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Document 10269064
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Visit to Advanced Tobacco Products, San Antonio, Texas~
19th Februar7 ~985
Compiled b7 : A. L. Heard
Present:
N. Jacobsen
E.G. Vfmond
J.P. Ray
I. Hill
J.D. Simonsen
C. Warren
J. Unlack
J.A.B. Kellagher
R.P. Ferris
A.L. Heard
Chairman, C.E.O., A.T.P.
Chairman of Marketing Commltcee
President
V.P. Technology
V.P. Administration
T.T.L., Canada
BATCo Ltd.
BATUKE, R&D
BATCo Ltd.
Back~roun~
In November 1985, C. Warren and A.L. Heard visited ATF to
explore whether the potential existed for some form of
collaborative arrangements between their respective companies
and ATP, who had recently launched FAVOR, a smokeless
cigarette. At that time, ATP foresaw no problems in covering
distrlbutlon through USA but were interested In finding partners
who could develop non-USA markets. They were well disposed to
the BAT Group as a potential partner. Products were-supplied to
both ITL and BAT foI consumer test work.
BAT and ITL agreed that initially BAT, through the facilities
available to R.P. Ferrls of the BATUKE ReD Laboratory, would
conduct a detailed but small scale evaluation of regular FAVOE
with a brief assessment of some product developments made
available during the visit co ATP.
Additionally, B&W would be asked to monitor the performance of
FAVOR in the Texan cities where it was being launched.
Purpose and Scope of Meetin,~
In the period between the November visit and this visit, ATP had
suggested to ITL that they had further developments on FAVOR
including some which related to conventional smoke generatlng
products.
At preseat, in the secrecy agreements signed by ITL and BATCo,
our interests are confined to smokeless products and, so far,
have been strictly limited to cigarette-like products (FAVOR).
~a view of BAT research interests and background in smoke
generating products, including altering the nicotine/tar and
flavour contents, it was stated at the outset of this meetlu~ by
A.L. Heard that we did not wish to include on the agenda any
smoke-related information.
The purpose of the meeting was thu= ~o be confined to FAVOR and
to the marketing/product development issues.
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In view of the value of the detailed findings obtained in the UK
study, ATP were asked to sign a secrecy agreement. They agreed
(the signed copy is nov with Legal Department, Millbank).
Finally, in order that, if necessary, information supplied to us
could be shared vith B&W, an alternative form of a secrecy
agreement, supplied by B&W, was signed by ATP and returned to
Legal Department, Bag.
Conclusions
There appear to be several important issues governing our future
involvement with ATP:
1. Do they have a concept which meets a real consumer demand?
On the basis of all the consumer studies done by ATP or BAT,
there appears little doubt that the consumer is seeking a
product of this kind.
2. Does the ATP product meet this concept (or will it by
reasonable developmental evolution)?
We must concede that, although there may be a small segment
of smokers who find the current product satisfactory, the
majority of consumers appear reluctant to use FAVOR Regular.
Whether this product can be modified to retain the consumer
is a key issue. We are confident that the ATP development
team, particularly if backed by BAT Group resources, could
make considerable strides in improving 'smoking mechanics'
and flavour. The real point at issue is whether ~he change
in smoking style demanded of the consumer by FAVOR relative
to conventional cigarettes will be acceptable in view of its
lower per puff nicotine and very low overall mass delivered
per puff.
3,
Only extended practical experience will answer this
question. Certainly, the more the basic mechanics are
improved the greater the likelihood of the consumer to make
the trade-off (which, of course, he may have to do many
times each day if he uses FAVOR as a partial supplement).
Is the ATP product protected by sufficiently robust patents
that others (including ourselves) cannot easily copy the
product?
The patent position is not clear and needs very close
investigation by expert counsel.
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Alternatively, is ATP know-how such that they have a
valuable lead-tlme for us? (We cannot answer that question
in terms of our competlclou.)
The know-how that ATP have is certainly worth 2 years lead
time for BAT even if we gave such a project a high priority
in R&D, itself an improbable situation if viewed
realistically. We believe that subject to the continued
employment of the key Personnel (especially J.P. Ray and
I.D. Hill) the Company may be a most interesting proposition
because of the pot~ntlal extension of the technology Into
ordinary cigarettes, where use of the plug carrying
nlcocine/flavourants in a filter can improve quality of
conventional smoke.
5. ghat is the worth of ATP?
On current performance in the test markets (using largely
ATP indications) the company must be seen as high risk and
worth far, far less than the $300 m projected by ATP. We
are basically looking at an R&D company wlch a good concept,
good know-how, useful production facilities but no proveu
market - indeed, if anything, it has a disillusioned market.
Other factors which may adversely affect the viability or
profitability of Favor in the US market are the possibility
of FDA regulation (even to the extent of prohibiting the
product), of becoming subject to Federal Excise and Sta~e
taxes as a tobacco product, and of the imposition of
Advertising restrictions. Any such development would also
then have implications for the product in other markets.
If we wait until market share rises and approaches the 1%
ATP expect by 1987, the buy-out price could be around
$300 m.
If, on the other hand, market share remains at 0.4% or,
indeed, falls, or if the product returns predicted by B&W
materialise, the company is likely to be in serious
financial problems and could be purchased at a low price ($5
- I0 m?).
&ecommendatious
The sltuaCion argues for the following possible courses of
action:
Technical/Markettn# Strate$7
1. Check ATP patent situation. If not robust, we should
consider withdrawing since others will 'move in'.
2. Check the toxicological information, taking expert advice on
the safety of FAVOR.
3. ITL should proceed wlth their plan to run an extended study
on 400-600 consumers using the FAVOR variant best suited to
the Canadian market.
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BAT should extend the A0-person monitor on potential FAVOR
usage iniClaced in January 1986, Co test the ~Ime dependence
on views elicited from thac pilot study.
B&W should complete the 1000-smoker Texas-vide telephone
study scheduled for completion end-March. This-should
provide corroboration of the ATP study nov being analysed by
Marketlng Department, Hillbank.
Evaluation of current marker position in the field by BAT
Marketlng management.
Business Strategy
1. In the short term ITL and BAT should maintain dialogue rich
ATP.
In the light of knowledge gained from the above initiatives,
BAT/ITL might consider in exchange for:
(i) input of their own technology
(i£) assistance An distribution from B&~
(ili) S one-off payment to ATP
a) Exclusive rights to all smoke-related applications of
ATP's current future technology and patents.
b) An agreement that ATP ~ill restrict the expansion of
FAVOR during the next 12 months to permit further Joint
development of the product co eliminate or minlmise the
negatives revealed so far by research.
c) BAT/ITL would be given an option on the purchase of
shares in the company producing FAVOR on a performance
related formula: the option to. remain valid for 18
months.
d) Any payments or know-how contributions from BAT vould
be capicallsed if the option co purchase a share and
participate in the equity of ATF is taken up.
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Karketln6 and Sales Situation
No Harketlng presentation was made by the ATP Board to give us
any real information about strategy, advertising, current sales
and distribution arrangements etc. We were informed only that
FAVOR vas launched in the last week of September 1985 in Austin,
Texas (which represents O.3Z of the United States market) using
a Broker and Wholesalers and that distribution yes extended to
Hetro Dallas in November and rolled out to Houston in January.
They intend to continue a roll-out to cover the whole of the US
in ten steps completing step one with extension to the remainder
of Texas, California, Arizona and Nevada in the near future.
The objective stated by Ed Vtmond (vho was hilled as Director
and Chairman of the Marketing Committee) was ~o achieve a major
share of the US Cigarette Market. It was only subsequently that
it emerged that this major share objective vas in fact 1Z.
Hr.
Vimond who vas President and CEO of RJR Xnternattonal from
X980-1982 was not particularly impressive.
Subsequent to the visit J.A.B. Kellagher read two New York stock
exchange reports relating to ATP, one of which dated 30th August
1985 included In the 1let of Officers and Directors, Hr. Jim
Rarkness under the title of VP Harketing. There is no mention
of him however in another report dated 9th September 1985 and he
was neither present nor mentioned at our meeting, wo it may be
assumed that he has left the Company.
ATP has recently completed a Favor Attitude and Usage study
based on a telephone interview survey carried out in the Austin
initial market after the first thirteen weeks. No management
analysis of these results was presented except for the
information that the product had achieved 91Z awareness amongst
smokers, that 55X had tried Favor, 33Z had actually bought Favor
themselves and 4Z are currently using the product. The share of
market calculated by them on the basis of the research
Information results in a figure of 0.9Z of the Austin cigarette
market for the whole 13 week period and 0.4Z current share.
Share figures, incidentally, are all calculated on a per pack,
not per stick, basis.
The research revealed that current users are 65Z female and tend
to be upper income, white and aged 35+. The full Survey report
has, however, been broughc back to Hlllbank and a more detailed
analysis will be prepared.
~r. Vtmond claimed chat ATP had gained a good breadth of
distribution and that only two firms had turned down the product
buC admitted that ATP eere lacking in depth o~ distribution due
to the absence of any field-force. This, of course, is one of
the reasons that they are anxious to form an association with a
large F~CC company and preferably a tobacco company.
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~r. Vimond was informed that the information we had received
from B&R suggested that although substantial quantities of Favor
had been dls~ributed to the Trade much of this stock would, in
due course, be returned. Hr. Vlmond denied that any stock had
been returned. It is worth ootlng, however, that B&W obtained
this information from their Broker in Austin which is the same
ss that used by ATP.
Hr. Vimond predicted that market share would now steadily
increase, claiming in effect that 0.&X share is the bottom of
the curve. When questioned ou this subject, however, there
appeared to be no'statistical or other objective Justification
for this expectation.
Production process
A visit was arranged Co see the production facilities and
laboratories. The factory is clean, bright and tidy as are the
adjoining quality control/research facilities.
FAVOR comprises an extruded plastic (85 mm) tube containing a
small mioroporous plug (9 mm) vlth a brovu tipping paper at the
mouth end ~remoce from the plug). The microporous plug contains
adsorbed high purity free nicotine and selected volatile
flavourants.
Impure nicotine (extracted from tobacco) is imported as a 95Z
(impure) extract from India and is distilled (in a plant located
outside of city limits for t6xicological reasons) to better than
99.9X purity. This is diluted eith ethanol and flavourants
added. A batch of plugs checked for pressure drop is floated ou
this solution and by applying a vacuum, the air is removed
enabling the nicotine solution to penetrate. Solvent is removed
by rotary vacuum drying leaving pure nicotine/flavourants
adsorbed on the pore surfaces. According to Dr. Z. Hill, the
dimensions of the plug/pores places an upper safe limit on
nicotine loading, a feature ehich will need careful probing if
collaboration is pursued.
The plugs are transported in sealed churns to the assembly
factory situated at the rear of the ATF office premises. This
occupies 25,000 (?) sq. ft. Currently, ATP have two making
lines from blank cubes to wrapped cartons, ac present laid out
in the typical U-conformation of a cigarette making assembly.
(This rill be replaced by an in-line conformation when these two
machines are transferred co the adjoining building where tvo
other assembly lines are being built.)
Blank tubes of double FAVOR length are fed by hopper Co a
grooved block which transports them approximately 1.5"metres by
which time plugs are rammed into either end of each Cube. Tn
the subsequent operation, tipping is applied co the centre of
this dual rod and the rod is cut. The product (6 to a pack) is
sealed ou a heat seal chocolate wrapping type machine and packed
in a hinge-lid box.
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Production, which is currently packer speed llmlced, is between
80 and 130 packs/minute.
ATP claim chat on four shift operation the four production lines
soon co be available will be capable of supplying the 1Z market
share they foresee for FAVOR within the next year.
Patent Position
ATP claim that their issued US patent (No. 4,284,089) covers
securely the basic principle of nicotine volatisacion implicit
in YAVOR. They also cited the EEC patent applications (already
known to us) and stated that other patents on details of
construction etc. are in progress.
A.L. Heard expressed his concern for the robustness of the US
patent following a first survey by BAT Patents Department. He
expressed an intention, fully agreed by ATP, to explore in depth
the soundness of the ATP patent position since this is a
keystone of any collaboration.
Toxicolo~ical DaCe relatin~ co FAVOR
ATP provided both BAT and TTL with a copy of a 30-page document
eutitled "Toxicology of Nicotine Base - an assessment for ATP"
by Dr. Daniel M. Fords a consultant toxicologist. This covers
the acute and chronic toxicity of nicotine and goes on Co
consider implications for FAVOK. Abuse, risk to children and
workers are considered.
The conclusions suggest no real concern but the document has now
been passed to T.G. Mitchell of BATUKZ KaD for expert comment.
ATP were made aware of the kind of requirements that the BAT
Additives Cuidance Committee would seek in approving use of
~AVOR or similar items. It was made clear that BAT would, if it
pursued further with ATP, ask for all confidential details of
ingredients, materials etc. to be disclosed to a nominated
person.
UK Consumer Stud~ on YAVOK
The results of a small-scale consumer study carried out in UK
using Regular FAVOK were shared with ATP (under a Secrecy
Agreement). The'trial was based on 40 subjects selected by
delivery, sex and concern (expressed as ability to cope for
• periods without cigarettes). The study was divided into three
stages:
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1. introduction co concept and produ:c
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a ~-hour period of clKarecce deprivation buc free
access co FAVOK
a &-day period of free choice - conventional clsareCCes
or FAVOR ac will
The findings are summarlsed in the attached uoce by R.P. ¥erris.
ATP vere excreme&y interested in our findings and were clearly
i~pressed by the skill shown in both constructing and
implementing such an informative study ac short notice. They
were quick co see the benefits that access co the BAT Croup
techniques and knowledge of cigarette design and human
smoking/preference could brine Co them in the developmenC of
FAV0~.
Development Potential of FAVOR
Two features distinguish FAVOR from ocher nicotine-delivering
alternatives co the conventional cigarette (e.g. sums, tablets,
dry and wet snuffs):
a) the delivery device is physically and visually very similar
to conventional cigarettes
b)
the mode of delivery, albeit vapour and noc aerosol based,
relies on inhalation in a personally controlled series of
puffs.
These are extremely important features in chat Chef offer
familiarity to conventional cisaretCe smokers.
However, FAVOR has important known constraints. Firstly,
nicotine delivery per puff has been maxinised at 10 us, only 10Z
of the typical nicotine level/puff from a eouvenclonal mld-car
cigarette. The potential of one stick to yield up to tO0 such
puffs leads co a behaviouraI chanse in the direction of more
rapid puffins by the user. Hore importantly, the Coral matter
delivered per puff of FAVOR is merely ~Z of Chat from a
conventional mid-tar cigarette. This will call for considerable
ingenuity in product modification co restore traditional sensory
cues such as mouthful and reward for draw effort. Dr. Hill will
seek to achieve such improvements by selection of approved
volatile flavourancs.
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Potentlal gAY Asslst~nce in FAVOE Development
There are three ways in which ATP development of FAVOR could be
accelerated if BAT resources were made available:
C1)
Sensor7 Development
ATP currently use ad ho¢ in-house evaluations for
sensory assessment of the product. Lack of a panel
approach using a set of standard attributes means that
ATP have not crated their progress with a development
history of comparative sensory profiling. BAT research
has established a basic sensory pro£iling technique
which can be used to indicate sensory shortcomings and
provide guidance on levels o£ sensory magnitude which
would improve product acceptability. Notably TAVOE
~CULAR shows problems on taste level (too low)
irritation (coo high) and mechanics (poor perceived
draw due to the fact that ATP wrongly define draw
ef£ort in terms of measurable draw resistance instead
of against the consumer criterion of reward for draw
effort).
BAT sensory pro£iling of ATP's more recent ex~erimental
prototypes shows chat these problems are surmountable
~o some large extent. Use of a sensory testing
approach would significantly £ocus and speed up the
current empirical approach and should concentrate on
determininS the interdependence og mechanics and taste
masuicude perceptions (the two seem to interact such
chat increasing taste magnitude will produce improved
perceived mechanics even against a fixed measurable
draw resistance baseline). The method should also
allow an understanding of the relative contribution or
salience of particular sensory attributes co overall
product acceptability. Ic will be important to compare
such a "contribution heirachy" for FAVO~ with that more
typical of conventional cigarettes. Looking at the
same problem from the consumer perspective, it will be
important to understand relative sensory requirement
hairachies of low and full £1avour smokers if KEGULAK
and LIGHTS versions of FAVOR are Co be successfully
di£ferentially marketed to such consumers (at present,
data on FAVOR REGULAR shows no differentiation of
sensory response by delivery level of smoker, buc a
clear dif£erenclacion by acceptability).
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Behavioural-Heasuremeut
Diary monitoring of FAVOK use patterns indicates that
the product is used in a very dif£erenC manner to
conventional cigarettes (often in use continually for
periods of over one hour) and chat its use alongside
cigarettes is associated with a reduction in cigarette
consumption. Sensory testing also indicates that
'getting the mechanics right' (i.e. achieving an
appropriate effort/reward relationship) is key to
product acceptability. A central issue concerning
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eventual success/failure of FAVOR will be whether users
can learn to trade getting nicoClne in large doses from
a small number of puffs for the FAVOr alternatlve
(small per puff dose, large number of puffs). The
observation that cigarette consumption declines when
FAVOR is used supports the view that FAVOr Is
satisfylng a pharmacological demand. Therefore the
prime use of behavloural measurement would be to ensure
that the sensory cues driving smoking behavlour are
optlmised.
Smoker effort can be measured dlrectly as puffing
pressures aud'volumes using smoking behaviour
equipment. It should be technically feasible to
convert current equipment to monitor FAVOR smokers and
derive the following important information:
a)
A concrete measure of smoker effort being applied
to an7 FAVOR variant, which can be used as a
criterion for arrlving at satisfactory
'mechanics', and may also be correlated to sensory
perceptions of draw effort.
b)
Characcerisation of physical smoking style learned
in using FAVOR relative to conventional
cigarettes.
c)
Examination of how critical the role of
satisfactory mechanics will be in FAVOr
acceptance. Will the most acceptable FAVOr simply
be the variant with the best effort-reward
relatlonshlp (i.e. closest to conventional
axpectatloos) or will the quallt~ of reward £n
taste and irritation terms support trade offs
against the effort criterion?
Product *Cosmetics'
UK qualitative work has defined a number of
product appearance factors which aeem to
contribute significantly to product
acceptance/rejection. Most notable of these are
tactile feel of the rod, requirements for more
perceived solidity at the mouth end (perhaps by
use of a baffle), stick use/depletion indication,
improved (preferably single stick) inner wrap,
improved pack design (in terms of function and
appearance).
While ATP are larsely aware of these aspects, the
use of a panel of *Innovation sensitive'
consumers, such as are available in the UK for.
qualltatlve evaluation would he a considerable
asset.
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