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Brown & Williamson

A Technological Forecast of the Future Environment and Its Effects on the Tobacco Industry

Date: 11 Oct 1976
Length: 295 pages
779122607-779122901
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Fields

Type
MRPT, MARKETING REPORT
BIBL, BIBLIOGRAPHY
CHAR, CHART
FOOT, FOOTNOTES
GRAP, GRAPH
LIST
GRAPHIC
REPORT
Characteristic
CONF, CONFIDENTIAL
MARG, MARGINALIA
VASH, VARIANCE SHEET
Named Person
Ayers, R.V./X
Campbell, J.S./American Leaf Org
Cetron, M.J./X
Fischer, J.C./X
Hammond/X
Hayes/X
Horn/X
Johnson, J.M./X
Mchale, J./X
Nader, R./X
Pry, R.H./X
Ralph, C.A./X
Shapanka, A./X
Sterns, M.O./X
Stevens, S.S./X
Taylor, T./X
X/Forecasting Intl
X/Us Public Health Service
X/Natl Science Foundation
X/Us Department, O.F. Agriculture
X/Us Dept, O.F. Commerce
X/Us Congress
X/Consumers Union
X/Maxwell
X/American Cancer Society
X/Drug Abuse Council
X/Us Dept, O.F. Health, Education & Welfare
X/Us Bureau, O.F. The Census
X/Us Dept, O.F. Labor
X/Natl Inst, O.N. Drug Abuse
X/Food And Drug Administration
X/Action, O.N. Smoking And Health
X/Council, O.N. Environmental Quality
X/Environmental Protection Agency
X/R.J. Reynolds
X/Philip Morris
X/American Tobacco, C.O., American Brands
X/Lorillard
X/Liggett & Myers, Liggett Group
X/First City Natl Bank
X/Wiley Interscience
Attachment
548359
Litigation
10004026
Request
A4
B19
G
Original File
Specs. # 4 & 5 Confidential 030710
Date Loaded
26 Mar 1999
Brand
Alpine
Belair
Benson & Hedges
Capri
Carlton
Doral
Dumaurier
Fact
Iceberg
Kent
Kool
Laredo
Lucky
Marlboro
Merit
Now
Pall Mall
Parliament
Raleigh
Tempo
Tramps
True
Vantage
Viceroy
Winston

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D - ~hay~er i. Figure l* C~ap~er 3. • F~ura 6, F~e 8, FJgure 9, Figure I~, ~r~ 17. Y~ure ~3~ IT~T OF F~ N~ F~B,,r~s |6 L~ G~ lm Coast~nm Cl#~R~ ~lla~ ~8 T~, $, G~[P pe¥ Capicm ~9 Total S~lcs of L!I ~roduct~ an4 of ~l~r~e= ~1 Percent Reve~ of ~ohacc0 In~rry ~ar#g~ T~ [~rer~sc~ O~her Tha~ C£~re~r~ ~2 Per Capita Co~,=0~-~ cf Clg~r~cce~ ~3 Trend ~4 DOmes~i~ production ~£ Tob~mc~ P~d~ ~5 SuS~t~c~on Analvs~$ of C~r~tr~ ~ro~ F~l~er fo~ ~n-yi~tcr: ~o~ Tar £~r Regal ar ~ar ~ per~en~ ~L~rke~ ~n~5ol ~l~re~ce~ ~7 ~i~r~IL¢ pr~ce~ pe~ 1000 ~9 ~tl~ ~9~ ~ C£~e ~v~i~Z 4k Sa!es [Ci~r ~e) &2 an~ ~-%e:c[~[n~ 3ud~e~ 43 Fa~ Value o! ~a~o ~5 Toba¢¢~ C0n~enc ¢~ C~g~re~L~ ~7
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i Cr~pceLr 2 ~-111 dJ.~l~s ~/~ e~l~Jl}'~CJLI tec~x~ql~es ~.plL~yed t}l~'~JJihoL~ ~G~-~: ,~r,- ~/J~e~r,iJ~ a~T~'O~ch~ t~ d~'ei~pl~J~ f~Te~L$~S. '~l,e,~,, n,~l~h,,~;~ a~-~_ c~+~, ~ ~t~,~: ~ "~L~'~L~y ~;l~r ~C~ ~',~].0£~le-" ,~ "QI]r~" ,,jr
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.i J~ I ~:~l~ted t~J ~l~h rnlhcr " CO~.I.~I.~I~ ~nSl s~s~-s "Cnl'l'ela~IoE1tl ~,.v~r~ pr~'~If~l~ ~l~,~Lr.1~ i~-~lL ~he [~J~ r~f ~i'~I~¢I~ ..~.l-~a~ (~'i~ ~dl~pe~id~r1~ ~1-~Ublq~1 ; ~hl~ ~l~L~¢~i ~'l~rl ©t)~ ~.~ L~ ~,~f~l~ ~II~ i~,~Ix.,J~t ~.~ 1~llvll ~'l~JJ.~l~l ~ir~llt~.~ ~,n~- ~l~bcr ol~ "¢~usl~~ ~ ~II~ ~ h~L~id~¢~ ~. ~1,,l~J~,ll~ ~or~e~:l~.~,~ ii~ iv~l~ 2.) .3 A,~oh~Y 2*2 ~¢~na:ic~ l}ev~l~l~
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.r ~IL * B~ca~se ~e~thol ~L~a?e:res and 1~0 m~ a~ longel" c~ret~es are G~Z d~lar~ (Flsu~e l~). A~v~i~aE e~p~t~r~ a~ a~e~ c~ar~t~ ~ri¢~. Ova~ th~ n~ 1~ I I~i4
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~n cump~riso~ ~o ~llat e~ ~ ~ ~a~lo, f~er n~ ~ra~ vi~l ~ Zn~rod~¢~a om ~e~ ~11 ~e d~vate~ ~D ~he "~ ~ar/1~ n~t~'* ~±~t©~ IF~jure 2~), ~ • "~e" £~ ~7~ ~R~¢~e~ 7/ • ~ ~¢~ ~h~r~ ~ ~ ~£~ £~¢r~bl~ cea¢~ C~ ~uc~ • ~ ~U~ fJ~, ~ £~ u~lLk~l7 ~a© ¢~a~ C 2> t~ ~n:rea~e ~ri:~ lb~v~ free ~rke~ Iev~s ~J coml~t,~t~t i~ec~u:~c ef ~ese ~regr~, totgl ~r~due~i0n h~ been f~rly e~net~n~ Tobae=o prlee~ h.~," ~j~]ll~ ~ ~he~er flo~ ~keC fluetuatZon due ~o
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e= F ;F -10o :0 LAL~ LEGENO t i~ n ! I !!~ , ~ [ -4 ~ L ~'~ L' NOTICE IF T~£ F~L~ [~ 15 LESS CL~ QUALITY OF I~£ ~[~CUP2:SI BEINN ~IL~D.
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r, codat er par t. ~orld Popula tlo.~ Dnlikc thc po~latlon o~ the U. S.,~rld populmtlo~ will comtisom to gr~ ~t a zapid ra~e. The ~ajorlty of tl~s ~n~r~a~e (Se~ Figure ~, na~ic~, lh~S rapid ~roC~h ~llI ba due ~o ~o ~ac~or~: ir~cre~d avai~obli~ly o~ he~h laci~i~i~s ~i~b ~e~ult i~ ]o~ childhood ~or~a~=7 rat~ and the di~[inultle~ i~ ~pl~en=i[~g b~=th control ed.c~t~o~ and pro~ra~.~ i~ ~ny ~f thes~ countries, ]nbc:ert ±~ th~ ~econd ~ac[or u~c the ~iffic~i~s of ~v~r=o~in~ cultural a~ ~i~±on~l bel~cI~ ono ~t[Itu~es and the ]~ ~t~:ati0n ~, 4 il
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~ ~j~d111~~ ~li~e~'~ ~e~v~ib~ ~e~1~h ~i~ ~E~I~ ~i~ bC1~ ~X~L~ • ~i~i~I ~L~ ~L,~'~ ~,~ ¢~C~J~ ¢I~ ~i~ ~c~T~r~~ E'~h~ a ~i~L~i~ ~11 ~I ~I~ p~i~i~±~
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3 ~,i,2 x~y ~v~nls ~ e~e~ ~re~eu~ 5n CEe~ 3.6 ~e "~-s~=~I' u~ng ~he ~ccn~l 1 ~~a~c~ i~ ~h~ ~n~ t~es~ even~ ~r~ e~c~B~i~d u~ ~h~ ~up~c~/ The h~&~ ~.~cS~l~)~/hJsk ~t ~nt~ a~e li~ !~ ~I~ ~, ~ F18ure 54 l~srs the hi~}1 probah~lit),/lo~ i~cu events. Th~e ~ven~ E I
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r i L ~OJ~ 33 Zzpacc 1985 1990 ~3 I~ro~u¢~lo~ of a lov Ear, h£gh ,30 E E k7 C~S fDr 90~ of c~n~ers as~l~e~ 0.~0 ~ t2 l~t~d~ ~f • ~-~o~cco 0.20 ~ t~ ~atisfy ~ozlsu~ez~. tZ The etiolo~ of di~ea~ ~ss~c~te~ 0,10 R H ~e~elo~men= of B ~e~ filteT ~a~e~l~ 0~10 M ~t~et~e ~c~ ~as adequate '~st~'r ~ ~ r~a:e". ~16 ~ ~lac~ ~ig~e~s on ~h~ llazar4o~ O,05 outdeo~. ~ ~L tOl~ ~!~ on ~E~=E~ 0,13 H
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q~£~fr~ LJf ~.~F~,~ ~v~n~ rJ~ t~ key ~l~l~s, ~o ~l~e~m~IL~l~ I.ilele ~'~I~TL~ ~1't ~10 ~t~u~i~~LZ ~OWl~I~ ~ ~i~a~,.~ a~ ~.~ ~ ~l~t£v~ ~Lg~l~)•
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i ~ rc~afd~n~ ~e a~c~atlOn of J©b type an3 s~e~al stat~s, T~e ~ploT~ Ln ~b~ ~hlc~ ~e c~T~e~tl~ considered *'high~ ~b~ Jo~ ~1 ~£~1 be pe~£~ed t" ~ ~t~ Job ~p|~* ~, ~y~e~ ~r~asi~1' ~a~c over, On~ of ~e fe~, ~hl~g~ ~ka~ e~ be ~¢ t~ t a~lev~ace ~u~ a p~bl~ ~s to ~ve~p jo~ enrl~n~ p~o~ams. ~nc and ~e e~act=~nt ~f ~cnslae~ ~o~sume~ pc~ect~n 1~1o~ ~ af~ ~cer ~r~,l~e f~ businesses ~ handlin~ ¢o~pl~tn~ a~d re~r~ Th~ ~n;~;~,L ~l~Ct r~Oa~V~S~ ~y ~he r~a~o~y agencies, Con~.~ess and ~±~
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rk T- ~,~/~ ~ ~u~,~-~ ~ J.~ ~ ~c,~.~r~ ~1~ ~.~l,~ng ~l~ ~1~ ~J,,~, ".h~c~ ~, ~cI~k 1"~ ~.~2~ ~/~,~ ~E~ ~e c~e,~e~ ~c, ~he "~±~a~-~ ~-~ ~.~., t~, ~s~,~i~*~l.~ '~L~L~i ~S ~'~e,~,~.a~ ~1~,~¢~ ~ ~ ~J~:~C ~: i,,,r'~ r.l~. C'~Tt~,~ ~L',,~ ~ ~i,~"~ ~" ~1~ .
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r~ ~ ~1,~i~in~, ~, ~ ~u~ a ~Jr~ll ~,~ ~¢U~r. ~I~ e~J¢~ t~,1 ~L~;L~ ~L~ ~l~ t~'~ ~.~L~ ~I~111~ ~'~ ~'~'~S~d ~ f'~l~1 ~.11. ~ ±~,~k~1~
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"4 & "i pm -7 F~1~,~Dnda c~]rr.~i~s ~n Ch~ ~L~d1~, l[h~l~m" ~L11!~L~n~ ~iI be W,~j su~¢ezsfLm~ ~,mn&~ . ° ~..~qm~,~s ~n~ ~(IuX~s.~ ~ ~d ~-i:s1~l~ ~ ~.~ ~$~V~,'~,~i~ L~r ~,1~©~dL* I~ ~I" ~"~ f~ #~'~ ~upp~ ~ ~;C t.o~O. ~Ir~X1~ OJ~ r~a~l~l~:Ln~ i~1~.L~.C~i~t ",~i~ ~0~i~±0~ ~,~" t~ ~'~ ~J~ ~I~ ~r~a~c,~.T, ~r£r~ d£~s~ ~l'~ ],a~ he~l~, .. ~b~r L~ ~ ~lo~e~ ~n ~ ~I~ o~ no~-r,~ ~i~ar~ ~] ~ ~l,,~ ~i b~ i~ f~r:~, ~t~' ~l~,~ ~I~ ~'o~ ~e~r
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.r F • I "i- ! "~e e~no~.~ ~l~U.lLl~ vl!l ~e ©o~s%~e~ably worse ~Jxnn ~t ~ Ln 2~76. I ,~ i~ii '.'~ "~I
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w T~b~c¢o F~od~Ict ~lan~i u~e~X I ~re Ire S~ ~0~ tobacco ~f~tur~s ar~ ~,s~er~s ~leT f~. ~se ~JC~ ~aufactuzexs are io~ed lu tobacco p~od~n~ Jut|8 ~ emplo~ F o~al~ the t~ ~l~s ~n~ ~.r~ess Ih~ ~sto ci~nre~c~s ~l~ly. ~zhe~ l~cr -±nzea~ve, F p~p~ e~es~ea~ F ! ~ch ~o~s o~ se~vice~. It is ~t~ate~ that c~ tc~a¢o ~n~Eac~ur~s ~p~t ~e~es~e a~scr~b~c~rs ~=e ~e ~nk ~t~ee~ ~a~ufac~s~er~ ~sd re~i1|r~. ~tsr pa~rol~ ~or th~s ~up ~as ~732 t~11~ic~. ~J~
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:[ c L r~ p~d~ct~n l~ve] - 790 ~llLo~ Tubacco U~ . ~e 100~ dec[e~so Ln ~cpectad ct~m~ S~narL~ 8: $¢on~ rl~ 9: 14a
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g ~rr 1 J ~.L~± ~ LI,,~ ~ll~ngej ~e~ ,~ltJ~ L~l~I: b~n r~c,~ ~nd ~,~. I]rL,d,,e~i~ ll~l~- 4~a~k "~t~l de~d ~ ~ ~*~ 1,2J~ ~'~1~i~1~ lb~+ ~lr ~b~t~ ,,*,h~¢ tl~ ~g,,~t~d ,,~ ~, ,~0 J~ ~87 31 ~e~y a ~ (l,~r~a~, ~$a~d~Ill~ the ~<×~ 7.~ y~r~ ,,h~l~ L~ ,~lLJ~u, er~ and r~,~al~ d~L~'~l~U~r~ ~d S~p~l~ "7~" ~
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L "i V w, [ c~ f~ F • . F~lte; y~-LR F H L ]~- • ype 7 F ~ I~- ~ ~y~e 3¸ ~ ~'~- I~- y,- A ~o~e~c~1o~- ~ilter c~rec~ ~L~ I~ c~ ¢on~ o~ cesu~ac le~rh.
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.4.- JW ,r F i @i ~I t?,~ ~.l~. Th~ ~x~ra~I.o~&, i~.- ~.~ m~X fi~ ¢i~m~,~:~ ~md 1-h~ ~r~.
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i' r i ~UP2E £3 FIM~ET ~IA~ES E2~ LO!tC ~ EGL~A~ ~JX'G~II CIGA~rI~E$ ~ark~t S~mrc ~rke~ S~ar~ RIt~o ¥¢a~ E~r~ I~g ~e~ul~r [xt~B Lon~/ReguLar ~9~7 ~ 91 19~9 15 a4 1913 22 78 a974 ~9 ~1 ,L~9 .2g~ .'tS0 .~66 .182 3~u~c¢~ D~ivefl ~rc~ ~ de,a, Re~er~e 21. i 4 J
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L! L i- i J ~ 0.~46 p~ . 0.554 1
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,T 4~t ~r~UCC ¢On¢~pC ~: FashJ~r ~Fe~1 ~Ig~r¢ct© ~lauced ~a¢~s ~i~
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,I "1 L_~- ...... 1970
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,-J .1~*~,~,c ~o~io~n~L~ ~1=~. lrh,l~ [,ILLt~ ¢Or~,Or~t~ ,~].~1~.t.~ I=~l ~o~U~4et c=~a~]-. ~,~ ~h~n~J.~; :=c~c~o ~c~r~=l~ ~h,~r~¢~eriS~l~ C~ ~],~ C~ST~];. Th~q,~ ~.r~t~ ~ha~a~]-~=l~ ,~== n~,~ produ~=t ~Lne~ ~lJ~h =l=s ~n~t Bn~l pel~bap~ =d~E~'~
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a~ ~o . F~'~,~ t~Q LT~r~illa~n ~,f U~T~ C~!£~I~I~J.,I~L pro~et~ola$ und B~T~ p~ocliJ¢lc~
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_W~ i~j~ls~z~c~a] e~p~rl~e ~n t~ fo~l~l~L~or~ o£ t~l~ ~l~L~e$~ ~ ~ ~1~1s ~IL~ ~ ~, ~0I. 1~ a~.~l ~.~ ~:LI~ ~L~L~J~ ~L~ ~ I~ C~S~.~bl~ ~1~,~ ~ypa ~l~s~l~ ~'~.~. Th~S~ a ~rDl~U~ ~tl~h BS '~C~ Z~£1d IDrl~8. ~,~,~ ~L~l£~J. ~lL ~ ~ I~1:~1~ Th~i~ ~C~'~ ~rL~p~ ~ ~ ~ ~1 ~4~ ~l~ ,'~I~I~F~I~,~J ~r '~J~ ~l~~ ~I~E~ ~1~ ~L~dl~£~. ~R I~L~ ~'~ EL ~Z~l~lt,~l ~1~|~,~r O~ ~.1~ ~L~ ~q~.d ~lJ~ ~,~ ~l~V~r~l ~0~ ~r~I ~,
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r I f l E ,i !, ~f 11~:¢=~ r~,~l~l~¥ c,~r ~1~ ~L~ ~l~,4r~.~ ~*,~, ~ ~urs~ ¢~11~e~E ~, I:~e ~ ~le~ ~r~J~S. !r/ ~ll!~ ~ITI~L, ~V~*~r~±~L~ I~1~ ~ ~k~7 ~O~ in J~t~,~mJ.l~ln~ 2~J
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r L F kppl~at£o.~ of ~ ~d~1 ~,. ,~a~l~u~ ~olly~l r~r~m~,~c~ceg ~t~t ~zl~ ~¢~-%~o~ ~J~ ~C~ m~,c]~l ~L~, d~s~lJ~ ÷u~L7 £n A~,p~,~'~ A ~lz~d .~Lll nO~ ~:~ pLL~.~ed ~.~ 'l"h~ i~l>h~l~ I~ 1_T ~'~-~ ~h~ .~.~T~£~[, ~h.ic ~tU~ ~'e~ 0£ ~L~ ~0~ ~,~1r ~T~T~L'~ ~£ J~r~. ~ ~h~l~ Irh~ ~ ~L p~o~ ~.~ ~u~ar ~LI~ *The -!~¢ ~%~k t~e ~c.~ ~ec!,~o~,j~. ~T~cu~s ~¢?~ of t]~e ~k~-~ ~, rh* ta~-over ~1 ~l~l'i~ ~ ~ ), 1~) ;3,
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,L i" • • ~I ~T-IOGP~PI~ ~,no~xi~.¸ i~ ~ i~l~l~l~t~ ~di~ F~ ~76, ~c~* ~T~I~ ~n¢ L~ ~tl~I ~'r~ve~- ~b~ ~ul~r ~ocql~ "A~i ~,~.~l~g ~11~t ~ 'r~r~~', ~h~n~o~ ~'~', ~,~,~" .~ 1~7~. 7. ~l-~l~ ~l, L~ ~d~ ~ ~o1" ~Eld ~ ~J ~i~~'. ~,~r,~ ~01~, ~ ~n~., Jr., ~d R~JS~e~J, ~ l~-a~nlo~O (~itor~1 De~,~q~ ~ ~'~¢~ ~r~ ~e E¢on,~t ~f ~:e~L~kV." ~"~F,~ ~n ~,~1~ ~1~ ~I~I'~DEI~' ~l~ ~a~, ~,rn,~ 1., ~JJ,~ ~le~ ~ ~,~1~,~
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~+ 6: k ~8. Dicll1~ &laro~d S~I T~t~ ~n~ ~ou~ ll~]th~ 7hu $~o~I ~ntT~v~r~7 I~ Dru~ ~e C~uncil. ~.Tv~7 of ~iIu~na U~ - ~a~ o~ OT©~o, 20. "~?,e E~t~b~s~l~0n~ C~L~ ~ f~r L~llxe~ ~l~i~n~', ~p~F'~ ~klv. ~o~¸, ), i'~)5. JuLy I~?~. 2). ~Id, ~i~ ~ , "~ ~,~k£n~ ~O~S ~ ~o~", R~ ~l~e~. 3an. 197~. 19~2 28, ~o~Lif~ in~e~l, ~d,. ~!~.~ th~ ~p~r~ ~ E~ ~ ~n~i~,~ j'r~¸~. ~ ~L~ 4, ~r~,~, Cr~ ~,~ I~ ~n the F,,~u:~ E~ooo~ ) ,4
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H 4' ~$" Plan~-, John (~d) C,Jt~a ~I~i t~ U~e~ ~.,~,.~: L,~. ~i,~ ~::i ~ve.~, ?0. ~i~ ~i~ ~,~ Th~ ~,~ ~, of ~,~¢~, (~w Y~.k: ~aat.am l~L~kel ~g~O. 78. ~1,±'~rs£~y ~f ~ichi~a~, In~,,t~ ~= |r,~ Rk~e~,1~b, ~t~y ~f ~r~'~.~t 79. U,$. D~pa=~m~ D~ ~.~':i~ul~r~, 19~ J~L~b~k i~ A~/~,Jza~ Ch~1"~-. Bi. ~S~ D~pa=.~rL~ ~ A~=~cuI~=~, E~.nom~c L~ea~ch $,~¢~, T~'~CC~ Far rl IPIO~L, Cl ~ ~n~ ~:f[ici~c.I ~ Sunmai~- ~eT~:~ (S~a~i~c~ ~l~e~in 2~3), ~evi~ed 1970¸ B4. ~.S De~m~ ~ Agr:cul~, ~=~i~a~ ~.epo~i~K ~,v~,, ~ 217 I~ ~Hr$ f~J~IC£. FF T~ P~gE ~D tie D~AL~¥ OF T~5 DOCUM~ ~L~G FII2{~I~.
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.hi r 1o ~ ~the~ Io~ it: ~ ~Jm~c~i. r~h~orogy, ~L~n~ o~1~ b~tt~r ~n~ i~r~r~ ~ ~u~ rl~L,~ d~ro~r ~ ~r~l ~i 1C,~01C~ r
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r I "L Ne~. ~aly~i~ ~p~r~che~ Suc~ a~ cros~-~upp~r~, ¢r~$- I~,~o~ ar~ r~lov~c~ ~r~S a11g~p~ ¢o Combine ~o us~ o~ "ju~t" H~Fver, quantitative co~d~:~fJon~ ¢~ b~ ~nln~f~lly r~I~ed 7/ r
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++, ven[c~c+. This Jim+t+ +71# +ppI+cabiJ++y ++ +h+ ~ummr;c+l manipulation ~¢ can us~. ~c~ewr, ~H+ere~cms ~ t~c ~++re ++y ~n knterv~t sc~lo +S +h~ Fahr~n~eT+, +empora+ure ~c~+e. Elch I~ dpf fcre~ b~1~e~T I~3E)~ and 200° im +he s~ a~ +he dl+f++~n~ + + - i L~d. ~+OTp+p" +i,++ th SC I~ ;b +~6~51~r+ t+ i+ V+lh lh;~ +~+I~, W~
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F I I ¢, f ,~.~¢.v=n~ ~,~j ,It ms ~ ],l~er~l;n~ F.~¢~" t~l~t ~ ~r~ ~q,~ 'J,~r~;~ ~r "cor~r" th~ ~th~" ~h~,9~~ ~e~-p~r~ur'@ ~er~, ~ ~¢~ ~ ~1o ~al~.I~ ~rt ~o~ ~e~e~t. Any m~f~l~y ~i~h ~.~ fun~,~e~t~l$ ~ ~o~¸ d~ ~ ~u~- ~- ~s~=~r,~iec~v~ .,~rl~ ~ ~o~]~1
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1 I, ~r ~L~J~'L~Lt~ S~CL~ ~ i~rC'~j~d b~ ~r~¢~"S ~r~e~r iLI~I,B~, ~n ~l~07U~e ~ no~rl~~ ~. 7~,• ~-~r,/ ~J~¢~r-~ ~,f~e~J ~
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:! L L L -,L 5ele co~tri~tioa = 2 Negligible ¢~tr[buflen : I ~ ~f~.l o~8 itQm o~ tt~ ~i~ld m~y ha,,e a~ an~ltr~r c~q bc e~-her 1 r 234
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J~ L• I i" ~r OrL~ of the ~i1~ry i~pl~at~o.5 of t114~ |~t ~J~ ~b~itutlorL CUT~te~ ft,,Jr,4 ~ ~$.~ure~ ~6 ~L1~d B.9 is that ~l~]i¢~,J~I~ thl. ~i~ b,~1.v~t,i ;L,m©V~LQrL~ i~ th~ ]:r~l~ac~o Ir~dt~,zt~-~. h~$ ~e~;IseJ ~.igh~lyI I:~ I~o b~T~ ~ ~u'~ll~l j-
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~. DJell1~ }[~ro]~ S,, T~I~¢CO and yOU~ ll~a]t1!: ~ $~okln~ ~nlrov~rsv J~Dy ]9?6. of zi.ro poo~!alion Gro~, li~v I~7~, | A~eoa ~OVilOCn enta! ~r ~na'
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F~¢In~ T.r~rn~tlon~l. ~ ~i. • f*r~rIQ~Ir~" ~. .r~ ~. ~'~rJ~C~clr'~ I~,cern~L~l~ I~,~ E~J~L'£~-~- ~C~J~' ~,~ ~.~1~r,i~ ~4. '~a~ ~u~t D~ ~.. ~1~ ~I~ ~I:~ C,~r 1 i12 ~e~C~C ~C~-~r }~,,[~i ~,~-~ ~ i~ ~. ~ ~ ~=~I }~i~. ~m~t~ I~i~'~. ~l C~:,, ~r ~!,CH~ ~,~,a~ ~ ~, ~:Ll,~, ,i L~,~ ~;~::
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-! y" F 7 i%bli~h~n~ CO.~, ~69. !l~k~ell, JO~ L,* Jr.~ The H~'ell ~a~ ~o~. ~rch I~75. $7. }~c~Le, ~e~, ~oIld 71¢~ a~ ~ (~ ~or]~: The ~ac!1~I~ ~.)* £u~,w.~. A ~£on~e ~u~7 ~ Ad~ul~ and ~ou=~, ~ugust i~75. ~I~: ~( t:ar~)~L~ !~,~ ~'n~u~ "~'e ~o:l~i~ue ~ ~rea! ~r±i~ 6~ ~'~:~ l~h~iL,~ ~he Ad~ ~£ ~ae L~bZ~ ~a=ns 7o~ ~ S~u~du'~ ~h~ ~d?r' 6: 'r:~ ~L,<~,:~ ~ ~t~ ::e~* tL¸E, U ~ "~e~ ~n~ ~rll ~. 3cL.~0, i~75 I ~. ~¢cv~ ~I'urld ~,~L, a~l7 ~ I~76, ~.4)-41~
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j [ "I" i i- NE~,SURE~I4? AND TCC~$'K~LOGY ASSE ~S~'{N~" ,,Man dc~c~s n~i !Iv~ hy b~a~d alcoa.,' This aG~old S~VTBg, if we CC,~lCIO~I~e ils rzsr~ifi~,li-]c~n~ ~TS ,~'~ ,fh~ crux of 9hls ,Ir~icle. I? ouF ~,av~r~ r~regy h~,~ Io<)~ [~ mI~d, ~ I~ ~;4riclesT co,~1,'u~Ii~n rni{i~T imply, Then WB ~'~ l~d ~(~ b~llev~ ~h~i" rn~f, ~ v~ ~>~ o~,~r d~e~tlc ,,~,~r~,~en~s ,~d ~i,~,d~rd~ the c,o~ ~'~c~ thereof ~D~ ~h~n ~ ~e~ ~n~ ~n ~e~n~ ~1~t~d. . • • . . r~n~ ic. b~ ~ leL,~,,g ~r~ ~,JOr i~ ~ ~ ~r~ ,C~ p~,,1~ h~ ~S
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p+ h ~c~r~olOgy ~s~sSr~er~. II ho c~:~$ P~O~ l i~le I~,t ~l~<~ Olcr+~, Of++ ~+I b~ l iI~ ~ ~ c~mp~'c,mise t~I ~II ol th~$~ lacl~r~: ~'rad~- . Io ~s~+ oth~+ ~,~;c in i~ ~+r~ce, rr~IL~g~ ~,n~ E, nd bu++er ~+~<~ ~d~J ~n++ s~b~te,~ LJr~d~Ir the ~J~+~l r~le~ L~ r~+~P~metlc~ ~¢~ b~ ~-o~+~l~n~ ~+ tJ~t~], ~ch.~lou~Y ~+~++mcr,~ ~VE~ ~C
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t r" E "F i~ ,~,e~k Oc~(~F. ,/u-l,~i~ da~i~J1~Of-~ ~ar~ b~ u~(1 ~-0 d~i~l~juI~h c~e ¢~ v$~ ~i~h ~J~d~l ~I¢~ ~,~c~u~ r~oi" C~l3, fr~rLcy ar,(1
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"t ! L!" i, ~r' ~a~e ~di~iYe p~,~r~rl~ II~5, f~mal ~-ith.~t~i.~ ~p~,-~1'ir.~ I~ dif ~r~nc~ ~i~e~in 11~0° ~nd 200° j5 ~hle S~I~ ei,L lh~l d[~,r~r,~ b~v~ccn 40° ~i~ ~O°F, The ~"~i~ic~il r~l~ure~ ~Jpli~l@ ~, ~ ~r~ b~ ~=~'~. I"~r ~iL~i~'~ i~ ~I~TI~ ~ 4~'.~ ~.~ ~r~ ~,~ l~r11~r L,'~ ~a~,~.L~l,or~, ,~n ~×ar~pi~ of ~ ~I~olulr~ ~r:al~ in reoll~ LI~, ~n~'~rv~r $~a r~. T,~e ~l~j:~r ~hara~eri~t~c o~ ~L~ ~,~r ~,,,~ I~,~ ~c~If, i,~ Ir~:z~, ~i~ ~ ,i~, i,,~ ~c,
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:" r ~d Ox~l~r, ll~ ~o$criDtor~. I~ n~y ~a~,~ this ~,~ ~,- adlf~1~ Gr~a oppro~¢~ ~,~;C~ has con~id~r~Jbl~ ~r~ is to ~l~vo[¢p ~ ,~ fufl~;cnzl hlnr~r~v ~ ~ s~ruct~rr* ~h~ d~ib~', ~h~ ~bl~ ~lt~rlbu~es ~-r~aJ~ ~r~ ~,a.~l~ ~ro ~1~ a~s~J- ~o~or~ ~ TJ,~d~re T~yICJ~, "r~d ~rC~i~*n ~J~S~ - $~mar,/ ~ a ~,~ ~ ,~ ~ ~,~ ~,,~,~, ~ ~,~r~ ~'r,,,~r,l,,, [~;~ni~,~'
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Ir¸ ~4 -! t .I m I In ~hl, r'~JIE~i~-rJ eJ~ ~LJLj~iv~ j'd~nl$ fc~r I,u~h ,. s~le. "~he ~r~ ~l~,~e c~ ~o~r .~o. "~ ~r-~ar~, ~E~t~r~ I.y~IV~C~ ~r~ ~1~ ;~ ~ ~rv~ _~1~. I~r ~ ~,~:~J~r~ ~ ~ ~h,~ ~r:~lo~ ~r'~, ~L~ .~,~.L~I ~'~ I1'~ I~r'~ ¢~r~'m~, ~r~ ~ ~E~I~Ir ~
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d,, i T | 3 r~ l~ ~r~ Ic~ I~ck of ~lo~l~dge Of lheIr existence, b~l J~ ~rJr:.~r'i J,/ ~,~v~ ~ ~u~¸ r~i~nshi~ ~ me~,~r~men'. ~he,/ ca~ ~ssJ~t ir~ but ~h~i¢ ~ppEi~iI}t¥ iin~ ir~letptt~,~tJo~ ~ro IJmi~l~ b~ th~ J~ve[ of ~a~u~nt SC~I~ devel~pe~, Th¢O~ o' lhes~ C~'~SS- ~r~ ~erve ~ ~n e~8'~l~ ~f ~he role Ot mea~re~n~, ~ e~c~/ il~r- r)~ ~ IieJd on ~ll r, lher [le~, I~ ~ L~ ?o ~'l~y ~h~t ~ill be t~e s~ppor~ -~fec~ or~ l ie~ ~, C, ,~d gl~ p~ ;~ used 233
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fl f~ i p.i ~j ~k~u~h~r ~corrcr~lrlon ~ir~ ~J~©d i~ c~ll~ cro~l~i u~r~ ~ ~l~ ~i~ ~a~ o~ ~h~L ~c~!~i~ ~r ~ll~l~llvJ~j ~l~p~n~ ~n ~rr~ Ir ~/¢,, ~l~ t~ pr~l~'kr~ ~I ~L~ o~ t~l@ o~h~r ~nr~ c~n ~r~¢ ~ ~b~ ~.~oic~ ~ ~c~cs ~s~d ~ori tll~ ~k~ir~l~r
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~F -i [ t, ¥ /i/ i5 ~0 (~ew~of~ ,~ ~ ~ ~19n;~0 ~ "~rIJe" ~J ~,r,~¥, (~ ,~-~ ;~4~v~L,~~ ,~ a~ ~l~e ~0 ~)ro,J~n~ 'u ~-rl~l,,~¥, '~ ,, ~ ~r~,,~u~ ~I ~Ic J~it :~3~ ~orlr
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F i" "I ( ~ r ~ ~0 ~0 ~p~i rT r~ther" 1~a~ i'~i~I~i~ly, ~r~by r~d~cin~ the n~.~d ~y ~e Gver'~lI ~pp~o~c~ aa~ ~t~ ~ch~i~Is~s USe~. '~evi~-f~l~ ~.~.]i~j ,~n ~F~ m~ ~r~i~ role Ob~, Td~ visj~iI¥ ~f~orcJ~l Lll 2~0
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r i -! ! r Thn~e ~f us ~ho ore .or~in~ Io bui i~ Ih¢$e a~$~ i~rn~ ~ro~ e~p~ri~¢e en~ a~ unCan~ vo~ of pulIIn~ out ~f~Dn~ f~clor~ a~o r~jccti~9 u~ef~ss I~fo~tio~, rt Is ~f~n~ - ~n~o~ ore lh~ iounc~1 ~ ~hcse ~yS~O~S, ~c~ur~¢e hu~
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GOAL CROSS-SUPPORT I%IATRIX 8 2
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