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Philip Morris Usa 900000 - 940000

Date: 19900000/D
Length: 18 pages
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Abstract

This confidential internal Philip Morris marketing plan gives an overview of PM's business objectives for 1990-1994. It makes several interesting points.

The plan reveals PM's conclusion that smoking bans tend to decrease smoking incidence (that is, decrease the number of people who start to smoke) but that they do not "significantly affect consumption" of cigarettes "partly due to anticipatory smoking.

As PM puts it in this report:

"Consumer research indicates that the increasing number of smoking restrictions on smokers has a negative impact on incidence, but does not significantly affect consumption partly due to anticipatory smoking."

PM's plan also states that "The greatest challenge to the tobacco industry is altering the public's inaccurate perceptions of both the dangers of environmental tobacco smoke and of tobacco's social costs."

The report also indicates PM's intention to "stop the trend of tax increasing ballot measures," and to "develop evidence to support industry positions on environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and the social costs of smoking.

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PM-USA's growth will occur in a declining industry...Industry shipments are forecasted to decline three percent per year during the plan period, as a result of the following:

--Reduced social acceptability of smoking. --Higher retail prices: Full margin and price/value retail prices are forecasted to increase 9.5 and 11.2 percent annually during the Plan due to state excise tax (increasing an average of 7.5 percent per year) and manufacturer price increases... --Unfavorable demongraphic trends: While the overall smoking age population is expected to increase, the number of young adult smokers will decline and the existing smoking age population will age into groups where incidence and consumption have historically declined.

Smoking incidence will be affected by these trends, while average per capits consumption will remain at approximately 26 cigarettes per day. Consumer research indicates that the increasing number of smoking restrictions on smokers has a negative impact on incidence, but does not significantly affect consumption partly due to anticipatory smoking...

...III SOCIOPOLITICAL STRATEGIES

PM USA will actively develop and present arguments to protect the rights of smokers and manufacturers. The greatest activity in the sociopolitical arena during the next five years will take place among legislatures in need of revenue, employers implementing a variety of smoking restrictions, and anti-smoking groups who are seekin to impose a smoke-free society on others. The greatest challenge to the tobacco industry is altering the public's inaccurate perceptions of both the dangers of environmental tobacco smoke and of tobacco's social costs. PM-USA will meet this challenge through a combination of direct lobbying, pulic relations/media activity and the cultivation of allies from within the business community.

...CORPORATE AFFAIRS

PM-USA's overall strategic objectives in the sociopolitical arena are to minimze government interference in our business and marketing strategies and to protect the rights of consumers to enjoy PM-USA products. Corporate Afairs will play a critical role during the plan period as the long-term viability of the domestic industry depends largely on altering the faulty perceptions concerning environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and tobacco's alleged "social costs". Corporate AFfairs specific goals fall into three key areas:

Taxation - Minimize overall rate of excise taxes - Stop trend of tax increasing ballot measures - Propose alternate state revenue raising proposals

Product: - Preserve freedom to advertise/promote - Defuse product liabilitty claims - Prevent mandated product specifications

Consumers- Prohibit employee discrimination - Modify smoking restrictions - Promote accommodation in the private sector.

These goals will be accomplished through the implementation of two distinct strategies:

--Effective arguments and evidence will be developed to support industry positions on the issues. PM-USA's arguments will be pertinent, credible and publicized. ARguments will be tailored to appeal to specific audiences, place the issue within a wider context and demonstrate its impact. --These arguments will be effective communicated to the four groups whose decisions and actions ultimately determine the long-term viability of the cigarette industry - public and private sector decision makers, the media and smokers.

PM will work closely with the Tobacco Institute to develop and disseminate industry positions on taxation, ETS and government regulation. Lossying efforts of key political decision makers will also be coordinated with the industry trade association.

Company
Philip Morris Cos., Inc.
Author
Philip Morris Cos., Inc. (Corporate Author)
Recipient
N/A
Region
Smokin
United States%0??ù?i???
population is expected to increase, the number of young adult smokers will decline and the existing smoking age population will
Type
Chart, Graph, Table, Maps
Rept, Report, Other
Subject
demographics
ETS
Imagery
Income
lobbying
marketing
Smoking bans
smoking initiation
Taxes
Workplace smoking restrictions
Young Adult Smokers
Corporate Marketing Strategies

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P * PHILIP MORRIS USA 1990-1994 PLAN OVERVIEW As the leading U.S. cigarette manufacturer, PM-USA plans to widen its competitive advantage during the next five years. PM-USA is well positioned to capitalize on many strengths to enjoy further growth: Substantial company resources Widely recognized trademarks Strong brand images Strong positions in key industry categories High product quality A young demographic profile Business momentum and vitality Energetic management commitment Progressive research and development State-of-the-art manufacturing equipment These assets position PM-USA to attain the objectives of long-term volume and share growth and increasing profitability and cash flow. Major goals for the planning period are: VOLUME GROWTH OF 14.7 BILLION UNITS TO 234.2 BILLION UNITS AND A 9.0 SHARE POINT GAIN TO 50.9 PERCENT OF THE INDUSTRY. SHARE GROWTH IN BOTH THE FULL MARGIN AND PRICE/VALUE CATEGORIES OF 11.1 AND 17.0 SHARE POINTS OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS, REACHING CATEGORY SHARES OF 56.3 AND 40.0 PERCENT, RESPECTIVELY, IN 1994. OPERATING INCOME GROWTH AVERAGING 14.1 PERCENT ANNUALLY, WITH INCOME REACHING $7.0 BILLION IN 1994. . CUMULATIVE AFTER-TAX CASH FLOW OF $15.9 BILLION. 1
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9 BUSINESS OBJECTIVES PM-USA's objectives for the 1990-1994 period are in line with last year's Plan. 1990-1994 INDUSTRY ASSUMPTIONS AND PM-USA OBJECTIVES COMPARISON TO LAST YEAR'S PLAN 1989-1993 Five Year Plan 1990-1994 Five Year Plan Industry Annual Volume Decline Total Volume Decline (Billions) Volume in Last Year of Plan Federal Excise Tax Price/Value Share in 3.0% 78.3 479.5 (1993) $8.00/M 3.0% 63.5 460.1 (1994) $8.00/M Last Year of Plan 17.2% (1993 ) 21.0% (1994) PM-USA Total Volume Growth (Billions) 15.9 14.7 Volume in Last Year of Plan (Billions) 237.6 (1993) 234.2 (1994) Share of Category in Last Year of Plan: Total Industry 49.0% (1993 ) 50.9% (1994) Full Margin 51.4% 56.3% Price/Value 37.4% 40.0% Marlboro Share 29.0% 30.9% Total Full Margin Price Increases $26.00/M $27.00/M Total Capital Expenditures (Billions) $1.4 $1.8 Annual Operating Income Growth 14.8% 14.1% Operating Income in Last Year of Plan $6.2 (1993) $7.0 (1994) (Billions) Total After-Tax Cash Flow (Billions) $14.0 $15.9 PM-USA's growth will occur in a declining industry. While PM-USA is projected to achieve volume growth of 14.7 billion units, the Company's competitors will lose a total of 78.2 billion units over the next five years. 2 r r . t
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wd IhUUSTRY VOLtK TFEADS 1989-1994 2 -2 I -4 40 BILLIONS OF UNITS 01 0 W -6 -8 -100 14.7 -63.5 TOTAL INDUSTAY PMt-USA -78.2 OTHER COhPETITORS INDUSTRY OVERVIEW Industry shipments are forecasted to decline three percent per year during the plan period, as a result of the following: Reduced social acceptability of smoking. RI V ' Higher retail prices: Full margin and price/value retail prices are forecasted to increase 9.5 and 11.2 percent annually during the Plan due to state excise tax (increasing an average of 7.5 percent per year) and manufacturer price increases. Full margin retail pack prices will be over $2.00 in 1992, reaching $2.50 in 1994. Unfavorable demographic trends: While the overall smoking age population is expected to increase, the number of young adult smokers will decline and the existing smoking age population will age into groups where incidence and consumption have historically declined. Smoking incidence will be affected by these trends, while average per capita consumption will remain at approximately 26 cigarettes per day. Consumer research indicates that the increasing number of smoking restrictions on smokers has a negative impact on incidence, it- 1-4 but does not significantly affect consumption partly due to anticipatory smoking. ~ ® ~ -.~ C7J ~ ~ © . I-- CA -12 I 3 PM 1068 corvFloErv'T1AL
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SMOKING INCIDENCE AND AVERAGE DAILY CONSUMPTION TRENDS Projected 1980 1984 1989 1994 Incidence ($) 34.5% 32.1% 28.6$(1) 24.8% Average Daily Consumption 29.9 27.0 26.2 25.5 (1) Based on September 1989 Roper Data Source: Roper Reports and PM-USA Market Research As industry volume declines, its composition is expected to change. The price/value category (second and third price tiers) is forecasted to increase nearly 19 billion units or 24 percent by the end of the plan period versus 1989. In 1994, the category will reach at least 21 percent of total industry volume, up from 14.9 percent in 1989. The category's growth will be fueled by existing brands and new brand introductions. This forecast assumes that no full margin brands will be repositioned into the price/value category. PFOLECT® DUJ7AY Y0.1lE TOTAL ftu. pAICE/ 2wclSTAr /WAeIN VALLE BILLIOtS OP IWTS 1984 i996 1988 i990 3992 i994 The low/ultra low tar category is also projected to increase due to an aging population, perceived health issues and product proliferation in this category. 4 PM 1069 CONPIDENTIAL.
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a - SUMMARY OF KEY STRATEGIES I. GAIN VOLUME AND MARKET SHARE II. GROW INCOME AND CASH FLOW III. PROTECT THE RIGHTS OF SMOKERS AND MANUFACTURERS IV. OPERATE A LEANER, MORE PROACTIVE ORGANIZATION t _ r I i s _ _ IN I. VOLUME STRATEGIES Marlboro: PROTECT, INSULATE, GROW Marlboro will improve upon its number one position in the U.S. cigarette market throughout the plan period. Unit volume will grow 2.5 billion units from 1990 through 1994. The existing business will be protected through strong image reinforcement and expanded value added promotional activity. These promotional programs will serve to stabilize Marlboro red packings in particular. Target marketing will insulate the Marlboro franchise from price/value initiatives to retain price sensitive Marlboro smokers. New Marlboro business will come from Marlboro Lights growth, a possible ultra lights line extension and regional marketing support for Marlboro Menthol. The entire Marlboro brand family will receive substantial marketing support. Other Full Margin: MINIMIZE DECLINE The market share decline of other PM-USA full margin brands will be minimized. The overall level of consumer promotion will be increased for Merit, Benson & Hedges, and Virginia Slims to provide added value for price sensitive smokers who are tempted by price/value initiatives. Improved advertising support and targeted special events will reinforce brand images and stabilize performance over the plan period. Price/Value: GROW The price/value category is currently the fastest growing industry segment. During the plan period, PM-USA's share of the category is forecasted to grow from 23 to 40 percent. PM-USA's price/value growth will come from aggressive promotional support for Cambridge and Alpine, as well as new product offerings in different price tiers. Branded price/value products will receive image support, competitive pricing, and focused promotional initiatives. Merchandising programs will be adjusted to consolidate retail space and accommodate multiple tiers of price/value products. 5 PM 1070 COfVF'IDENl"IAL
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New Products: INNOVATE New product development will be primarily based on technological advancements as well as line extensions. The refinement of the de-nicotine process, low-smoke technology, and no odor/pleasant prototypes will be accomplished early in the plan period. Subsequent new products will address other consumer preferences as well as possible government mandates. A stable of new products will be established to provide innovative, readily available propositions to meet changing market demand. Retail: AVAILABLE, VISIBLE Marketing expenditures at retail will increase steadily to provide and promote PM-USA packs and cartons at the point of purchase. During the plan period, retail presence of inventory, merchandising, point of sale and promotion will receive increased marketing support. National programs will be supplemented by local efforts aimed geographically. Trade class specific initiatives will be launched to maximize pack opportunities in the growing convenience/gas trade class, as well as in the traditional supermarket. II. INCOME STRATEGIES Price Increases: COST RECOVERY AND FLEXIBILITY The Plan assumes that PM-USA and the industry will enjoy pricing flexibility throughout the plan period. Annual pricing is projected to increase by $5 per thousand cigarettes in 1990 through 1992, climbing to $6 per thousand cigarettes for 1993 and 1994 for all price tiers. Cost Efficiencies: IMPLEMENT PM-USA plans to implement efficiencies to realize lower cost production during the next five years. Packaging material economies, reduced conversion costs and investment in modernization will increase production speed and reduce conversion costs. Other efficiencies will be realized from improved production forecasting, leading to better management of the production schedules and related efficiencies. Throughout the plan period, synergies within Philip Morris Companies Inc. will be aggressively sought to realize savings. Potential areas are materials procurement, sales office space and merchandising programs. ~ ~ Overhead: CONTROL ~ ~ c~0 During the plan period, overhead costs will be carefully controlled. ~ Selective adjustments will be made to the workforce to suit changes in ~ the way the business is managed. The modernization of manufacturing GJ operations will require fewer production workers over the next five years. The significant escalation of fringe benefit personnel costs, including medical benefits, will be moderated due to changes in the current programs. 6 PM 107, -~ CONFT17Wtv-rr...
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III. SOCIOPOLITICAL STRATEGIES - t. 19 " IT PM-USA will actively develop and present arguments to protect the rights of smokers and manufacturers. The greatest activity in the sociopolitical arena during the next five years will take place among legislatures in need of revenue, employers implementing a variety of smoking restrictions, and anti-smoking groups who are seeking to impose a smoke-free society on others. The greatest challenge to the tobacco industry is altering the public's inaccurate perceptions of both the dangers of environmental tobacco smoke and of tobacco's social costs. PM-USA will meet this challenge through a combination of direct lobbying, public relations/media activity, and the cultivation of allies from within the business community. IV. MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES A major element in achieving the Company's five year profit objectives is improved productivity and overhead control. To accomplish this, PM-USA will operate a leaner, more proactive organization that challenges and rewards employees for innovative thinking and execution excellence. Major elements of this strategy are: Develop departmental organizations that discourage bureaucratic tendencies. Offer greater responsibility at lower management levels. Decentralize decision-making by holding managers accountable for their areas of responsibility. Reorient compensation to reward the successful, timely execution of agreed upon strategies. Adopt stricter standards for minimum performance levels. MARKETING ss PM-USA's product portfolio in the 1990's will reflect the Company's strong commitment to the base business - growing Marlboro, minimizing the decline of other full margin brands and business building for price/value - and support for new product initiatives. The Company will attract and retain smokers by offering consumers a range of PM-USA products which satisfy a growing variety of consumer preferences. PM-USA will promote all its brands with increased image advertising, innovative, higher perceived value consumer offers, and unique grassroots programs and promotional events that serve to place PM-USA products into smokers hands. Distinctive advertising, contemporary retail promotions and superior product quality will set PM-USA brands apart from the proliferation of brands offered by the competition. ~ ~ E__r t. I 7 ~, - PM 1072 CONFIDEN'FIAL
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0 I 41.9 26.4 3.4 42.9 26.8 4.3 44.9 27.8 0.4 5.0 46.9 0.8 50.9 ~-~i.i ~1. 29.8 i989 i990 1991 1992 1993 MARLBORO In 1989, Marlboro's market share increased 1.5 share points to 26.4 percent of the industry, marking the 25th consecutive year of market share growth. Over the plan period Marlboro will grow an additional 4.6 share points to represent an industry share of 30.9 percent by 1994. Historically, Marlboro has retained traditional strength among adult smokers under age 25 (58 percent) but equally important has been the retention of these young adult smokers as they age. Marlboro is well positioned in the 25-44 age segment with a 28 percent share of smokers. Insulating the Marlboro franchise and achieving continued growth in an environment of industry decline and price pressure is a key issue facing Marlboro over the plan period. The brand must continue to grow share among all 25+ smoker segments. This will be accomplished through a threefold strategy. First, Marlboro will continue to invest heavily behind high impact media and in-store presence aimed at three Marlboro positionings - the leading cigarette, the cigarette with flavor, and the cigarette for males. All visible programs, both offensive and defensive, will reflect three tonal elements: male, contemporary, and leadership. Second, mainstream consumer tastes will be satisfied with the current level of products and line extensions which reinforce the brand's core flavor positioning. Third, in order to protect against price promotions, Marlboro smokers will be provided with added value rather than discounts to create a premium, never discounted, position. Action plans that support this strategy include the following: Both the image and plan foundation remain with Marlboro Country advertising. Auto racing copy and media delivered promotions will be used to interrupt the base campaign and help keep the Marlboro image fresh and contemporary. Local marketing efforts will be used to raise smoker involvement, market visibility and contemporary leadership impressions. 8 PM 1073 CONFIDENTIAL
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More innovative consumer promotions will be offered with higher perceived value and added value to the franchise. Pack availability and visibility at retail will be increased through front-end package merchandising in supermarkets and convenience/gas stores. A national launch of Marlboro Ultra Lights is under consideration. I U C-. L L C M I _0 r. ~ _. i 1_J OTHER FULL MARGIN BRANDS Benson & Hedges, Virginia Slims and Merit represented 26 percent of PM-USA's volume in 1989. During the year, these brands experienced a combined volume decline of 5.6 percent in an environment where total industry full margin decline was 10.1 percent. The full margin segment has declined as the price/value segment has grown in popularity, highlighting the price sensitivity of many consumers, particularly older smokers. This trend is projected to continue during the plan period. Over the last five years, PM-USA's full margin volume declined 10.1 billion units, compared to a 121.0 billion unit decline for the rest of the industry. For the plan period, the industry's full margin volume is forecasted to decline at an annual rate of 4.0 percent. B&H, Virginia Slims and Merit's combined annual volume decline rate will be minimized to 2.4 percent. PM-USA's strategy during the plan period will be to slow the decline in the full margin business by aggressively supporting these packings with continued strong brand image advertising, promotion and direct response marketing. Brand images will be updated and contemporized through new packaging and, in some instances, new advertising (B&H). Promoted volume for Virginia Slims and Benson & Hedges will be increased from the historical level of 2-3 percent to 8-10 percent of volume. Line extensions will be tested to hold current smokers and offer competitive advantages to smokers of other brands. Development and implementation of targeted marketing programs to build business in key regional opportunity areas will also be undertaken for the three brands. PRICE ALUE In 1989, PM-USA's price/value volume increased 38.5 percent to 18 billion units on the strength of Cambridge and Alpine. The Company's price/value unit volume is projected to reach 38.6 billion units in 1994. ZND © Since the emergence of the price/value category, Cambridge and other low price brands differentiated themselves from full margin brands -:I Od primarily on the basis of price. Recent consumer research, coupled ~ with the increasing use of image advertising to support low price brands, indicates that price alone is no longer an adequate selling G.~ proposition for branded generics. This suggests the need for a ~ broader brand position. To achieve this, an image advertising C9 9 PM 1074 CONFIDENTIAL
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campaign for Cambridge will be developed and Alpine's image campaign will be continued. In addition, PM-USA will continue to evolve value- -added brand positioning and build a "big brand" presence for Cambridge and Alpine through high profile retail promotions and other targeted events. Introduction of new PM-USA price/value brands will be considered. Over the past year, competitors have accelerated couponing rates and values on price/value brands to gain volume and preempt the competition. In addition, increasing category profitability and a narrowing of the percentage difference between generic and full margin brands have resulted in the regional development of a sub-generic price tier. The category development requires that PM-USA compete among branded generics as well as sub-generics. Cambridge and Alpine will be more aggressively couponed to offensively compete in the generic category and to minimize the competitive impact of the sub-generic category. Merchandising programs will be developed to support our branded generics. In the sub-generic category, Bristol has been launched in high share sub-generic markets. The brand will be rolled out to other markets as category growth warrants. SALES A strong retail presence is key to attaining PM-USA share and volume objectives for the plan period. Some of PM-USA's new innovative merchandising programs aim to increase distribution, inventory and visibility while decreasing out-of-stocks. Retail presence will be enhanced through merchandising plans and programs which are designed to meet the specific requirements of each trade class. The Field Sales Force, with over 4,000 people, will implement promotional programs to effect a total PM-USA look at retail. PM-USA will effectively utilize merchandising and trade programs, to extend brand messages, gain visibility and increased inventory, and to differentiate the Company's products from the competition. As prices on cigarettes have escalated, there has been a shift in the cigarette sales mix toward packs, in both convenience stores and in carton strongholds such as supermarkets. Penetration of package merchandising plans is essential to increase our business. PM-USA intends to be the biggest and best package merchandiser during the plan period. 10 PM 1075 C4NFIDENTIAL

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