Ness Motley Documents
Cold Turkey in Greenfield, Iowa: A Follow-Up Study
Fields
- Notes
Comments: stamped "confidential." Handwritten note on cover page reads "approved by ____ Rev. B. 10/14/71 - RL"
Related Documents: NM #4565, 4761, 16636
Issues: P-YTH
Affected Defendants: PMI
- Type
- Report (Final Draft)
- Alias
- P-5155
- Characteristic
- marginalia, some handwritten editing
- Named Person
- Fozard
- Nuttall
- Original File
- TobDocs1
- Site
- Budd Larner (CAW)
- Author
- Ryan, Francis
- Author (Organization)
- Philip Morris Research Center
Document Images
SEX
CONFIDENTIAL
A major.factor affecting the quit rate was sex of the smoker.'
,Compared to men as a group, the women of Greenfield were less .-:i.i:)~--).!
likely to have been smokers, less likely to have participate~I
the anti-smoking campaign, less likely to_have succeeded in staying:
off for thirty days, and once they were successfully off their,-.---~".::::~:..~...
cigarettes, the.v were less likely to have stayed off. Th'e
of the sex effect is shown in Table 2. Note that only 3.9% of -< .....
the women smokers quit and stayed off for seven month~ " It is
clear whether women did not quit because they were afraid of welghi~
gains -- in those people who quit and gained weight the average-
• .
• ... L~.~.~.,.;
weight gain by ~'aster was 15 pounds -- or because of some more ...,: .
subtle and undetermined influence •
-.-::-:-~
• ..%;; ~. -
AGE
~:...-
Table 3 shows the number and frequency of respondents in
several age-related categories and smoking classes. The age ..~i:i._:.~..
related categories are High School, and College, both of which
are based on then current educational status rather than age .......
9er se. The age ranges of the remaining subgroups of
are 18-29 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, and 60,~9 i:"~"::..
, , -..'.~;'.l
The population mix in our returns reflects the migration of
young people out of the community and the influx of retired people
back to the community or into the town from surrounding rural areas.
About 61% of the male residents between 18 and 60 had been active -'
smokers in May, a figure which the campaign cut to about 52% by. .~,
the following Easter.
is 31% cut ~o 30%.
Among women in the same

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"NIIN3OL~INOD

10
10
55
3
Nons~udcn~s ...... .- " ". :. " -
CONFIDENTIAL
Grand Total

73A37 DINONOD~-OIDO$
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.... BSO4~ Ue4~ Ssat 6u~u~ea B~BM ~nb o~ R~ ~ou p~p o4~ ua=
a~e~pu~ suo£~em~xo~dde asa41 "~ aLq~1 ~o suo~em£xo~dd~
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....._" a4~ U~ SB~OOS Lte ~e4~~daoxa 'a5u~J ~e4~ ~o ~ULodpLm
.... 3~03NI
[~Bds aq~ ~q panBetd ~ou ~ ~aq~ 'su~am ~u~ ~q dno~5 snoBuaBo~oq
=;.::~pa~oLdmB a~ ~aqZ "09 ~o aS~ ~4~ ~apun sBt~m ~uapn~suou aq~ uodn
- . "5uno£ aq~ 6uom~ ~s~Bt s~M pu~ uam pBB~-atpp~m
7VlIN~IGI-'INOD
" OL"

$7620
8750
9560
9640
Didn'i~ Try t~ Quit
Quit ~n Cold Turkey
Day
Quit prior to Cold
Turkey Day
L~s=ed 30 Days
L~sl;cd 7 months÷
but Resum=d 7970

- ll -
CONFIDENTIAL
procedure used were those of the U.S. Census Bureau. The scale ..
runs from l through 99, with high numbers assigned to well-paid,
highly respected occupations which require considerable education,-_.
talent, or skill, and low numbers assigned to poorly paid, less
respected jobs which require little education or ability, Thus a ....
surgeon is rated 99, a machinist is 68, a barber is 37, alaundress
is 9, etc. Some typical ratings are shown in Table 5. This scale.,~..~
is different from, but analogous to, the NORC scale of 1947~ When!~/
sociologists speak of social class they usually include a~riet~;:~
of determinants beyond occupation but for present purposes, I shallC~.
define my use of the phrase "social class" solely in terms of the"~
Census Bureau's socio-economic scale. In what is to followi I shall.
add, subtract, multiply and divide these number~ to get group ....
...~.~..,..~
averages without any regard tC the niceties of scaling procedures,i.~
and I will refer to those with scores above average as an upper
class, and to those below average, as a lower class ...... .~.
Greenfield as a whole reported an average score of 56.4 which_;..i
is about average for a small predominantly white community in the
north central region of the United States. The average score for -.._
all nonstudent males under sixty years old was 60.7, so I will use .....
60 as the dividing line between the upper and lower classes, - .... ;
. Figure I shows the average socio-economic scorec of the would-'"
be quitters, nonquitters, and resumers at different times in ":='."~
Greenfield. Those who didn't try to quit smoking had the lowest
mean. Those who quit early, before Cold Turkey Day, had the highest.
mean. Those who quit on Cold Turkey.Day had.an intermediate score.
Of the would-be quitters, those who lasted for thirty days had a
higher score than those who resumed. Among those who had lasted for
thirty days those who were still off after seven months had a ".~
higher score than. those who resumed during the winter. It is clear"-~
that the successful quitters
economic class structure.•
• ,-,L. ~
were from the upper end of tee socio,".~
• :. .-, -;.-. i.~-" '. '. ..... ,,, :. ",';'~-,.. ~
• :...~ , ,; , v,,-~ ,',,, ~- ., , : ,, .-.:T:.~.~.~.'....,,
~,:.:~.~,.~.?.,~
.... ... , . ;~.... ,...~..'v:-'~'.': ..".~1. ',-
• T . " " " ~. " ..... .",..-~' ":: .'.'.~;-? i'-,'
;"-~"~-'~ "

CONFiDENTiAL
Soclo-ocon~alc Scoros of sozo FAmiliar Occupations
?hpsiciAn; Dentist 99
Jc~ ~ilo~; Prolc==or;
Social Sclon~Is~ ~6
.I.~¢hinlst 68
Bi2~ CoLlec~or 66
Bus ~ivmr; Construct'n
Foreman ~5
~rofessionalA~hlote 60
Auto ~lech=ni=
Ba~¢~r; ~Ic~ason
~2
Painter; B~rtond~ ~7
GAS Station A%tenden% 4~
9

cONFtDENlqAL

cONFIDENtIAL
-12-
•
A further breakdown of these scores is shown in Table 6. '..:
" ' Looking first at those men with occupation scores below 60 -- ::.,:.~..2..-..
roughly the lower half of the Greenfield class structure -- we -~.~..:.~=.
• -
see that only 25/85 (or 29.5% of this subgroup tried to qul_t. ....
.... "
In ~he upper half of the class s~ruc~ure 64/117 (oe 54.71)
::~: '~"~" to quit. Note that no one from the lower h#~f of
the
quit early. All the early quitters came from the top half
the l~t .... ' • " " ....
~'""'
Not onl] was early quitting class related, but the
two s o c i a ] _:=:~,..~
. term success ra~e was noticeably different for ~he
"
class groups: 28/64 (or 43.7%) of the original would-be qultterSm='m~i
on the top portion of the occupation list were s~ill nonsmokers .:-:.: "
seven months later. In c'ontrast, only 3/25 (or 12%) of the ".:':"".. ..
original would-be quitters on the bottom half of the list were . :_
able to go seven months without resuming. The success rate was -.i~i-i)i@..
three_and a half times as great among the upper_c_Jl.ass_--- '
.;.!:~..!.:!..:;!..:
The differences beween early quitters and Cold Turkey Day
quitters, between the top and bottom of the socio-economic structure,-
are summarized in Table 7. It is evident that it was the top of
• g~ : .. ....
...:..-,~.~L:.;~.~,..~
. V e n .
..:::-...~
socio-economic pyramid which was most likely to have up ........
• , ~ ~'.:~.
quZ~. The man in the street was not willing to give up smoking. ..::...,
The quitters were joiners, and examination of the organlza ......
~..
tions to which the~ belonged wa~ illuminating: they not only.
joined, but they led. The list is studded with former presidents,
... ~.
'.'-. .....~.; C:.......:... -#..?-~.,'~,
• : , .,, • .~'. ~.~.../.~'
_ . ... ......
,.... • ..~ ...... ~...~...
"
"--. " , -"~""~'" :; :~ '7" :'~ :'.' :'~g~

CONFIDENTIAL
