B~ooklyn College, City University of New York CAREER EXPERIENCE 1975 to Present 1973 to 1975 1969 to 1973 ROTH ASSOCIATES, INC. Bethesda, Maryland President & Owner ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Planning & Management Washington, D.C. Senior Statistician SMITHSONIAN INSTITUTION Washington, D.C. Information Systems Division Research and Consulting, Biomathematician-Statistician Bri.~senden 5h'Fa~'land ~,X,~gone~" & Fro'celia Inc. TI0065-0536

H. DA~IEL ROTH - 2 CAREER EXPERIENCE (Continued) 1971 to present 1967 to 1969 COMPENSATION RMM:am (9/87) GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF DENISTRY Washington, D.C. Clinical Assistant Professor Biostatistics STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK Stony Brook, New York Instructor, Theoretical Mathematics Over $200,000 Brisscnden hk'l~arland x,~{~oncr & Fm'{'ella Inc. Ti0065-0537

H. DANIEL RO~H Nell Roth, 45, is of average height and trim physique, with hazel eyes (glasses), light brown receding hair and a medium complexion. His outgoing, friendly manner, obvious intelligence, articulate speech and attractive dress combine to produce a highly- favorable first impression. He was born and raised in New York City, the second of four children of a successful restaurant owner/operator father. After graduating from private high school in 1959, he matriculated at Brooklyn College, City University of New York, where he earned a B.S. degree in Mathematics in 1964. This was followed by a Master's degree in Applied Mathematics from Hunter College in 1965, and a Doctorate in Theoretical Math (Prob- ability Theory) from the State University of New York at Stony Brook in 1969. (On the way to earning his doctorate, he received a Master's degree in Theoretical Math from Stony Brook in 1967.) He is married (since 1965), has two children, ages eleven and fourteen, and currently lives in Potomac, Maryland. Roth is bright, articulate (oral and written), cheerful, engaging, warm and strongly people-oriented. He obviously has high conceptual skills, is well organized, a good planner and an effective implementor. He is incisive, gets to the heart of an issue, is strongly focused in his efforts, constantly sets and re- evaluates priorities, and is very task- and mission-orien6ed. He is thorough, meticulous, punctual and extremely competitive. He has a fine sense of humor, works well with people at all levels, both technical and non-technical, takes great pride in the work he and his organization turn out and is an excellent p~esenter. He takes pressure well, loves challenge, is highly credible and has good boardroom presence. Upon receiving his doctorate, Roth stayed on at Stony Brook for two years as an instructor, then in 1969, joined the Smithsonian Insti- tution's Information Systems Division as a Researcher and Consultant in .Biomathematics and Statistics. In 1971, while continuing his affiliation with the Smithsonian, he became Clinical Assistant Professor of Biostatistics at the Georgetown University School of Dentistry, an association he continues to this day. Also, in 1971 and continuing through 1973, he consulted to government and private agencies on statistical and information systems. In 1973, seeking management experience and the opportunity to get closer to industry, Roth joined the Environmental Protection Agency as a Senior Statistic(an in the Office of Planning and Management. In this two-year assignment, he dire6ted a permanent staff of three to four professionals, plus as additional six to ten assigned on a project basis, responsible for the health planning and evaluation activities of the department and for overseeing all the statistics generated by the Office. ". In early 1975, Roth and his wife decided to set up their own business as Roth Associates, Inc. This most successful consulting firm supplies .technical/scientific services to industry and Bri.,,~endcn Mcl~rland ~,~,~oncr & F.ceella Inc. TI0065-0538

H. DA~..L RO~ -- Page (foreign) governments on regulatory matters, statistical epidemiological studies of indoor air and other appropriate subjects of interest to CIAR. The firm now employs ten permanent professionals plus a support staff and has a stable of highly regarded scientists who are retained on a project basis as needed. (For a list of clients, as well as details on professional experience, publications, presentations and honors see attached Curriculum Vitae and sample investigation and report for the EEI). Although Roth's company has been very successful, after 12 1/2 years he has become rather bored with the business and is looking for a new challenge. If the right opportunity came along, he would either sell the business or hire someone to help his wife continue to operate it. The position of Executive Director for the CIAR is attractive because it offers a tremendous challenge in a growing field and in a field in which there exists very little in the way of good science today. He is further attracted by the prospects of organizing and managing his own operation and to be able to do so without having to relocate. Simply put, he believes in the mission of the Center and in his ability to achieve its objectives. The big negative with this candidate is his compensation. For the past several years he has been earning over $200,000 a year and he feels that he would have to receive a minimum of $200,000 in order to become a serious candidate. It is also a fact that his academic degrees are not in the physical or biological sciences, which could appear as a negative to some. In summary, this outstanding young scientist/statistician with ex- tensive experience in fields of direct interest to the Center, international recognition, outstanding presentation skills, extensive experience as an expert witness, a good feel for govern- ment and industry, a high degree of intelligence, integrity, credi- bility and the ability to bridge the gap between science and politics, should be interviewed even if his salary compensation ex- ceeds our budgetary limitation. If nothing else, he could become a valuable resource to the Center. He is willing to explore on that basis. To date, only limited reference checking has been conducted. Therefore, should mutual interest develop, no firm offer should be extended until a final thorough reference check has been completed. RMM:am (9/87) TI0065-0539

DANIEL ROTH ~rofessio.nal 8ackgrousd 1975 - present Analyst - Officer, Roth Associates, Inc. 1973 - 1975 Senior ranking mathematical statistician, Envi- ronmental Protection Agency (EPA); statistical consultant to the Assistant Administrator for Planning and Management. 1969 - 1973 Research and consulting, biomathematician- statistician, Information Systems Division, Smithsonian Institution. 1971 - present Clinical assistant professor of £iostatistics, Georgetown University School of Dentistry. 1971- 1973 Statistical and information systems consultant to government and private agencies. 1967 - 1969 Instructor of theoretical mathematics, State University of New York at Stony 8rook. Summary of Professional ExDerience Health and Environmental Analysis of retrospective epidem.iological data suggesting a link between childhood leukemia and electric fields (Electric Power Research Institute, 1980-82}. Assessment of human clinical data establishing an association b~tween SO2 and asthma (Utility Air Regulatory Group, 1982). Analysis of mortality data suggesting a correlation between SO2 and health (Utility Air Regulatory Group and The Electric Power Research Institute, 1981-82). Evaluation of quantitative models relating animal toxicolo- gical data to man (Utility Water Action Group, 1980-81). Assessment of national ambient water quality criteria for carcinogens and toxic substances (Utility Water Action Group, 1980-82). Assessment of animal toxicological, human clinical, and epidemiological data purporting to show an association between gas cooking and bronchitis in children (Gas Research Institute, 1980-82). TI0065-0540

A risk assessment analysis of the health effects associated with power plant emissions (Utility Air Regulatory Group and The Electric Power Research Institute, 1982). Analysis of mortalitZ data upon which OSHA will be setting a new standard for asbestos levels in workplace environments (Homestake Mining Company, 1978). Analysis of mortality data upon which OSHA will be setting a new standard for beryllium exposure levels in workplace environments. (Brush Wellman, Inc., Kawecki Serylco Industries, 1977-81). Analysis of the asthma, the bronchitis, and the pulmonary function data forming the basis of the U.S. National Air Ambient Quality Standards for SO2 and Particulate Matter (Electric Power Research Institute, 1975-76). Analysis of the California asthma epidemiological data forming the basis of the California ambient Air Quality Standards (California Edison, 1976-77). Chairman of EPA task force responsible for developing a system of health and environmental indicators to be used in the planning and evaluation of environmental programs (Office of Planning and Evaluation, EPA, 1974-75). Design of a protocol to evaluate EPA's air health effects research program CHESS - the Community Health and Environ- mental Surveillance System (Office of Planning and Evalua- tion, EPA, 1973-74]. Statistical investigations of the health impacts resulting f.rom air pollution in 48 selected cities across the U.S.' (Office of Planning and Evaluation, EPA, 1973-74). Community health study to determine the association between selected oral diseases and socio-economic factors (Georgetown University, 1972). Development of a model for monitoring human electrocardi- ogram trends (National Institutes of Health, 1972-73). 8iostatistical investigation of the impact of aging and alcoholism on human compact bone (Department of Physical Anthropology, Smithsonian Institute, 1969-72). Design of statistical methodologies for modeling the dynamics of genetic transfer patterns in human and animal populations (Office of Ecology and Physical Anthropology, Smithsonian Institution 1970-73). Analysis of data on the decomposition of chemical elements in injurious bone tissue (Georgetown University Medical School, 1972). 2 T!0065-0541

Analysis of data suggesting the existence of carcinogens in the drinking water supply of some large U~So cities (office of Water Supply, EPA, 1975). Review of scientific data leading to EPA's decision to ban the pesticide Mirex (Office of Pesticides, EPA, 1974). Mathematical analysis of the dynamics of eroding shorelines with applications to the Italian Adriatic Coast (Department of Sedimentology Smithsonian Institution, 1969-73). Technical assistance to a research team investigating the ecological impacts of a sea-level canal in Panama (Barro Colorado Research Lab., Smithsonian Institution, 1969-73). EPA's epidemiological/statistical representative to the Bureau of Census and Office of Management and the Budget (1974-75). TransDortat~oS A cost-benefit analysis of various passenger ca~ bumper standards (Houdaille Industries, 1978, Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association, NHTSA, 1982-83). Analysis of Fiat auto safety data to determine the case for a Federal Government recall of 1970-74 Fiat Cars (Fiat Auto Company, 1981). Assessment of the hazards associated with the use of multiple rim wheels on trucks (Firestone Tire and Rubber Company, 1980). Design of a survey to evaluate railway safety (Federal Railway Administration, 1969-72]. Design of a strategy to improve traffic in railroad stock- yards (Federal Highway Safety Administration, 1969-72). Evaluation of surveys submitted to the U.S. "Office of Management and the Sudget for approval {Office of Management to the Budget, 1975-77). Program Managemen.t anO Eqonomig~ Evaluation of the status of Federal health-based regulations (Edison Electric Institute, 1980-82). Negotiated a fishing agreement between the Japanese Government and the Marshall Islands (Government of Marshall Islands, 1980). T!0065-0542

Analysis of capacitor failure tiara £rom Scott and Fetzer suppliers (Scott and Fetzer Corporation, 1981-82]. Development of survey to identify cheaters in the vacuum cleaner industry (Kirby vacuum cleaner, 1981-82). Design of s~rategies for optimizing the use of municipal services in the City of Richmond, Virginia (National Science Corporation, 1972-73). EPA's liaisons officer to the National Academy of Sciences on a study the Academy conducted on the role of environ- mental monitoring in the decision-making process at EPA (1974-75). ~asic 8iological and Chemica~ Investigation of scientific data supporting the use of ostracods to control the spread of parasitic snails which are harmful to humans (U.S. Geological Survey, 1972). Mathematical categorization of isometric growth patterns in mammal and fish populations (Department of Vertebrate Zoology Smithsonian Institution, 1973). Evaluation of the use of species diversity idicators as measures of the health of marine environments (U.S. Geological Survey, 1972-73 ~nd EPA, 1974-75). Statistical moaels for determining the age of huhan compact bone by measuring nitrogen absorption rates (Departme,t of Physical Anthropology, Smithsonian Institution, 1973). Analysis of' animal migration patterns (Department of Zoology, Smithsoaian Institution, 1972). Development of mimetic models ~or animal predator-prey rela- tions (Department of Fish, Smithsonian Institution, 1972). Studies on plant pollinator interactions and patterns of development in .stems (Department of 8otany, Smithsonian Institution, 1972-73). Characterization of marine algae habitats (Department of Sotany, Smithsonian Institution, 1972). Development of statistical models to characterize mineral deposit distributions in bioclastic turbides (Department of Sedimentology, Smlthsonian Institution, 1971-72). Design of statistical models to aggregate neutron activation analysis data (Srookhaven National Labs., 1972). TI0065-0543

Mathematical and statistical Development of multifactor cluster analysis algorithms (Smithsonian Institution, 1971-72). Application of functional analysis and multivariate statistics to categorize shape variations in human populations (Smithsonian Institution, 1970-72). Analysis and application of nonparametric multivariate Statistical models (Smithsonian Institution, 1969-73). Development of a Central Limit Theorem, Strong Law of Large Numbers, and Law of Iterated Logari-thm for sequences of weakly dependent random variables (State University of New York at Stony 8rook, 1967-69). AGademic .~ackqround Ph.D. M. A~ Mathematics (Probability Theory) State University of New York at Stony Brook (1969) State University of New York ~t Stony Srook (1967) S. AQ Hunter College, City University of New York Graduate Center (1965) Brooklyn College, City University of New York (1964) Technical Reports Ruth, H. D. and Ripps, A., "Status of Health-~ased Environmental Regulations". Edison Electric Institute, 1982. Ruth, H.D. and Ripps, A., "Status of Health-Based Environmental Regulations". Edison El~ctric Institute, 1981. Ruth, H.D., and Viren, J. V., Evaluation of Community Health Environmental Surveillance System (CHESS): New York Chronic Respiratory Disease Data 1970-71, Electric Power Research Institute, 1980. Ruth, H.D., OSHA Beryllium Hearings: Analysis of Epidemiological Data, 19~8. Ruth, H.D., Viren, J.V., and Colucci, A.V., Evaluation of Community Health Environmental Surveillance Cystem (CHESS): New York Asthma Data 1971-72, Volume i, Electric Power Research Institute, 1981. S Ti0065-0544

Roth, H.D., Statistical Guidelines for Conducting a Rural Drinking Water Survey, EPA, 1977. Roth, H.D., Viren, J.V., Collucoi, A.V., Evaluation of Community Health Environmental Surveillance System {CHESS): New York Asthma Data 1970-71, Volume i, Electric Power Research Institute, Publication number EA-450, 1977. Roth, H.D., Viren, J.V., Colucci, A.V., Evaluation of CHESS: New York Asthma Data 1970-71, Volume 2, Electric Power Research Institute, Publication number EA-450, 1977. Viren, J.V., Roth, H.D., Colucci, A.V., Asthma in Six Los Angeles Communities: An Outline of Findings Sased on CHESS 1972-73, prepared for the Southern California Edison Company, 1977. Environmental Protection Agency, "First Report of the Environmental Measures Project: Analysis and Application of Environmental Indicators", 1975. Environmental Protection Agency, "Statistics Review Committee Report", 1974. Federal Railway Administration, "Information Elements for Inclusion in the 1973 Revision of the Railroad Accident Form", 1973. Scientific Articles and Monoqraphs Roth, H.D. and Post, E., "Controversy Over NO and Health", J. of International Gas Research Institute, Ise~. Roth, H.D., "Data Quality and Analysis in Risk Assessment", Conference Proceedings". The Electric Power Research Institute Conference on Environmental Risk Assessment, 1981. Roth, H.D., "Risk Assessment", Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association, Philadelphia, PA, 1981. Roth, H. Daniel, "Limit Theorems for Dependent Random Variables", Thesis, 1969. Roth, H.D., "Ordination Techniques", Institute for Statistical Ecology Monograph, Pennsylvania State-University Press, 1972. Roth, H.D., "Cluster Analysis for the Environmental Sciences", Smithsonian Institution Monograph, Smithsonian Press Vol. ii, No. 2, reprinted 1971 in Cuadernos de Historia Economica de Catalnna, 1972. Roth, H.D. and Pierce, J., "Multivariate Statistical Analysis of 8ioclastic Turbidites", International Journal for Mathematical Geology, 1972. 6 TI0065-0545

Roth, H.D. and Koritzer, R., "Statistical Advances in Dental Research", Journal Georgetown University Dental School, 1972. Roth, H.D., and Olin, J., "Multifactor Analysis of Neutron Activation Data", in press. Roth, H.D. and Pierce, J., "Wave Refraction and Coastal Erosion", Journal Geblogical Society of America, 1970. Roth, H.D. and Pierce, J., in preparation, "Statistical Analysis of a 8each Environment Transport Problem", Smithsonian Contri- bution Series. Buechner, H. and Roth, H.D., American Zoologists, 1974. "Integrity of Lek Domains", 5uechner, H. and Roth, H.D., in press, "Territoriality in the Male Uganda Kob", American Zoologists. Public SpeakinG. Addresses and Seminars "Risk Assessment", 1981, Air Pollution Control Association, Philadelphia, PA. "Risk Assessment", 1980, Electric Power Research Conference, New Orleans, Louisiana. "Analysis of SO2 Health Effects Data", 1979, University of Texas, Austin, Texas. "Can Industry Control and Regulate Environmental Health Hazards Itself", 1982, American Public Health Association, Washington, D.C. "Statistical Pitfalls in Analyzin% Occupational ~ealth Data", September 1978, American Association for Industrial Health and the American Association for Occupational Medicine Conference, Williamsburgh, Virginia. "A Reanalysis of Prevalence Chronic Respiratory Disease Symptoms in Adults: A 1970 Survey of New York Communities:, 1978, Society of Industrial Mathematics Air Pollution Control Seminar, Stanford University Department of Statistics. "Cluster Analysis and Medical Research Problems", 1978, Department of Community Medicine, Ohio State Medical School. "Health and Other Environmental Quality Indicators", 1975, Federal Statistics Users, Washington, D.C. "Environmental Indicators", 1974, Ohio State University Symposium sponsored by the National Science Foundation. 7 T!0065-0546

"Spatial Distribution", 1974, discussant, American Anthropolo- gical Society annual meeting, Washington, D.C. "Advanced Statistics Seminar", 1973, Smith~onian Institution. "Integrity of Lek Domains", 1.972, American Association for the Advancement of Science Meetings, Washington, D.C. "Multivariate Methods in Ecology", 1972, Institute for Statis- tical Ecology Pennsylvania State University, sponsored by the NS~, USDA, and Ecology Association. Also chaired a week's session on multivariate modeling. " "Q~antitative Research Methods", 1972, Georgetown University Medical Center. "Mathematics and Chemistry Seminar", 1972, 8rookhaven National Laboratory. "Multivariate Discriminant Analysis", 1971, Heidelberg Univer- sity, West Germany. "Mathematics in Scientific Research", 1971, Coppins State Col- lege, Saltimore, Maryland. "Cluster Analysis", 1971, Sociology and Anthropology seminar, Smi~hsonian Institution. "Quantitative Environmental Models", 1970, Smithsonian Institution. "Analysis of Binary Data", 1969, Smithsonian Institution. Professional Associ~tioD a~d Honors Invited speaker NATO conference on Statistics and the Environment -- University of Calgary (1974). Superior Performance Award for research and consulting Smithsonian Institution (1972). Smithsonian Research Foundation Award for the development of statistical models in health and environmental research (1972). National Science Foundation Award for the lectures on multivariate statistical models in ecology at the Institute for Statistical Ecology -- Pennsylvania State University (1972). Smithsonian Research ~oundation Award for the development of theoretical and applied models in sedimentology (1970-71). T!0065-0547

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ROTH ASSOCIATES, INC. CLIENT LIST American Gas Association American Motors Corporation Arnold & Porter Brush Wellman Industries Budweiser, Inc. Cabot Industries California Council for Environmental and Economic Balance Cladouhos & Brashares Consolldated Edison of New York Consumer Power of Michigan Covington & Burllng Crowell & Moring Edison Electric Institute Electric Power Research Institute Electro-Biology, Inc. Energy Research Development Administration Environmental Data, Inc. Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Information Research, Inc. Fiat Motor Corporation Firestone Tire and Rubber Company Florida Power & Light Ford Motor Company Gas Research Insti6ute General Diaper General Motors Corporation Government of the Marshall Islands Government of Puerto Rico Health Effects Institute Homestake Mining Co. Huudaille Industries Howmedlca Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Hunton & Williams Jewel Food Stores Johns Manville Jones, Day, Reavis & rogue Kawecki Berylco Industries, Inc. Kirby Vacuum Cleaner Company TI0065-0549

Martin Marietta Merrell Dow Monsanto Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Association NGK Industries Oocupational Safety and Health Administration Pacific Gas and Electric Company Pfizer Hospital Products Group, Ino. Philip Morris R.J. Reynolds Company Suott & Fetzer Company Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom Southern California Edison Suzuki Motorcycle Company Tennessee Valley Authority United States Office of Management and Budget USAVIEX Insurance Company U-Haul Utility Air Regulatory Group Utility Water Action Group Welders Action Group Westinghouse TI0065-0550