Brown & Williamson
Technological Forecasting for Tobacco to 900000
Fields
- Type
- REPT, REPORT, OTHER
- CHAR, CHART
- GRAPHIC
- REPORT
- Characteristic
- DRFT, DRAFT
- MARG, MARGINALIA
- Original File
- Battelle Phase 2
- Date Loaded
- 26 Mar 1999
- Request
- H72
- I92
- Named Person
- Hart/X
- Kennedy/X
- Moss/X
- X/Acs
- X/Food And Drug Administration
- X/Osha
- X/Environmental Protection Agency
- X/Cpsc
- X/Irs
- X/Us Department, O.F. Agriculture
- X/Mci
- X/Us Dept, O.F. Justice
- Litigation
- 10004026
- Attachment
- 126934
Document Images
ENVIRONMENT
• LIFE STYLES
O MEDICAL
@ GOVERNMENTAL
• AGRICULTURAL
; • MARKETING
ECONOMIC FACTORS
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING FOR TOBACCO TO [990
UTILITIES &
FUNCTIONS
e SOCIOLOGICAL
PSYCHOLOGICAL
0 PHYSIOLOGICAL
USE~SYSTEM
b t44 R~e~
i CONSUMER PRODUCT
@ METHDD OF DRUG
APPLICATION
O BODY ENTRY POINT
ABSORPTION ~OINT
ACTION :OINT
~Lj
TECHNOLOGY
g GROWTH
PROCESSING
FORNULATION
OF DOGE
~ONSTITUENTS
,n ~LTERNATIVES
0 ~NTIDOTES

a
ON
WHERE T = CONSUNPTION OF TOBACCO
Q = QUANTITY PER CAPITA
= NUMBER OF USERS
B = NO ~ (~S - BE)
WHERE NO : USERS IN PRIOR PERIOD N S = NEW USERS
N D = DROPOUTS
Ns = f (NUF~ER RELAPSES. NUMBER TEENAGERS, PRODUCT
ONA~AOTERISTICS, ALTERANTIVEE. OCCUPATION~
REGULATORY, PROPAGA~DAs PARENTS, PEERS,
MILIEU, OPPORTUNITY ,,
N~ : f (NUNBER DEATHS. ANTI-SND(ING SRADUATES~
ALTERNATIVES~ PROPAGANDA, DEMOSRAPNICR~,,
Q = f(TODACCO/DOSE, DOSE/DAY)
DOSES/DAY = f(USE OPPORTUNITIES, SATIATION, PRIDE.
CONSUMER INCOMEJ ALTERNATIVES,,,,
SATIATION = f(NICOTINE, SMOKING t,IETHOI),,,
j~
00001S901

EEV I R 0 [.I~!LF.&T_
LIFE STYLES
6HETTO CULTURE (DRUG DEE, ETC,)
TRANSCENDENTAL mEDITATION
GERIATRICS
DRUG HABITS, ATTITUDES
DEMOGRAPHY
AGE
BIRTH ORDER
GEOGRAPHIC LOCATIGN
COMPATIBILITY OF FUTURE DRUGS (CONPL~MENT ON COMPETE)
CHANGES IN FAMILY
CHANGES IN CHURCF AND RELIGION
CHANGES IN SCHOOLS
EDUCATION
LEISURE
SETTING - INTERNAL
SETTING - EXTERNAL
ROCK RUSIC CULTURE
SPORTS
DO,MUTING TO 4ORK
MORAL OUTLOOK
ACHIEVEMENT
HEDONISM (I~IMEDIACY OF PLEASURE)

ENVIRO~MENT
MEDICAL-ORGANIZATION
$~CI~ ACSJ ETC,
PDA
SURGEON-GENFRAI.
RESEARCH
NIH-NCI
ANTISMOKING CAMPAIGNS
\

#-
~VIIONP, ENI-- GOVERNY_'/[LT~L
REGULATORY
OSH~
EPA -.AIR POLLUTIO
CPSC - "IGNITION SOURgE" CIGARE[IES
FDA
IRS
NQ-SNOKING ROLES
SURGEON GENERAL
RESEARCP RESULTS
USUA
FTC
FARM MAR~ETIRS QUOTA AND ACREAGE ALLOTMENTS
TOBACCO LOAK PROGRAM
PRICE SUPPORT
TOBACCO INSPECTION
WAREHOUSE DESIGNATION
CO~MODITY~ IMPORT/EXPORT REGULATION
LEGISLATIVE
HEALTH TAX (HART, KENNEDY, MOSS)
"SPECIAL BREAK TO LOW TAX AND NICOTINE CIGARETTES"
JUDICIAL
CCIURT DECISIONS AND ATTITUDES
pr. eFoosTn¢

k
AGRICULTURE
NON-SOIL PRODUCTION
URBANIZATIOn
MECHANIZATION
ALTERNATIVE CRUPS
SHORT-CIRCUIT CURRENT PRODUCTION
ON-FARM PROCESSING MODERNIZATION
PROCESS

ENVIRONM=,IT
MARKETING
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
VENDING DEVICES
ADVERTISING
NEGATIVE FROM NCI, ACG, ETC,
PUBLICITY FOR EASY STOPPING
TAXES
NON-TOBACCO COMPETITORS

E~IVI RONMENT
ECONOMIC FACTORS
DISPDSAELE I~COME
TAXATIOn
PRICE
ARABLE LAND USED FOR NONFOOD CROPS
AUCTION MECHANIZATIO~ P
000019907
i,

/
/
\
/
/
/
I
l
I M-ZTHOD OF
APPLICATION
I ENTRY POINTS
~}TION POINTS
USER RF~CTION
U~ER $ Yl P~
\
~ND FUNCTIONS

USE SYSTEr'I
CONSUME~ PRODUCT
CIGARETTE
CIGAR
PIPE
CHEWING TOBACCO
SNUFF
CHEWING GUM
TOOTHPASTE
SHAVECREAM
SUPPOSITORY
SYRIMGE KIT
IMPLANT
COOKING
NON-INHALABLE CIGARETFE
C~
0000J_9~09
