FTC Joe Camel Documents
Smoker Dynamics
Fields
Document Images
HARKET OVERVIEW
Key Trends
Industry
Females have become more important tn the cigarette market because smoking
Incidence has declined less among women than among men.
SMOKING INCIDENCE
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1987
Total 42.6 36.2 33.9 33.1 28.9 27.3
Males 51.4 42.1 38.9 37.1 31.2 29.8
Females 34.3 30.7 29.2 29.5 26.7 25.0
DISTRIBUTION
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1987
Male 58 56 55 53 52 52
Female 42 44 45 47 48 48
I I )NVIA[
tll
3ZHfH Xq paanpo:[d
- CX 37-K

MARKET OVERVIEW
Industr~
Key Tren.ds
The |mportance of ethnic groups ts rapidly increasing. In 1990, Blacks and
Htspantcs will represent 18~ of all adults and 25~ of all younger adults.
PCT OF ALL ADULTS
1980 1985 1990
Blacks 10.6 11.0 11.4
Hlspantcs 5.5 6.0 6.___~8
Total 16.1 17.0 18.2
PCT OF 18-24
1980 1985 1990
Blacks 13.3 14.4 14.7
Htspantcs
Total 20.7 22.5 24.8
LII
DZHfH Xq paanpoad
CX 37-L

507~Z0 ~55Z
MARKET OVERVIEW
Industry
Key Trends
Smoking incidence is highest among downscale consumers and tt has also
declined less among this grouP.
Soclo-Economlc Status
Smoking Incidence
1974 1980 1986
Lower 38 39
Middle 38 36
Upper 34 32
34
30
25
Education
High School or Less 38 37
Some College Plus INI~)N~V~IAI
32
25
Source" Yanke|ovtch [||
CX 37-M

!
~07:~0
HARKET OVERVIEW
Industry
Key Trends
The ctgarette market ts less educated than average and much more downscale
than oEher produce caEegortes.
The average smoker has Ehe same level of educatton as customers of
Zayre, Hardee's, Aqua Velva, and Avon.
B&H smokers have same education as Sears customers.
INI~NVIA~ ~
111 :
D~LHf~I ,(q paanpoad
CX 37-N

5o7zb 1554
HARKET OVERVIEN
INDUSTRY
HILL[S
U/NSTON
C~[L
ATTENDED
TUPPER~ARE . ~:ATRI
PAPTV
O SAI,EH 9 ClC. HARK[I
-
/ PII ! I.CO TV I
IHSTJUIATIC SILAJ,oPo0 C~ERA
~
|[.[E HOLSOII REEl O
e IIEIllEEEII SEER
llg'ORTED JEER HAERET
,o v. SLIHS
Igl)i~lSf.ll
VlDAI.
SASSOOII
SIIAI4POO STF.~ &
JAClL DANIEL°S
HER/T ARAHIS
SEER
O LICIIT BE[IL HAIILI[T
O PO.DEROSA STEAK
I|OUSE |[HSOil ~ FSTFIr LAUDrJ~
VAHTAGE I~H HOHTCOflERT VINE
I)C~IF.ST IC
WAR CRI"DIT I~ANKL'T
U CAR
CARD
CIIlVAS fECAL
CR[[II
FOILEIGH CAR
GOUIU~[T A)IERICAN
SrECIALTT [XrR[sS
CARD
STORE
O O~ 3Sam CA/~IIA
sotrf TV
-,, tl.l+
CX 37-0

MARKET OVERVIEW
507Z0 1555
Industry
Marketing Relevance
1. With declining volumelsmokers, marketing resources will be staolel
declining.
2. Each smoker will be more valuable and harder to reach. In 1965, 431 of
adults smoked compared to 29~ tn 1985. This places a premium on...
Effective positioning
Targeted programs
3. R3R needs to be sensitive to the growing gap between well educated
marketers/advertisers and the less educated smoker.
INII NVIA[
UI
DZHFH Xq paanpoad
CX 37-P

produced by RJRTC
ill
MANGINI
33N~NBO3~3~ 9NIID333V $~013~3
M3IA~3AO
9~! O~LO~a
!

-
507Z0 f557
HARKET OVERVIEW
Performance Factors
Longer term trends tn the cigarette market are very stable. Examples:
WINSTON
Kool
SALEM
VANTAGE
INI~NVIA
3&HFH Xq pa3npoad
CX 37-R

507Z0 1558
14
12
10
6
4
2
0
1954
WINSTON CUMULATIVE SHARE
1959
1964 1969 1974 1979
INI
1984
III
II
CX 37-S

produced by RJRTC
in
MAN(;INI
::IHVHS ]AIl.V'lllflfl~) "100)1
O|
6~I 0Z£O~
