Reports decline in lung cancer incidence in young and middle-aged men in U.S. and United Kingdom (UK) is suggested to correlate "with reductions in tar and nicotine consumption". Suggests UK and US declines occurred for different reasons. Proposes US "shift to lower delivery cigarettes and possibility of socioeconomic factors in incidence "would help us to establish...'contradictions'". Relates to Bates 1003035017.
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PHILIP HORRIS INCORPORATED
I00 Park Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10017
Mr. A. Holtzman ~- Date: March
J. E. Lincoln
Confirmations or Contradictions
It seems to be now agreed that lung cancer incidence in young
middle-aged men has declined both here and in the United Kingdom."~_~'.
I believe it's being suggested ~is decline correlates with reductions"~'~
It's my impression the decHne ~ 1~g cancer ~c~dence started ~irst
~ the United K~ngdom;.wh~le ~t was the United States ~at led ~e way
~ the sh~£t to lower deHver~ cigarettes. ~ that is correct, we might
be able to po~t to a contradiction where the others are ciE~m~ng a
It would also be interesting if we could learn whether the recent
declines in lung cancer incidence among young knd middle-aged
men were spread evenly or unevenly through the income spectrum.
Any result, except a concentration of this improvement among the
upper income groups, would help us to establish another contra-
cc: J. C. Bowling
R. R. Millhiser