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880000 - 920000 Five Year Plan Business Planning & Analysis 880300

Date: Mar 1988 (est.)
Length: 143 pages
2043774321-2043774463
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Abstract

This Philip Morris USA (PM) 5-year plan reveals the company's aggressive strategies to slow and even reverse national successes in controlling tobacco use. PM describes "proactive" strategies and actions that "go beyond simply defending ourselves," and that were aimed at "maximizing industry volume" and "making anti-smoking forces defend past gains..." PM justifies its actions by saying, "PM-USA is taking a major role in defending the cigarette industry since... we have the most to lose if the industry is radically altered by the aggressive attacks of anti-smoking forces...Thus, we must continue to lead the fight against the anti-smoking movement and devote considerable resources to defeat or mitigate their initiatives..."

The plan shows PM's priority of profits over health, and many statements place the company squarely at odds with U.S. and worldwide public health authorities:

"To combat the well-organized, well-funded anti-smoking movement in this country and abroad we have put into place programs that target three groups whose decisions and actions ultimately determine the long-term viability of the cigarette industry...Our overall goal is to preserve the industry by protecting smokers' rights and improving the perception of smokers and smoking in society..."

PM describes plans to create local smokers rights groups help the company block public health efforts all over the country:

"These groups will campaign for repeal of anti-smoking legislation and enactment of legislation to protect smokers from discrimination in employment. This offensive strategy is intended not only to change existing laws, but to force anti-smoking advocates to defend their gains rather than seeking to expand them."

The plan also lines out PM's strategy of sponsoring "third party research to...generate more favorable coverage of our issues." PM also lists reasons for creating the Center for Indoor Air Research (CIAR), a research group PM hoped would "Isolate the anti-smoking forces by making the industry appear reasonable while they are irrational in their demands..."

PM describes these anti-health tactics as "a sustained holding action with aggressive counterattacks" to be implemented "whenever we have the opportunity to demonstrate weakness or fanaticism in our opponents..."

The strident language in this document demonstrates PM's embattled mindset, and how far at odds the company was with worldwide public health authorities' efforts to control tobacco.

User-Contributed Notes

  1. Ingredient disclosure: Massachusetts not printed due to lack of focus on trade issues, and length of document. Includes revealing information about target of youth, working-class, and women. Focus on the United States.

Fields

Notes

This document also discusses a number of other topics such as "clean" (safer) cigarettes, fire-safe cigarettes, excise taxes and much more.

Quotes

[From Page 58, "Sociopolitical Strategy" (Bates Page 20437743780]:

PM-USA's sociopolitical goal is to maximize industry volume by protecting the rights of smokers while also preserving the rights of manufacturers to market cigarettes. PM-USA is taking a major role in defending the cigarette industry since our leadership position in terms of market share and profitability implies that we have the most to lose if the industry is radically altered by the aggressive attacks of anti-smoking forces.

The industry currently faces a number of threats, of which one of the most serious is the growing concern -- among smokers and non-smokers -- regarding environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). Despite the lack of definitive scientific evidence, ETS is being linked to health problems in non-smokers, including the families of smokers. By blowing the ETS issue out of proportion, anti-smoking advocates are succeeding in increasing the ostracism of smokers and heightening the uneasiness smokers feel when smoking around others...

...We are planning to blunt the ETS issue by stressing acccomodation and comromise between smokers and non-smokers while working longer term to allay consumer fears through additional research...Corporate Affairs will seek to limit the number and severity of smoking restrictions and, where necessary, push for compromises which segregate smoking instead of banning smoking entirely...

...Corporate Affairs will...monitor and combat legislation unfavorable to PM-USA. In doing so, we will take a more proactive role by making anti-smoking forces defend past gains...

An important program to combat the ETS issue, growing smoking restrictions and increasing social pressures, will be Operation Downunder...In Operation Downunder we will restate the industry's position on smoking accommodation to gain credibility and popular support and will create and push private initiatives for this accommodation. When government involvement is unavoidable, we will use the legislative process to compel accommodation as opposed to ouright bans. Finally, we will continue the scientific battle over the effects of ETS through the Center for Indoor Air Research.

[From Page 80, Bates No. 2043774400]:

Advertising

...The [Benson and Hedges] campaign effectively portrays smoking and nonsmoking people in spontaneous natural situations which reinforce the social acceptability of the brand and the people who choose it...

...B&H currently has a relatively affluent, higher educated smoker profile. Survey data indicates that these groups have lower start rates and higher quit rates than blue coller smokers. While we intend to maintain broad media support to B&H's core smokers, targeted efforts will be directed at younger adults, blacks and Hispanics.

[From Page 117, "Sociopolitical Strategy," Bates No. 2043774437]:

SOCIOPOLITICAL STRATEGY

In the next five yeers the assault on cigarettes and smoking is expected to intensify. Led by Surgeon General Koop, virtually all public health associations and various politicians, the anti-smoking movement has three main goals:

• Make smoking an unacceptable behavior in any social context.

• Make cigarette promotion and advertising illegal.

• Make cigarettes themselves more expensive through heavier taxation.

During the plan period, the cigarette industry will face legislation to increase excise, taxes, to ban print and outdoor advertising, to prohibit sampling and promotion, and to forbid smoking in any public place, office, common carrier, restaurant or accommodation. These legislative initiatives represent the most visible element of the anti-smoking force's coordinated strategy to ostracize smokers both in the general public and even in their homes, where they are accused of perpetrating health problems on their spouses and children. The movement against smoking and smokers enjoys sanction from the media, business leaders and government akin to that accorded Prohibition and McCarthyism. These groups will campaign for repeal of anti-smoking legislation and enactment of legislation to protect smokers from discrimination in employment. This offensive strategy is intended not only to change existing laws, but to force anti-smoking advocates to defend their gains rather than seeking to expand them. The continuing fallout from the 1986 Surgeon General's Report on environmental tobacco smoke has demonstrated that the anti-smoking forces are willing to distort science in their single-minded quest to alienate smokers.

[From Page 119]:

Unless we continue to act forcefully against our opponents, the cigarette market will be fundamentally changed. Since PM-USA commands 37.9 percent of industry sales, nearly half of estimated industry profits and continues to grow, we have the most to lose from that change. Thus, we must continue to lead the fight against the anti-smoking movement and devote considerable resources to defeat or mitigate their initiatives...

...Our strategy then needs to be a sustained holding action with aggressive counterattacks whenever we have the opportunity to demonstrate weakness or fanaticism in our opponents...Our strategic objective is to leverage [public sentiments against taxes, in favor of freedom of speech, against government interference, etc.] and maximize industry volume by aggressively blunting attacks from anti-smoking advocates and improving public perceptions of smoking...We have identified four primary fields of battle:

--The social ostracism of smokers and consequent inhibitions about when and where to smoke caused by health-risk perceptions, effective lobbying by anti-smoking groups, restrictive smoking policies (public and private) and biased media coverage.

[Page 121]

To combat the well-organized, well-funded anti-smoking movement in this country and abroad we have put into place programs that target three groups whose decisions and actions ultimately determine the long-term viability of the cigarette industry. Our overall goal is to preserve the industry by protecting smokers' rights and improving the perception of smokers and smoking in society.

...Specifically we plan to do the following:

To go beyond simply defending ourselves, we intend to fashion proactive groups led by the regional managers of the public affairs network. These groups will campaign for repeal of anti-smoking legislation and enactment of legislation to protect smokers from discrimination in employment. This offensive strategy is intended not only to change existing laws, but to force anti-smoking advocates to defend their gains rather than seeking to expand them.

State political action committees will expand to make contributions to key political decision-makers in states where direct corporate contributions are not permitted.

Smokers and Other Potential Allies

Direct lobbying alone cannot stop the anti-smoking movement or influence an indifferent public and media who tolerate fanatical anti-smoking activities. To enlist public support, we will take our program of identification, recruitment, education, communication and mobilization of smokers to a new level of organization....

[Page 123, Bates No. 2043774443]:

In 1988, we intend to create local smokers' rights associations throughout the U.S. The basis for these associations will be a network of 50,000 "block captains" who will monitor local smoking issues, write or visit political decision-makers, write letters to local newspapers and generally serve as a grass roots voice for smokers' rights. We intend to link these "captains" to local, state and ultimately a national rights organization. Once the national organization is established and funded, we will spin the Smokers Newsletters into it and create a self-sustaining membership organization similar to the National Rifle Association.

[From Page 126, Bates No. 2043774446]:

Finally, we will continue the scientific battle over the effects of ETS through the Center for Indoor Air Research (CIAR). The CIAR is an industry-sponsored scientific funding organization designed to obtain better scientific research on ETS and the overall indoor air quality issue.

We believe there are several benefits to the industry in pursuing this strategy. It will:

1) Increase the industry's leverage in legislatures by showing a more reasonable approach to the issue.

2) Provide an acceptable smoking environment for smokers in all social contexts by demanding at least a designated smoking area.

3) Provide a statutory basis for smokers to assert their right to smoke by inserting in legislation the requirement that smokers be accommodated.

4) Isolate the anti-smoking forces by making the industry appear reasonable on the issue while they are irrational in their demands.

5) Allow the industry to claim victory for smokers when accommodation legislation is passed thus reversing the perception that all smoking legislation is anti-smoking...

Like all new programs, a degree of risk is involved. Operation Downunder will raise the visibility of the ETS issue, but it is already a highly visible controversy. It could also be construed as conceding that smoking can be legitimately limited and promote government intervention. However, the fact that 45 states and 260 localities debated restrictive smoking legislation in 1987 clearly demonstrates that government intervention is already a part of political life in the U.S...

Company
Philip Morris (now a division of Altria Group)
Author
Corporate author, Philip Morris
Recipient
Corporate Recipient, Philip Morris
Region
United States
Type
REPT, REPORT, OTHER
CHAR, CHART, GRAPH, TABLE, MAPS
Litigation
Stmn/Produced
Named Person
Caton, F.
Koop, C. Everett, M.D. (Surgeon General ('81-'89))
former US Surgeon General (1981-1989)
Levrat, J.M.
Operation/Project
Operation Downunder (PM Corp. strategy to deal with ETS issue)
On June 24-26, 1987 Philip Morris held the Operation Downunder Conference to determine a new strategy to deal with the ETS issue, which was eroding sales. The conference was attended by fifteen people, seven of whom were high-up PM executives (see list of attendees at PM 2024270519)and the balance of whom were public realtions people, attorneys from Covington and Burling, etc.
Named Organization
American Tobacco
Anti Tobacco Forces
Arnold & Porter
Bakery Union
BW, Brown & Williamson
Center for Indoor Air Research (CIAR) (Industry formed/funded air research organization)
Nonprofit organization funded by the tobacco industry. CIAR was formed in March 1988 by tobacco companies "to sponsor "high-quality research on indoor air issues and to facilitate communication of research findings to the broad scientific community."
Circle K Stores (Convenience stores)
Coalition Against Regressive Taxation - PM-backed third party group
Confectionery Union
Congress
Deutsche Bundesbank
Elite
Iri Food Stores
K Mart
Leo Burnett Agency
Liggett
Liggett & Myers
Lorillard
Mobil
Natl Rifle Assn
Smokers Caucus
Pathmark
PM Magazine
PM, Philip Morris
Political Action Comm
Richmond Westab Et
RJR, R.J.Reynolds
Smokers Newsletters
Smokers Rights Groups (Groups set up by tobacco companies)
Smokers Rights Groups (SRGs) were created clandestinely by the major tobacco companies of Philip Morris and R.J. Reynolds (usually through public relations firms) to produce the appearance of "grass roots" opposition to laws restricting smoking in public places. The U.S. SRG, set up by Philip Morris, was the National Smokers Alliance. European groups had names like HEN-RY, Smokepeace and FOREST.
Southland
State Political Action Comm
Target
Tax Comm
Texaco
TI, Tobacco Inst
Tobacco Workers Intl Union
Zayres
7-11 (Convenience stores)
Subject
industry
industry activity
industry front group
industry influence
industry sponsored research
industry strategy
Corporate image
Corporate strategy
fire safe cigarette
taxation
smoking prevalence
smoking restriction
target market
Target/ethnic (targeting ethnic markets)
Target/Low-Income (Target Groups)
Target/Women (Target Groups)
Target/Young Adults (Target Groups)

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~moruiis FIVE YEAR PLAN 1988-1992 co nfi d enti al IN= ra a ~ V ti4 -C+ LI N
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I I I I I I I 4 CONFIDENTIAL ~ U.S.A. ~ I I I I I I 1988-1992 FIVE YEAR PLAN BUSINESS PLANNING & ANALYSIS MARCH 1988 NOTE I I I Discussion and analysis of competitors is based on public information and internal modeling of competition developed by the Planning Departrnent. Projections and discussions of future actions by competitors are primarily based on extension of historical trends within the context of PM-USA's forecasted U.S. cigarette industry environment.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2a437743:3 (
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I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I PLAN OVERVIEW Philip Norris U.S.A.'s 1988-1992 Five Year Plan sets forth the business strategies which will be employed to accelerate our morcentun in the cigarette industry. To respond to the current and expected industry/competitive environrnent, PM-USA has sociopolitical, marketing and operations strategies which have as an objective continued unit volume, market share and profit growth. While the cigarette industry as a whole continues to be impacted by anti-tobacco forces, PM-USA possesses strong internal assets -- a young smoker base, a leading position in most industry segments, superior product quality, modern infrastructure and substantial financial resources - to prosper despite this threat. These assets enable PM-USA to exploit emerging industry trends and position the company to achieve its volume and profit objectives unless the industry is significantly changed by external events such as large excise tax increases, a radical acceleration in smoking restrictions or unfavorable product liability rulings. Our Five Year Plan objectives include: • Domestic volume growth of 17.9 billion units. • Market share growth of 9.4 sharepoints. • Operating income increases averaging 13.4 percent per year. • Cumulative after-tax cash flow of $11.6 billion. As seen on the next page, PM-USA's five year objectives exceed those in last year's Plan and reflect our basic strategy for the future -- to enhance our current niomentum by aggressively investing in the cigarette business while maintaining our profitability and cash flow. To achieve these objectives, we have in place sociopolitical, marketing and operations strategies to: • Maximize industry volume potential by protecting the rights of smokers and manufacturers. • Enhance the strong brand imagery of our products through increased media support while taking advantage of brand development opportunities with targeted consumer programs and line extensions. At the same time we will actively work to increase our penetration of the price/value category. • Improve PM-USA's retail presence, particularly in the supermarket and convenience trade classes. • Pursue technological innovation both in terms of developing new products and refining manufacturing processes. • Meet growing production requirements within existing facilities while maintaining manufacturing flexibility, continuing to improve our superior product quality and ensuring a stable supply of quality leaf tobacco. A-1
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CCVJPARIS0N OF PLAN ASSUMPTIGNS ADID PM-USA OBJDCI'IVES Industry ustry 1988-1992 1987-1991 Five Year Plan Five Year Plan • Avg. Annual Industry Voltmie Decline -2.8% -1.7% • Federal E~ccise Tax Per Thousand $8.00 $8.00 • Price/Value Category Share 21.9% (1992) 13.8% (1991) in Last Year of Plan PM-USA • Total Market Share Growth 9.4 share points 4.5 sharepoints • Total Volume Growth (Billions) 17.4(1) 6.3 • PM-USA Price/Value Penetration 35% (1992) 19% (1991) --.~ • Total Full Margin Price Increases $20.50 per 1000 $13.05 per 1000 • Annual Operating Incame- Growth 13.4$(1) 12.0% • Total After Tax Cash Flow $11.6(1) $10.0 fran Operations (Billions) (1) Post-Spinoff. Pre-Spiroff volume growth ='17.9 billion, operating incane growth = 13.4%, after-tax cash flow = $11.8 billion. ATTAIrtM= OF PROFITABILITY OBJECTIVES An outgrowth of our business strategies will be a significant expansion of PM-USA's market share along with increases in profitability and cash flow. To achieve these objectives, PM-USA must balance four components - pricing, volume growth, marketing spending and productivity improvements. Meeting our objectives is vitally important given shareholder expectations and the impact PM-USA has on Philip Morris Companies' results. Pricing The pricing actions of other manufacturers led to an acceleration of PM-USA's price increases in 1987 beyond the levels forecasted in last year's Plan. The December increase of $2.00 per thousand on top of the $1.50 increase in June represents a significant departure from the $1.00-1.25 level of semi-annual increases the industry had instituted beginning in June 1984. This acceleration is partially the result of competitive attenpts to maintain profit growth in the face of declining unit volune and a growing proportion of price/value products in their sales mix. Manufacturer pricing appears to have reached a new level which is expected to remain essentially stable during the Plan. However, this pricing is considerably higher than in last year's Plan and creates a number of industry risks. • Full margin retail prices are forecasted to increase 8.8 percent annually during the Plan. This compares to expected yearly growth in the consumer price index and disposable income per capita of 4.4 percent and 5 2 percent over the sane period Against this broader ~ . . ~ economic background and in conjunction with growing pressure from ~ , • ~ anti-smoking forces, excessive price increases may reinforce . ~ smokers' societal/perceived health concerns and provide an economic justification to reduce or stop consumption of cigarettes, or switch to lower priced alternatives. ~ w c.n I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
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UK CIGARETTE SALES 1 975--1 981 140 1975 1976 1977 1978 a 1979 1980 1981 9u~arLLErbt~~
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REAL RETAIL PRICE INCREASE OF UK CIGARETTES 1976-1981 1975 a 1976 1977 1978 1979 198s 1981 L,?.£tLc:CVo,:.
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CHANGE IN U1K SMOKING AGE POPULATION 1976-1981 P ~ ta . 8 E R C E N •6 T C H A .4 N G E 0.2 1975 .a 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Q S.. eM LLE W V 6r
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IMPLIED PRICE E~'LA.STICITY OF UK CIGARE`ITE SALES 1975 1981 % Change Cigarette Sales (Billions) 131.1 108.3 (17.4%) Cigarette Retail Price 32.6 P 90.4 P 177.3% PDI/Capita L 431.9 L 980.5 127.0 P.eal Increase 50.3% Implied Elasticity - .2021 1975 Cigarette Sales (Billions) 131.1 Cigarette Retail Price 32.6 P PDI/Capita Real Increase Implied Elasticity L 431.9 1980 Cigarette Sales (Billions) 120.8 Cigarette Retail Price 71.3 P PDI/Capita Real Increase Implied Elasticity L 910.0 1977 % Change 124.0 (5.4%) 48.4 P 48.5% L 556.1 28.8 19.7% - .1431 1981 % Change 108.3 (10.4%) 90.4 P 26.8% L 980.5 7.8 19.0% - .4621 T m Note 1: (Change in Q) /(Q, + Q,,) r.~ (Change in P) / (Pl + P2) ~ GI •,j 14 3•J ~
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ASSUMPTIONS 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Cigarette Sales1 131.1 131.7 124.0 124.4 123.3 120.8 108.3 Cigarette P2rices (Pence) 32.6 41.7 48.4 55.3 62.0 71.3 90.4 Personal ~isposable Income (Millions of Pounds) 18,501 21,237 24,075 28,351 34,201 40,205 43,623 PopulatiVn Age 15 + (000) 42,832 43,050 43,296 43,594 43,897 44,182 44,491 PDI/Capita Age 15+ (in Pounds) 431.9 493.3 556.1 650.3 779.1 910.0 980.5 Note 1: From Philip Morris International (See rnemo fran J. M. Levrat to F. Caton) Note 2: Weighted Average price based on sales and pricing data in memo above. The pricing data furnished by PMI does not reflect price discounting by retail outlets. Note 3: From UK Central Statistical Office per Chase Econometric's Data Base Note 4: Froin UK Central Statistical Office per Chase Econoretric's Data Base (Population for 1981 is estimated.) I

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